Texas A&M over 8.5 wins -150 (3 units) Tennessee over 8 wins -110 (2 units) Miami over 8 wins -110 (2 units) Auburn under 6.5 wins -125 (1 unit)
YTD Record (0-0, 0.00%, 0.00 units)
I am looking forward to what should hopefully be a great college football season. I will say at this time, I regret locking in the over on Miami wins (which I did before Yahoo! Sports came out with there story), but I will roll with it at this point. I still like the other three plays. I will use this thread to post my plays, which I will be locking in at various times over the next 10 days or so.
Good luck to everyone.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Futures Plays:
Texas A&M over 8.5 wins -150 (3 units) Tennessee over 8 wins -110 (2 units) Miami over 8 wins -110 (2 units) Auburn under 6.5 wins -125 (1 unit)
YTD Record (0-0, 0.00%, 0.00 units)
I am looking forward to what should hopefully be a great college football season. I will say at this time, I regret locking in the over on Miami wins (which I did before Yahoo! Sports came out with there story), but I will roll with it at this point. I still like the other three plays. I will use this thread to post my plays, which I will be locking in at various times over the next 10 days or so.
This is a game that stood out to me right away as a potential play. Northwestern returns a lot of starters on both sides of the ball, led by senior QB Dan Persa and senior WR Jeremy Ebert. Add-in that they have an offensive line filled with juniors and seniors (4 of which started last year), and they should have the necessary experience and talent to handle opening the season on the road. They also have a senior led defense (I believe 7 starters in total will be seniors) that should be able to slow down Boston College, especially with Montel Harris likely being out for BC.
I considered the ML at +120, but decided since this is week one, I would stay away from the ML and just take the points that are available.
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First locked in play:
Northwestern +3 -115 (2 units)
This is a game that stood out to me right away as a potential play. Northwestern returns a lot of starters on both sides of the ball, led by senior QB Dan Persa and senior WR Jeremy Ebert. Add-in that they have an offensive line filled with juniors and seniors (4 of which started last year), and they should have the necessary experience and talent to handle opening the season on the road. They also have a senior led defense (I believe 7 starters in total will be seniors) that should be able to slow down Boston College, especially with Montel Harris likely being out for BC.
I considered the ML at +120, but decided since this is week one, I would stay away from the ML and just take the points that are available.
This is a game that stood out to me right away as a potential play. Northwestern returns a lot of starters on both sides of the ball, led by senior QB Dan Persa and senior WR Jeremy Ebert. Add-in that they have an offensive line filled with juniors and seniors (4 of which started last year), and they should have the necessary experience and talent to handle opening the season on the road. They also have a senior led defense (I believe 7 starters in total will be seniors) that should be able to slow down Boston College, especially with Montel Harris likely being out for BC.
I considered the ML at +120, but decided since this is week one, I would stay away from the ML and just take the points that are available.
very nice play considering BC's workhorse Runningback is likely out...wish i could have gotten 7.5 but like +3
BOL this year buddy
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Quote Originally Posted by aggieaccountant:
First locked in play:
Northwestern +3 -115 (2 units)
This is a game that stood out to me right away as a potential play. Northwestern returns a lot of starters on both sides of the ball, led by senior QB Dan Persa and senior WR Jeremy Ebert. Add-in that they have an offensive line filled with juniors and seniors (4 of which started last year), and they should have the necessary experience and talent to handle opening the season on the road. They also have a senior led defense (I believe 7 starters in total will be seniors) that should be able to slow down Boston College, especially with Montel Harris likely being out for BC.
I considered the ML at +120, but decided since this is week one, I would stay away from the ML and just take the points that are available.
very nice play considering BC's workhorse Runningback is likely out...wish i could have gotten 7.5 but like +3
that nw bet looks sweet. persa is perhaps the most mobile of a very mobile big 10 qb crew.....who would have thought you would ever say mobile big 10 qb
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that nw bet looks sweet. persa is perhaps the most mobile of a very mobile big 10 qb crew.....who would have thought you would ever say mobile big 10 qb
Aggie what are your thoughts on the total of the A&M SMU game? I strongly lean to the over as I think the run and shoot can put up at least three scores on A&M. Aggies pass rush does not look nearly as strong this season, so with time, I expect the Mustangs to move the ball through the air. I also like the run game of the Aggies this year. Should be able to bust of some big runs in this game along with the solid field position from a very good return unit. I have this pegged around 42-21 Aggies. Thoughts?
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Aggie what are your thoughts on the total of the A&M SMU game? I strongly lean to the over as I think the run and shoot can put up at least three scores on A&M. Aggies pass rush does not look nearly as strong this season, so with time, I expect the Mustangs to move the ball through the air. I also like the run game of the Aggies this year. Should be able to bust of some big runs in this game along with the solid field position from a very good return unit. I have this pegged around 42-21 Aggies. Thoughts?
Aggie what are your thoughts on the total of the A&M SMU game? I strongly lean to the over as I think the run and shoot can put up at least three scores on A&M. Aggies pass rush does not look nearly as strong this season, so with time, I expect the Mustangs to move the ball through the air. I also like the run game of the Aggies this year. Should be able to bust of some big runs in this game along with the solid field position from a very good return unit. I have this pegged around 42-21 Aggies. Thoughts?
You sound fairly knowledgeable when it comes to A&M. In terms of this game, here is how I see it. I expect A&M to grab excellent field position due to a great return game led by Coryell Judie (as you already pointed out). Add-in that SMU's defense is fairly pedestrian and the fact that A&M returns the majority of there starters on offense (of which I expect 6 of those guys to play on Sunday's without exaggeration). I think those things combined will get us into the 40's. In terms of SMU's offense, they scare me a bit. June Jones is a very good coach and they return a lot of players as well. While Texas A&M will take a step back in the line backing group (which is to be expected after losing Von Miller), they actually should be better on the line and in the secondary. I expect SMU to score some, but not a lot. Your score prediction actually sounds pretty close to what I came up with. I haven't locked it in yet, but I will almost assuredly be on the over.
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Quote Originally Posted by fsutomahawk:
Aggie what are your thoughts on the total of the A&M SMU game? I strongly lean to the over as I think the run and shoot can put up at least three scores on A&M. Aggies pass rush does not look nearly as strong this season, so with time, I expect the Mustangs to move the ball through the air. I also like the run game of the Aggies this year. Should be able to bust of some big runs in this game along with the solid field position from a very good return unit. I have this pegged around 42-21 Aggies. Thoughts?
You sound fairly knowledgeable when it comes to A&M. In terms of this game, here is how I see it. I expect A&M to grab excellent field position due to a great return game led by Coryell Judie (as you already pointed out). Add-in that SMU's defense is fairly pedestrian and the fact that A&M returns the majority of there starters on offense (of which I expect 6 of those guys to play on Sunday's without exaggeration). I think those things combined will get us into the 40's. In terms of SMU's offense, they scare me a bit. June Jones is a very good coach and they return a lot of players as well. While Texas A&M will take a step back in the line backing group (which is to be expected after losing Von Miller), they actually should be better on the line and in the secondary. I expect SMU to score some, but not a lot. Your score prediction actually sounds pretty close to what I came up with. I haven't locked it in yet, but I will almost assuredly be on the over.
Boom I am always glad when you are on the play as well
Jose Likewise, glad to see you likely on NW also
jdnmoney Agreed, I wish I could have locked it in sooner, but to be honest I wasn't positive it would be a play until the injury news broke today. I had to lock it in then before it dropped further.
Austin Agreed, I am a huge fan of Persa.
Scotty Thanks man
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Boom I am always glad when you are on the play as well
Jose Likewise, glad to see you likely on NW also
jdnmoney Agreed, I wish I could have locked it in sooner, but to be honest I wasn't positive it would be a play until the injury news broke today. I had to lock it in then before it dropped further.
You sound fairly knowledgeable when it comes to A&M. In terms of this game, here is how I see it. I expect A&M to grab excellent field position due to a great return game led by Coryell Judie (as you already pointed out). Add-in that SMU's defense is fairly pedestrian and the fact that A&M returns the majority of there starters on offense (of which I expect 6 of those guys to play on Sunday's without exaggeration). I think those things combined will get us into the 40's. In terms of SMU's offense, they scare me a bit. June Jones is a very good coach and they return a lot of players as well. While Texas A&M will take a step back in the line backing group (which is to be expected after losing Von Miller), they actually should be better on the line and in the secondary. I expect SMU to score some, but not a lot. Your score prediction actually sounds pretty close to what I came up with. I haven't locked it in yet, but I will almost assuredly be on the over.
Live in Missouri so I am in Big 12 country. Also, I bet against A&M last year with Arkansas, Oklahoma, and LSU. On them against Texas so I saw them more than the avearage college football watcher would see a team outside of their own. I really love the runningback tandem they have in Michael and Gray. Tannehill does a good job of managing the game and not making big mistakes, unlike Johnson did last year. Fuller is a flat out beast at WR, one of your NFL guys along with the runningbacks I assume. He could have a huge game against SMU in my opinion.
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Quote Originally Posted by aggieaccountant:
You sound fairly knowledgeable when it comes to A&M. In terms of this game, here is how I see it. I expect A&M to grab excellent field position due to a great return game led by Coryell Judie (as you already pointed out). Add-in that SMU's defense is fairly pedestrian and the fact that A&M returns the majority of there starters on offense (of which I expect 6 of those guys to play on Sunday's without exaggeration). I think those things combined will get us into the 40's. In terms of SMU's offense, they scare me a bit. June Jones is a very good coach and they return a lot of players as well. While Texas A&M will take a step back in the line backing group (which is to be expected after losing Von Miller), they actually should be better on the line and in the secondary. I expect SMU to score some, but not a lot. Your score prediction actually sounds pretty close to what I came up with. I haven't locked it in yet, but I will almost assuredly be on the over.
Live in Missouri so I am in Big 12 country. Also, I bet against A&M last year with Arkansas, Oklahoma, and LSU. On them against Texas so I saw them more than the avearage college football watcher would see a team outside of their own. I really love the runningback tandem they have in Michael and Gray. Tannehill does a good job of managing the game and not making big mistakes, unlike Johnson did last year. Fuller is a flat out beast at WR, one of your NFL guys along with the runningbacks I assume. He could have a huge game against SMU in my opinion.
Live in Missouri so I am in Big 12 country. Also, I bet against A&M last year with Arkansas, Oklahoma, and LSU. On them against Texas so I saw them more than the avearage college football watcher would see a team outside of their own. I really love the runningback tandem they have in Michael and Gray. Tannehill does a good job of managing the game and not making big mistakes, unlike Johnson did last year. Fuller is a flat out beast at WR, one of your NFL guys along with the runningbacks I assume. He could have a huge game against SMU in my opinion.
The six guys on offense that I expect to play on Sunday are the two tackles, Fuller, Gray, Michael and Tannehill. Believe it or not Tannehill is projecting as a 3-4 round pick from what I have seen.
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Quote Originally Posted by fsutomahawk:
Live in Missouri so I am in Big 12 country. Also, I bet against A&M last year with Arkansas, Oklahoma, and LSU. On them against Texas so I saw them more than the avearage college football watcher would see a team outside of their own. I really love the runningback tandem they have in Michael and Gray. Tannehill does a good job of managing the game and not making big mistakes, unlike Johnson did last year. Fuller is a flat out beast at WR, one of your NFL guys along with the runningbacks I assume. He could have a huge game against SMU in my opinion.
The six guys on offense that I expect to play on Sunday are the two tackles, Fuller, Gray, Michael and Tannehill. Believe it or not Tannehill is projecting as a 3-4 round pick from what I have seen.
A few reasons to like this one in my opinion. First off as it relates to A&M. I believe it is very likely they will score 40+ points in this one for various reasons. First off, SMU's kickoff coverage is mediocre and Texas A&M has a very good return game, thus it is likely they will be able to set themselves up with strong field position most of the game. Secondly, they should wear out a defense that just doesn't have much depth relatively early on with a combination of Gray and Michael at running back. Finally, Tannehill and the receivers led by Fuller should see single coverage quite often as SMU will focus on the two running backs (I suspect) leading to the opportunities for big plays.
Okay, moving on to SMU. As many probably know, SMU goes with the run and shoot, meaning that they will run a lot of plays and not use a lot of time. This should extend the game giving both teams more opportunities to score. I actually don't think SMU will be able to move the ball quite as well on A&M's secondary as others might suspect, but I do still think they will get to 20+, likely with a late TD to get them over that spot.
I am still considering taking A&M -16, but I could really see a backdoor cover here with the way SMU plays and with the fact that Sherman does not like to run up scores (if he will even get that opportunity). Anyways, I suspect a score of somewhere around 41 to 21-24.
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Adding:
TAMU/SMU o56 -110 (3 units)
A few reasons to like this one in my opinion. First off as it relates to A&M. I believe it is very likely they will score 40+ points in this one for various reasons. First off, SMU's kickoff coverage is mediocre and Texas A&M has a very good return game, thus it is likely they will be able to set themselves up with strong field position most of the game. Secondly, they should wear out a defense that just doesn't have much depth relatively early on with a combination of Gray and Michael at running back. Finally, Tannehill and the receivers led by Fuller should see single coverage quite often as SMU will focus on the two running backs (I suspect) leading to the opportunities for big plays.
Okay, moving on to SMU. As many probably know, SMU goes with the run and shoot, meaning that they will run a lot of plays and not use a lot of time. This should extend the game giving both teams more opportunities to score. I actually don't think SMU will be able to move the ball quite as well on A&M's secondary as others might suspect, but I do still think they will get to 20+, likely with a late TD to get them over that spot.
I am still considering taking A&M -16, but I could really see a backdoor cover here with the way SMU plays and with the fact that Sherman does not like to run up scores (if he will even get that opportunity). Anyways, I suspect a score of somewhere around 41 to 21-24.
Initially, I was leaning towards Baylor because I do think Robert Griffin is an unbelievable talent. But, the more I started thinking about it and researching this one, the more I liked the Horned Frogs. While I realize Baylor is at home, playing in Waco is not really a home a field advantage. For those that have been to a game there, they understand what I mean.
In thinking about this one a little bit more, there are some strong reasons to like TCU in my opinion. Gary Patterson has had a lot of time to prepare for Baylor and anytime he has a lot of time, he comes up with a great game plan, especially on the defensive side of the ball. (See the Wisconsin Rose Bowl for an example.) Further, while RGIII is a great QB, if you are able to move around on defense and get after him, he gets flustered and struggles a little bit. This happened last year when Baylor played TCU and it wouldn't shock me to see this happen again this year.
TCU does have to replace Andy Dalton, which is not an easy guy to replace, but this Baylor defense is very weak. They really don't have a strong group on that side of the ball, and while TCU may struggle a bit with a new QB, they should have no trouble getting adjusted against a very bad defense.
I do expect Baylor to come out fired up and perhaps jump to an early lead, but TCU should weather the storm in my opinion and pull this one out by 10-12 points. I could see a 35-24 type final with the Horned Frogs coming out on top.
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Adding:
TCU -5 -110 (1 unit)
Initially, I was leaning towards Baylor because I do think Robert Griffin is an unbelievable talent. But, the more I started thinking about it and researching this one, the more I liked the Horned Frogs. While I realize Baylor is at home, playing in Waco is not really a home a field advantage. For those that have been to a game there, they understand what I mean.
In thinking about this one a little bit more, there are some strong reasons to like TCU in my opinion. Gary Patterson has had a lot of time to prepare for Baylor and anytime he has a lot of time, he comes up with a great game plan, especially on the defensive side of the ball. (See the Wisconsin Rose Bowl for an example.) Further, while RGIII is a great QB, if you are able to move around on defense and get after him, he gets flustered and struggles a little bit. This happened last year when Baylor played TCU and it wouldn't shock me to see this happen again this year.
TCU does have to replace Andy Dalton, which is not an easy guy to replace, but this Baylor defense is very weak. They really don't have a strong group on that side of the ball, and while TCU may struggle a bit with a new QB, they should have no trouble getting adjusted against a very bad defense.
I do expect Baylor to come out fired up and perhaps jump to an early lead, but TCU should weather the storm in my opinion and pull this one out by 10-12 points. I could see a 35-24 type final with the Horned Frogs coming out on top.
Love to hear your thoughts on why Auburn under 6.5 wins.
I could be way off on this one, but Auburn is replacing so many players on both sides of the ball (namely Newton and Fairley) that I think they will struggle a bit this year. Plus, they have some really tough road games this year (as you do every year in the SEC), that I just think 5-7 or 6-6 seems likely. We'll see though. The one's I feel the best about in terms of my futures bets are A&M and Tennessee.
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Quote Originally Posted by atl4tigerfan:
Love to hear your thoughts on why Auburn under 6.5 wins.
I could be way off on this one, but Auburn is replacing so many players on both sides of the ball (namely Newton and Fairley) that I think they will struggle a bit this year. Plus, they have some really tough road games this year (as you do every year in the SEC), that I just think 5-7 or 6-6 seems likely. We'll see though. The one's I feel the best about in terms of my futures bets are A&M and Tennessee.
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Love it. I m on it as well.... BOL this year Buddy
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