Welcome to the 2011-12 edition of College Football Marketwatch, where the team at Sports Insights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the College Football point-spread market.
Every week we analyze the sports betting marketplace to pinpoint which games the public is chasing and which the sharps are pounding.
Overall Record = 6-2-1 (75.0%)
The goal of this weekly column is to highlight games that offer true “line value.” Often, if a line looks too good to be true, there is a reason. You’ll occasionally need the worst teams on the board to come through. We typically buy on bad news and sell on good.
Recapping Week 9
For the second straight week, Marketwatch picked off an undefeated team
as Georgia Tech, getting four points, beat Clemson, 31-17. The win was
the fifth in a row for Marketwatch, improving our record to 6-2 on the
season.
Stanford vs. Oregon State (11/5 - 3:30 p.m. ET)
Stanford survived a 56-48, triple-overtime thriller against USC last
week, improving to 8-0 on the season (and 8-0 ATS) and moving one-step closer to a
possible shot at the National Championship. As expected, Andrew Luck led
the way for the Cardinal, throwing for 330 yards and three touchdowns.
Oregon State lost to Utah, 27-8, last week, handing the Utes their first Pac-12 win. Despite being outgained by only 24 yards, the Beavers couldn't overcome four turnovers, resulting in their sixth loss of the season.
Stanford opened as a 20.5-point favorite at Pinnacle and, according to Sports Insights'https://www.sportsinsights.com/college-football-betting-trends.aspx College Football Betting Trends has received 84% of all spread bets.Even with the one-sided betting, the line has remained relatively stable throughout the week and currently sits at -20.5 at CRIS, Pinnacle and 5Dimes. This lack of line movement, despite the lopsided spread betting trends, indicates sharp money has come down on Oregon State.
Sports Insights'https://www.sportsinsights.com/sports-betting-systems.aspx College Football Betting Systems agree, triggering three positive Smart Money Plays on the Beavers, including one at Sportsbook.com (+14.09 units), our top-ranked sportsbook for any college football betting system so far this season.
This game is being offered between 20.5 and 21 at most sportsbooks, with Bodog currently at 21.5. As a result, we'll follow the sharp money,https://www.sportsinsights.com/sports-betting-articles/ncaa-football/bet-against-public/2010-11-season-review.aspx bet against a huge public favorite, and grab Oregon State at +21.5.
Game to Watch (6-2-1)
Oregon State +21.5 (Bodog)
Enjoy the games!
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