!!!!! CFB Week 8 !!!!!

37-30-2ytd -25 units...

4-4 POD's -10 units...

 

6-8 last week netting -55 units as I just flat out made way too many wager's. Back to the drawing board early this week. Here's last week's thread below...

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=33&sub=101152605&page=1

 

Be back shortly...

Frankly, Odds, we expect more out of you.    Time to pick things up, or we're going to bench you in favor of Joe Bren Sports.

1st play is:

Stanford -20 for 20 units... Andrew Luck & company on a 9-0ats tearand up against a defense that is currently allowing 300+ yards in the air this season. At home less laying just under 3td's is almost an automatic play right now...

2nd play is:

Wisconsin -7 (-135) for 20 units... The Michigan & Michigan St game this past weekend screamed 2 very over rated teams. This week Michigan St is about to venture itself against a football team that is just flat out on a whole other level. The Spartans are putting an excellent defense on the however so are the Badger's. The difference in this game is the Badger offense as they just keep moving the ball at will this year as they have put up 3139 yards of offense in 6 games thus far for averages of 523ypg and 8.67ypp. Compare that to the Spartan offense which has put up just 2323 yards of offense for averages of 387ypg and 6.6ypp. I like to the Badger's to cover this number as the Spartan's just won't be able to keep up with the pace of the Badger's...

3rd play is:

Tulsa -10 (-120) for 20 units... So far in GJ Kinnie's 2 games vs the Rice Owls the Tulsa Golden Hurricane are 2-0 and 1-0-1ats as the Golden Hurricane have outscored them 91-37 on the score board and outgained them in yardage in those 2 games 997 to 606. So far this year the Rice Owls are averaging just 322ypg and are coming off of a heartbreaking loss to Marshall as the Thundering Herd where able to win that football game in the last minute's with a late TD. GJ Kinnie has been playing much better as of recent and his career number's vs the Rice Owl's are definetly excellent one's as he has completed 47 of 71 pass attempt's throwing for 622 yards and 5td's with no interception's. Love Tulsa on Saturday...POD

That's it. I'm rolling with these 3 play's. I don't want to wager on too many game's this week. I may throw some leans up here but I don't expect any more plays......GL

BOL Odds

Who the hell is that?

And yes I stunk up the joing last week. I thought I had some pretty good read's on games. I just played way too many...

Also forgot to mention that Tulsa's 3 losses this year came from Oklahoma, Oklahoma St & Boise St. That's the number 3, 5 & 6 team in the AP poll all with undefeated record's. So this Tulsa team has been more than tested this season. I'm reall liking them a lot on Saturday....

GL

I SEE U STRAIGTHEN UP THE SHIP THIS WEEK

Any idear for tonite game ?

I just can't see a big enough advantage from one side to the next. I will say that Ryan Aplin although completing passes at a higher % from last season he just doesn't look like the same QB I remember from last season when he seemed to rudh for that 1st down on 3rd and long when his team needed to keep a drive alive. The Red Wolve's struggled in their last 2 games although they were victorious. Maybe that can work into their favor of getting the Red Wolve's tongiht on a valued number because of it. I'm just not buying it. The only suggested possibly play that I pondered was the under, but I just feel I missed the steem as it's been correctly bet down to 52.5 already from 55. So if you took a gun to my head right now I would play the Red Wolve's laying the fg @ home tonight just based on value alone. That's just my head thinking out loud though!!!

Joe Bren was/is a Covers legend.  I think he batted about 15% in his last astoundingly bad year around here. 

Like the thought of less games. Been guilty lately of betting too many myself. Those late games chasing money.  Good Luck this week.

Thanks for FYI

No problem. Good luck on your wagering this week....

Well Ryan Aplin looked like the Ryan Aplin of last year as I left the value on the board...

Thursday night play:

UCLA@Arizona over 62 for 20 units... Let's see here the Arizona Wildcats have allowed team's to gash them with the run in their past 5 game's for 1096 yards for an average yards per carry of 6.2. Here are their last 5 games along with their opponents rushing yardage and carries below:

Oregon St 128 yards on 35 carries

USC 114 yards on 25 carries

Oregon 415 yards on 47 carries

Stanford 242 yards on 39 carries

Oklahoma St 197 yards on 31 carries

So the Wildcats continue to struggle against the run. Not exactly a good formula for stopping a team like UCLA who in 6 games this year have 1167 yards on the ground on 231 carries for an average per carry of 5.05. The UCLA Bruin's sport a heavy list of excellent running backs led by junior Johnathan Franklin and senior Derrick Coleman (whom i both expect to be NFL bound). This 1-2 punch has gained 839 yards so far this season with 8td's. I look for these 2 back's to gash through the hole's of the 99th ranked rushing defense that Arizona is currently putting on the field. Arizona is the worst rushing defense that UCLA has faced thus far this season. As for that UCLA defense, they currently have had their fair shares of struggling this season. And there is evidence of that as they have allowed 32+ppg and 400+ypg this season. I see no reason why both team that suggest's either of these offense's to struggle tonight moving the ball. Keep in mind Arizona ranks 25th in offense and wil be up against the 91st ranked defense in UCLA. This game is screaming over...POD

how much are your units odds? 

Hmm you waited until week 8 when I dipped into the negative to ask this question. You still sucking Keith's knob these days?