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CFB Forum Consensus - Week 1

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by Whodeysb09:





I don't like very many of the top consensus plays either Tress


Like 'em or hate 'em, they are what they are.  In general, I think that any consensus (aka the average) always drifts towards average results.  Get a room full of twenty people making a business decision and they generally make the safe choice.  Dynamic choices (right or wrong) generally come from individuals.  That said, you cannot argue with the consensus picks from last season.  I never played them.  But they came through. 
 
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Posted: #27
Awesome Work Brother
 
Thank You for all that you Do
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #28
If you really want to bet on Greg Paulus, covering a college football game after not playing for 5 years, you sir have to be an idiot. I loved the game as soon as i saw Minny -6 ( before they announced he was starting), now that Paulus is starting i'd take it up to -14, its that simple. Paulus at bare minimum will throw 3 picks.
 
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Posted: #29
GL to all...hope we all shit on our bookies
 
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Posted: #30

Quote Originally Posted by Jim_Tressel:

I can tell you I will be going against your top 3 consensus picks...and that LSU line is waaaaaaayyyy off.

Festo's back!!   Much clown love festo!

Jim: Let me ask you this  If florida was playing @ Wash what do you think the line would be? 27, 28, maybe 29 or more

My point is LSU has VASTLY superior athletes. Period. You could argue they're every bit as talented as florida (sans tebow). So why do you think -17 is bullshit? The game will be something like 42-17 only because the second teamers will be in for LSU by the start of the fourth and may give up a late TD.

 
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Posted: #31
Mumbai?

Your firm has outsourced work to India, eh?

Good work on the consensus. I'm on a couple of those already.
 
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Posted: #32
keep firin festo - dont let anybody get you down, with ?'s of line movement and such - do like you did last year,,the forum is thankful for your work--as is--now,,lets get that cheddar
 
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Posted: #33


Great stuff, festo. thanks for all your hard work man.

i'm not on all the plays, but i'm not on the opposite side of any of them

Its gonna be a great season, let make that money






GL to all
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by fortyTWO:

Festo's back!!   Much clown love festo!

Jim: Let me ask you this  If florida was playing @ Wash what do you think the line would be? 27, 28, maybe 29 or more

My point is LSU has VASTLY superior athletes. Period. You could argue they're every bit as talented as florida (sans tebow). So why do you think -17 is bullshit? The game will be something like 42-17 only because the second teamers will be in for LSU by the start of the fourth and may give up a late TD.



I meant the line of them at -15 is off...not sure where people got that line.

I think LSU wins...just not by double digits.

I think the lines are VERY sharp this year for the first week and we will see a lot of dogs cover.
 
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Posted: #35
 
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Posted: #36
when will you post the official plays??
 
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Posted: #37
Great work Festo.  Safe travels home from the filthiest place on earth!....
 
gwjtf
 
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Posted: #38
I get chills opening this forum on the eve of the best time of the year. Lokking forward to all the football, riding Teaxas, and fading Favre!!!
 
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Posted: #39
 Thanks for plays Festo, let's have another great your. For all you idiots who are bashing, post your picks against these guys and then talk shit!!
 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by Skipster:



Like 'em or hate 'em, they are what they are.  In general, I think that any consensus (aka the average) always drifts towards average results.  Get a room full of twenty people making a business decision and they generally make the safe choice.  Dynamic choices (right or wrong) generally come from individuals.  That said, you cannot argue with the consensus picks from last season.  I never played them.  But they came through. 


I completely understand what your saying.  Although I don't think any of those plays are safe plays.  No play is safe no matter how you like it.  Penn State is the only one I agree with.  I'm one of the cappers on this list by the way
 
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Posted: #41
Yeah, I got you Whodey.  I don't much care for the list either, but that's not the point.  the list is the list.  Last year, it worked.  I won't be playing them this year either.  Maybe I'll be wrong again.
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by Skipster:

Yeah, I got you Whodey.  I don't much care for the list either, but that's not the point.  the list is the list.  Last year, it worked.  I won't be playing them this year either.  Maybe I'll be wrong again.


I'll never play this list

Ever...some of my plays might show up on the list, but as far as blindly tailing this list I won't do it.  To much pride and a little bit of confidence in myself.  To do your own work and when is much sweeter than taking someone elses..
 
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Posted: #43
To do your own work and win is much sweeter than taking someone elses..

Jesus I've been fumbling words a lot lately
 
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Posted: #44
I trust you're not above stealing ideas, though.

Personally, I'll steal stuff blatantly if the poster makes a great point about a game.  A win is a win.  The point is to steal the good ones and leave the crap behind.
 
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Posted: #45
listen to everyone - tail no one
 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by Skipster:

I trust you're not above stealing ideas, though.

Personally, I'll steal stuff blatantly if the poster makes a great point about a game.  A win is a win.  The point is to steal the good ones and leave the crap behind.

 
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Posted: #47
I am going to post the lines as the current Covers line to avoid any confusion.   Note that the cappers likely have locked in at different lines, sometimes dramatically different because so many games have been available for week 1 betting so early.
 
Consensus Picks (9/1/2009)
 
LSU -17 (4)
Minnesota -6.5 (5)
Oregon +4 (5)
Penn St. -27 (5)
 
Information Only:
 
Arizona -14 (3)
Colorado -10.5 (3)
Illinois -7 (3)
Kentucky -14 (3)
Michigan -10.5 (3)
NC St -4 (3)
Nebraska -21.5 (3)
Stanford -17 (3)
Texas -41 (3)
Troy -6.5 (3)
UAB -6 (3)
 
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Posted: #48
festo -  thanks for all the hard work & to the participating cappers.  New to the site but really liking all the info.   
 
Locked & Loaded
 
Minny -61/2
Penn St. -27
 
 
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Posted: #49
Great job festo, THANK YOU for all that you do!!!!!
 
 
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Posted: #50
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