CAN ANYONE REALLY PICK 70%

after reading the comments i agree there are smart folks on this forum however when it comes to picks i probably over think the plays. like tonight in my opinion lsu should run away with this one however i see a lot of picks for miss st. im an sec guy and feel like i have a good idea of the teams potential but i start wondering what they may know that i dont. lsu leads the trend categories has the better defense and can score pts. so what am i missing?

BRO DONT EVER PAY FOR A SERVICE ..... HANG OUT HERE AND PAY ATTENTION LOT OF GOOD CAPPERS IF YOU CAN GET PAST THE BULLSHIT ONES AND THEN MAKE YOUR OWN PICKS ... LIKE THAT IF YOU LOSE ... YOU CAN ONLY BLAME YOURSELF AND THOSE ASSHOLE COLLEGE KIDS THAT DONT COVER SPREADS

The only reason you would ever pay for a service is (1) They have 'inside' information, which the public is not aware of (Efficient market hypothesis, as in investing in stocks, 'all information should be available to the public', giving the edge only to those who take the time to interpret the information)..  Also, how would you ever know if the inside information is credible.. etc..  (2) The service proves in interpret's the information better than the average person (which is what most cappers claim to do)..  This can be done using experience, computer models, etc.. 

I do believe that cappers who provide service are beating the 52.38% break even point, but you must adjust this for the extra 'vig' you use to buy the plays, which could move your break even point to 55%+, which if the professional giving you the plays is hitting 57% (A very respectible mark) your profit margin is a slim 2%, maybe less, since the lines could move once his plays are released, also reducing your value. 

The statistical information on every game is readily available to the public.  If you take the time to research and interpret each game yourself and stay disciplined, beating the 52.38% break even point is definately possible.  Also, create a unit structure, and when you think the probability of a play is higher or has more value, increase your bet size.  By doing this, you could still only be winning 52% - 55% overall, but as long as your big bets cover 60%, you will have a solid win rate. 

Pretty obvious information iv stated here, but if you want to know what site's I use to get my information & stats shoot me a pm.  Im also an excel junky, so I mainly use my excel program I built.

Football is current at the end of September 14, 2011:
NFL: 15-3-0, 83.33% win rate and +11.80 units
NCAA: 19-7-0, 73.08% win rate, +19.96 units
ALL: 34-10-0, 77.27% win rate and +31.76 units

From July 15, 2011 to September 14, 2011 all sports (less t'breds (-1.11 unit) are:
141-65-1, a 68.45% win rate and +139.4737 units

... Often the public over values a team / play.  It's never a bad idea to wait & watch line movements all week to see which have moved the most.  Sometimes the move is the correct one (watch the lines right after the open, especially in cfb, the sharp betters jump on them fast, thus making them move fast).. Compare these to lines that haven't moved much, yet a high % of public wagers are on this play (LSU could be an example... because this line hasn't moved much.. and everyone is on it!  Including me! But I still see value in LSU covering this spread)

Also, you can never 'over think' the plays, if you are very unsure or find little value in a play, avoid it.  There will always be another play, I can promise you that  Gl man

Teaser78 is right on. That is what I do.  There are great cappers here. You will hear both sides. I cap one or two games I think stand out, and follow a bunch of super folks here, to get their take on both sides of other games. I play three or four of those. Try to keep my bets down to 4 or 5 a week.

BOL            8-2 to date, (that will fall) 

Hello Sports Fans

NCAA  16-7 ...+31 units

 NFL 5-1...+11 units

This is a trap, everything on treeds points to LSU, all the matchup's look to Miss St. Both these teams have scoring every quarter.

Mississippi St. +4 1 Unit

Mississippi ML +144 1 Unit

LSU/MSU Over 48 1/2 3 Units

Good money managment, big weekend coming.

In 14 years, of picking and handicapping and wagering, i've been over 70% 4 years...It is by far hard to exceed....money managment and bankroll discipline, will get you paid...bol

Hey G,  I read all the post's here in response to your 70% question. Some are good advise and others are not. I sent you a friend request,  I think you will like what we talk about, so accept the request if you choose. Send me a personal message and I will reply. I won't post my personal info here, I am not a public company.

 Even if you don't talk to me, learn to relax and practice patience when betting. Scammers feed off of emotions