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Posted: #876
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Herman vs Kirby

I think Kirby will play his average gameplan, which should be good for 35ish points....I think with a month, Herman will have some stuff planned and Kirby wont adjust cuz hes a moron. Also, UGA had to be disappointed they let Bama escape. Tx happy to be in this game.....

Instant classic. 38-34


Im occasionally wrong, so theres that.....

I just thought the combo of both was odd

interesting score prediction , Tom is great as a dog & uga not thrilled to be there so I get that angle , Texas thrilled to be there

38-34 would surprise me without turnovers aiding Texas 

It’s bowl season though & we just saw Utah have 5 turnovers & implode in a half, 17 point lead at half & lose by 11 to north fkn western

that’s hard to do 
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Posted: #877
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

I will play some winning margins on this game. I watched Iowa vs Nebraska and said i would fade them in their bowl game. Miss D is sick....only gave up more than 10 points 4 times....held Bama to 24 on the road with the O doing NOTHING.....

Iowa wont run the ball. They wont have Fant to bail them oit on short passes. Stanley wont have time to throw long balls. Might add the game over, but MSU TT24 is ridiculous if the D plays like I expect....hopefully Fitz has a decent game and they dont settle for fgs.....
that state tt does feel very good, I can’t lie 
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Posted: #878

Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:

from a matchup standpoint in Kentucky Vs Sandusky Penn has better coachPenn has better QBDefenses are prob close to equal I prefer Kentucky in a teaser to 11.5 myself but certainly hope they smoke them, I think they can definitely cover but I wouldn’t ml it

 Wildcats always seem to perform well in underdog role and dominate the trenches.  I have substantial bets on my final leg of a few parlays for Kentucky and really want your input on where u think Diddler St mindset is going into this game and how you think this plays out.  Penn St has no backup QB and extremely convervative as it is... I think Kentucky strives vs one dimensional spot.   I dont know whether to hedge or not. 

 
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Posted: #879
Quote Originally Posted by Sty1ez:

 Wildcats always seem to perform well in underdog role and dominate the trenches.  I have substantial bets on my final leg of a few parlays for Kentucky and really want your input on where u think Diddler St mindset is going into this game and how you think this plays out.  Penn St has no backup QB and extremely convervative as it is... I think Kentucky strives vs one dimensional spot.   I dont know whether to hedge or not. 

Kentucky will be more excited to be there but it’s Trace’s last game 

How much are your parlays for & at what spread did you bet them?

Line is going toward UK as it was 6.5-7


Hedging some is always the smart approach because you guarantee yourself a profit, anytime you can guarantee profit when betting I do it, I’m about money & not as much about gambling so my advice is generally going to be the safe guaranteed profit 
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Posted: #880
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:


Kentucky makes me a touch uneasy because they can only run & they finished season poorly , they do play nice defense & I have a great dislike for James Fraud-Lin

hopefully a lower scoring defensive grinder there

would love to see Kentucky win that game to earhole James 
UK was just exhausted middle of the season ....beat mizzou on the road (shouoda lost)....shoulda beat a&m....lost to uga after mizzou and then had nothing left in bad loss to Tenn. Easily coulda been 11-1.....Defense is tough and tested....Penn St aint gonna scare them. Kentucky does have a poor passing game, which os why i just bet them as a normal play. Like the U48 better than a side.....
 
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Posted: #881
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

UK was just exhausted middle of the season ....beat mizzou on the road (shouoda lost)....shoulda beat a&m....lost to uga after mizzou and then had nothing left in bad loss to Tenn. Easily coulda been 11-1.....Defense is tough and tested....Penn St aint gonna scare them. Kentucky does have a poor passing game, which os why i just bet them as a normal play. Like the U48 better than a side.....

Yeah I can see that, I like Trace & respect his toughness, UK may knock his block off though, those boys play hard on d 

this feels like a good game to watch 
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Posted: #882
Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

My book is sitting hard on LSU -7.5 (-105) and I am wondering if there is any chance at all it drops to -7 tomorrow of more of a shot that it goes up to -8...

Any thoughts on that?  I hate paying that extra money to get it down to -7...or maybe its just such a strong selection I don't even need to worry about that hook...?

7.5 is a yuck line.....i would wait and see if it drops in the morning. Im not in love with LSU laying over 7....they should run wild, but they gotta show up
 
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Posted: #883
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:


I just thought the combo of both was odd

interesting score prediction , Tom is great as a dog & uga not thrilled to be there so I get that angle , Texas thrilled to be there

38-34 would surprise me without turnovers aiding Texas 

It’s bowl season though & we just saw Utah have 5 turnovers & implode in a half, 17 point lead at half & lose by 11 to north fkn western

that’s hard to do 
Yep....

If Georgia does get a lead, I think TX can throw the ball against the GA secondary. If the TX TT drops below 24 I will bite
 
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Posted: #884

Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:

Quote Originally Posted by Sty1ez:

 Wildcats always seem to perform well in underdog role and dominate the trenches.  I have substantial bets on my final leg of a few parlays for Kentucky and really want your input on where u think Diddler St mindset is going into this game and how you think this plays out.  Penn St has no backup QB and extremely convervative as it is... I think Kentucky strives vs one dimensional spot.   I dont know whether to hedge or not. 
Kentucky will be more excited to be there but it’s Trace’s last game How much are your parlays for & at what spread did you bet them?Line is going toward UK as it was 6.5-7Hedging some is always the smart approach because you guarantee yourself a profit, anytime you can guarantee profit when betting I do it, I’m about money & not as much about gambling so my advice is generally going to be the safe guaranteed profit

 

100 to win 1600 ... FIU ML, baylor 4.5, KU ML

60 to win 640...   duke ML, stanford ml(square), KU ML

100 to win ~560 duke 4.5 flu 4.5 Kentucky 7.5

I'm around a $250 better just debating options.  I'm leaning letting it ride 

 

 
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Posted: #885
Quote Originally Posted by Sty1ez:

Kentucky will be more excited to be there but it’s Trace’s last game How much are your parlays for & at what spread did you bet them?Line is going toward UK as it was 6.5-7Hedging some is always the smart approach because you guarantee yourself a profit, anytime you can guarantee profit when betting I do it, I’m about money & not as much about gambling so my advice is generally going to be the safe guaranteed profit

 

100 to win 1600 ... FIU ML, baylor 4.5, KU ML

60 to win 640...   duke ML, stanford ml(square), KU ML

100 to win ~560 duke 4.5 flu 4.5 Kentucky 7.5

I'm around a $250 better just debating options.  I'm leaning letting it ride 

 

I thought you had spread bets, with ml hedge it would be expensive so let’s see 

I may hedge the first one where you guarantee yourself a $1000 & cover your other bets if penn St wins 

I’m showing 230 ml on penn st, you could take that to win 200 basically assuring over $1100 profit on first bet or $100 if penn st won

I’d leave rest 

That’s how I’d do it personally do it 

GL with whatever you decide 
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Posted: #886

Haven't been more excited for a prospect in josh allen since roquan.  He shows up always, you look at the success chace young had vs the diddlers and how he manhandled them, i expect the same with allen.

 
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Posted: #887
Quote Originally Posted by Sty1ez:

Haven't been more excited for a prospect in josh allen since roquan.  He shows up always, you look at the success chace young had vs the diddlers and how he manhandled them, i expect the same with allen.

let me know if you decide to hedge some 

I say take my advice , you win either way if you do that 
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Posted: #888
PS....Are both of you on the UCF/LSU over?....
 
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Posted: #889
Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:

PS....Are both of you on the UCF/LSU over?....

Yes we both bet 54 a few days ago for bigger

He posted that then & then just posted updated line earlier to avoid controversy & make it easier 

I wouldn’t go bigger at current number as it’s running away but we both still like it 

It depends on Ed O, if he lets his guys loose we should be good, ucf wants to play fast break ball so hopefully Ed doesn’t grind it out & eat clock 



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Posted: #890
happy new years wahoo. been following you since the black cat. you are one of the few legends that sticks around despite the BS and i really respect that (not that it means jack to you). wish you the best moving forward although i guess i should wish myself the best as you and our friend maine!

 
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Posted: #891
Damn ....line is at 58...
 
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Posted: #892
happy new years wahoo
 
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Posted: #893

solid thread, just found it, best of luck

 
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Posted: #894

Glad you two like miss st.  Their team total has dropped to 22.5 -115. 

 
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Posted: #895
You guys liking Clemson? Sorry if already stated 
 
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Posted: #896
Miss St TT O22.5 


Banking on the MSU D to set up the O all day with good field position. Could be a 6-3 grinder.....freakin bowl games....
 
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Posted: #897
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Miss St TT O22.5 


Banking on the MSU D to set up the O all day with good field position. Could be a 6-3 grinder.....freakin bowl games....

Played O 23

LSU at 32.5 seems like a good deal too
 
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Posted: #898
[Quote: Originally Posted by TRAIN69] Miss St TT O22.5 


Banking on the MSU D to set up the O all day with good field position. Could be a 6-3 grinder.....freakin bowl games....

hey train, how about the iowa TT U?  sitting at 16.5 -115 right now. with iowa stank O  and MST D seems like a strong bet
 
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Posted: #899
Quote Originally Posted by bshoe43:

Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Miss St TT O22.5 


Banking on the MSU D to set up the O all day with good field position. Could be a 6-3 grinder.....freakin bowl games....

hey train, how about the iowa TT U?  sitting at 16.5 -115 right now. with iowa stank O  and MST D seems like a strong bet
I max bet the U18.5 a few days ago. 16.5 is still very good, but its a whole score less (in theory). I dont think Iowa will be scoring tds so it should be good. Always rough taking a lower number when a better one was available.

GL
 
 
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Posted: #900
Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:


Played O 23

LSU at 32.5 seems like a good deal too
LSU should run right over UCF. If they can pass even a little and dont settle for fgs I think they put up 24-31 @ half just like Memphis did.....

Heres hopin!!
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