Locked in -
- Tulsa -10.5 (-110) - 2.5 units
- Navy +10 (-110) - 2.5 units
- Notre Dame -2.5 (-110) - 2.5 units
- UTEP -15 (-110) - 2.5 units
- FSU -7 (-110) - 2.5 units
- Stanford +7 (-110) - 2.5 units
Leans -
- NC State +4 - Virginia Tech seems to have righted their ship to some degree with their 2H against ECU and BC, but this NC St train is firing on all cylinders right now, getting great QB play for Russell and playing stout defense. I believe they are disciplined enough on defense to contain Taylor and if Russell makes smart decisions, NC St will have an opportunity to win this SU. Those are all "if's", but I would even consider this if this game was being played in Blacksburg, much less at home. Hope this line goes up as the week progresses...will definitely monitor it.
- ECU +13 - UNC does not deserve to be a near 2 TD fave in my opinion. ECU has played well this year and that QB is a great player. If anything, I could see this being a 7-10 pt type of game. it wouldn't surprise me at all if ECU took this down to the wire and had a chance to win this SU.
- Army +5 - This is a situational play against Temple in essence. Army ran the ball at will against a Duke defense that is nothing to brag about, but Duke isn't as bad as they played this past weekend. Just like the similar line against Duke this past weekend, I think Army does have a chance to take this one down SU.
- Georgia Tech -9.5 - NC St made Georgia Tech look bad. That's because they are that good. If I had any inkling that Wake could stop anyone on defense, I would not touch this game. WF sure has fallen quickly after their few years at the top of the ACC. GTech isn't this bad. They will eventually start scoring their points and getting some better box score wins. I see this being the week.
- Kentucky +2.5 - Kentucky caught Florida at the wrong time. Florida couldn't fall victim to the look-ahead against Alabama this past weekend because they haven't been playing particularly well in the first place. Although Kentucky hadn't really played anyone until Florida, They are still a good team and had they played Florida close(r) last weekend, this game would be a PK in my opinion.
- Idaho -3 - WMU has thrown the crap out of the ball, but other than that, they don't have much else to offer. Idaho is a better team from top to bottom, more importantly being defense. Enderle is a good QB in the conference and although it did surprise me to see them struggle against CSU, I see this Vandals team fixing their mistakes and getting back on track for a TD or 10 pt win.
- TCU -33 - I feel really bad for CSU this weekend. I was at the SMU/TCU game and TCU did not play inspired football, even though it is supposed to be a big rivalry game. They were just going through the motions and making sure not to get upset. This is a great situational spot for the Horned Frogs and I think Andy Dalton and crew will possibly get another shutout performance in the realm of 45-0, and if not, 45-7.
- Georgia -5 - Georgia 0-3? Who would have thought? Georgia 0-4? Possibly, but not against Colorado. I think this will be one of the easier games this weekend. Georgia by 2 TD's, minimum. Speed, talent, and AJ Green back.
- ASU +3.5 - ASU showed a lot of heart against Oregon at home. Can they turn in 2 gutsy back to back performances, only not make all those turnovers? Threet is a good QB, and once he learns when to and when to not make certain throws, he will be really good. This line is due to the game being in Corvalis, which is a hard place to play, but I still think ASU pulls this one off.
- SMU -12.5 - Rice is not good. SMU hasn't been in a situation to be a road favorite often. That streak broke earlier this year and June Jones has this team on the rise. The game against TCU was a lot closer than the score indicated. I see a 14-20 pt victory here. This will all depend on how well their defense plays. Not worried about their offense outscoring Rice's offense.
- Florida +9 - I am a Florida homer, and it's hard for me to see past the fact that UF might not win every game on their schedule, no matter how bad they're playing...but SEC matchup that will be much like the Arkansas/Bama game from last week? I might have to chomp on this one. Would like +10 better if it gets to that, but don't see that happening. Bama just played a hard game to stay undefeated, and Florida's defense will be ready. The offense finally turned on and it sure is a good time to see that light turn on for this team. Might stay away as well.
- Iowa -7 - Iowa killed itself against Zona and we could all tell how pissed they were the following week. Penn St has not played well at all this year with their true freshman Boldin and expect to see some more growing pains for him. Iowa defense and Stanzi will take this down at home, and I am very close to playing this. If the line doesn't move down, I might have to bite off 1/2 a pt.
- Clemson +3.5 - I don't even think Miami should be favored here. Public is really fooled by their prime time road game against Pitt. That Pitt team is not good. Dion Lewis will never get going unless he gets better play from Sunseri, who sucks...but that's beside the point. Clemson is a very live dog here. Watch out.
- Hawaii -8 - This is one of those "too good to be true" lines for me. Hawaii's coach is an idiot, of course, but their offense is pretty loaded this year. They always play better on the Island, and this is a La Tech team that beat them up last year off the Island. I would have set this line at -15, so this really throws me off.