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WEEK #8,,,,,,,,,,,,Welcome all knowledgeable STREAK Breakers,We are ready to reap major profits

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Prospect
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Posted: #76
damn i wish i would have read the thread the right way.  thanks semper for the feedback
 
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Posted: #77
Sunday streak system plays  vs. ATS past/current system plays:

St. Mary's @ SANTA CLARA +13 ,,,,80 - 72

streak system: SANTA CLARA
ATS past/current: St. Mary's

Va. Tech @ UNC - 8,,,,,64 - 78

streak system: UNC
ATS past/current: Va. Tech

,,,so in these 2 scenarios the streak system scored 2 wins over ATS past/current with none.

Anyway ,,,how can we get our hands of ATS records of teams for first week of the season.
 
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Posted: #78

The play I like on the sysem tonight is the only home team.

Oklahoma +1

I know you like Ok State based on Stats Goaline Bob, but I think being a dog at home with the system behind you smells like a winner.  

 
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Posted: #79
Stinks to be back working after all that time off - sorry I have not been posting much. 

I am on Boise and Greensboro - I hate the Greensboro play most but I was dreading Santa Clara last night and still took it while holding my nose.  Remember Columbia covering against the Cuse?  or putrid Umass beating Memphis outright?  The system does identify the spots where the the streak must end.

I know, for the haters, as well as the followers, watching TN martin and Niowa take chunks out of the payroll makes one extremely nervous.  Take a closer look and see that very strange things have to happen to keep these streaks going

Evansville up 2 at the half and then scoring 13 pts in 2h vs Niowa???  Odds on that?  Their streak should have ended right there...

Tn martin missing a cover by a bucket TWICE in a row?

As I could not double up every time (I think I set my unit too high with my meager roll) I went to a slightly different betting scheme but I am back to fading Niowa and on TN Martin.  In the past 3 and 1/2 years exactly 5 times has a streak gone past 9. 

Niowa will lose ats in the next two games (a letdown and look ahead spot)

TN martin has yet to beat a D1 team but they will have two decent chances to do just that in their next two games.



 
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Posted: #80
I am halfway done with my hockey numbers

Fading 5 game winning streak is 31-19.  Certainly fade EVERY 7 gm win streak and double there. (you tend to get really good odds too)

Losing streaks are longer and tougher - what I noticed, however, is that BAD teams accounted for a ton of losing streaks.  I would only play playoff caliber teams to end their streak in Hockey.

Also, Over streaks are good to fade as well - the problem here is the PUSH.

I will try to post the hockey numbers when I get them.  I will NOT post just to post, so don't think I am gone, just keeping the clutter to a minimum.

 
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Posted: #81

Morn gents,,, damnnn St Marys doesn't cover,,,,,.. and i could had hedged parlay but i was so certain,,,,,,,see what happens when GREED steps in,,,,,,,,,

New formula approach,,,,, went 3-2,,,,,,Manhattan,,,,,,san Fran,,,Oreg St,,,,,,,,,,,loses,, VT and St Marys,,,how they allowed 45 points vs their 39 in 2nd half was my demise,,,,,

 
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Posted: #82
I cant wait until 4 weeks from now when he tells us hes 90-0.
 
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Posted: #83
Yesterday's system plays went 4-2.
Saturday they were 11-9.

So even if you just play against the streaks without doing the doubling down thing, it could be a good system. You are still taking advantage of the main edge - that the odds will be slanted towards ending that streak.

Any plays today?
 
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Posted: #84

Guys i do not believe you can get records of week #1 easily,,11/22/09,,,,,,,,,,,,,I do have them because i take the time to post each weeks ATS on my spread sheets so i know from week to week who is donig what,,,,,,,,

For todays plays i will post first the Streak plays,,only 3 today

and then post formula plays as formula finds them,,,,,,,,,,,,the W/L from 11/22 will be posted,,since not many plays,,,,,

Oklahoma 0-4,,,,,to cover

Lou Tech at 4-0 to not cover

Chattanooga at 4-0 to not cover

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<,

Now how formula sees it,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

Okla  0-2-0,,,,,now,,,4-8-0 = 4-6-0,,,

Okla St,,,0-0-1 now,,6-2-1 = 6-2-0,,,,play

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Lou Tch,,1-1-0,,now,,8-3-0 = 7-2-0,, play

Boise ,0-3-0,,now,,5-8-0 = 5-3-0

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Greensboro,,,,1-2-0,,now,,4-9-1 = 3-7-0,,

Chatanooga,,,,0-1-0 now,,5-4-0 = 5-3-0 play,,,

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

All 3 just the opposite,,,,,,,,,,,,,What i would do if team in red is getting points ,,that would def be a play,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,this is all first time doing this so watch and see or play light

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

What i like is with formula you get more selections,,and poss some stronger plays,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,back with bal of plays shortly

 
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Posted: #85
goalie, would you use this same method in baseball?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #86
hey rvblack keep that shit to yourself.if i would of followed system i would of been 3-1 instead of 1-3 with losses coming on SD,VTECH and ST MARYS.  All 3 losses system said to take other side,sometimes u just think your smarter than u really are. I will continue to pick and choose however and with insight from bob and bandos and semperfi i will get back on track..thx fellas
 
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Posted: #87

In Fact there is an easier way,,,,,if you go to covers ATS stats you will find all teams records currently,,,,,,,,when i post final # with deduction of week #1 you will have the difference what week #1 was,,,,,,,,,,,,first play posted is,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

Nova 7-3-0,,,+ points,,My play

Louv,4-6-0,,

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<,

Hawaii,,,2-5-0,,+18,,play

Utah St,,3-6-0

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

SJS,,,,,,5-4-0 +7 play

Fresno,,6-4-0

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

N MEX ST,,,,,4-4-0 + 7.5 play

Idaho,,,,,,,,,,,3-6-0

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Canisius,,8-5-0,,,+15 play

Siena,,,,,,7-4-0

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Iona,,,,,,,,,3-4-0,,,,,,

Loy MD,,,,3-4-0,,,,pretty even Pass

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Niagara,,,,,,4-7-0,,

St Peters,,,,3-3-0 +6 play,,,,,

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Rider,,,,,,,,,,2-6-0,,

Marist,,,,,,,,,3-3-0,,+8,,play,,

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

East ILL  2-5-0 +18 appears as the play with +18,,but No Play

Murray,,,4-4-0,,,

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

This is just the first day of formula plays so just watch and lets see how they play out,,,,,,If poss agree with your capping skils maybe it gives more credit to your selections,,,,

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

I will still be watching streak plays as go foreward,,but all 3 are on the weak play side anyway ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

 
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Posted: #88
hey Izzy that oreg St play came in like clock work and formula was right on S fran too
 
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Posted: #89

After really looking at this i gotta take those +18 points

East ILL  2-5-0 +18 appears as the play with +18,,

Murray,,,4-4-0,,,

 
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Posted: #90
No In ,,,,,,,,its Starting Pitcher vs SP but only 5 innings ,,,,no 9 inning plays,, also no bull pen,,no managerial mistakes,,,no OT's,,,NOTHING ,to screw up a game,,,,
 
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Posted: #91
EXIBITION GAMES ARE THE BEST as you don't even know on most occasions who is starting and in the line up ,,,,,,,Cleaned up last year,,,,,,,,,before season even started,,,,,,,,,,,,
 
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Posted: #92
yea bob i ended up with only 2 winners yesterday. indy st and oreg st. that was a nice call on oreg st.. so after capping all games,i will use ur new system and play light at first. I will be on these 3 plays: nova, ok st and louis tech.
 
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Posted: #93
I have La Tech at 5-0
 
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Posted: #94
also bob, i think putting small wager on villanova ml would be smart play. no.4 team catching points.  I have a hard time going against murray st as they could blow the doors off E illini. murray st 7-0 at home,and playing at home tonite.  also bob take a look at sienna -15 at home to beat down canisius. do u have any rankings for sienna?
 
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Posted: #95
yea pete la tech has covered last 5 in a row. and boise st has covered 1 time in last 5 games.  smart play would be la tech to make it 6 covers in a row.just my opinion
 
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Posted: #96

the longer i look at these plays both Streak plays and Formula plays,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,what jumps out at me are,,,,Hawaii getting +18 from a team at ATS of 3-6-0,,,,,,,,

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<,,

2nd play,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

N Mex St at 4-4-0 over 8 full weeks is getting points +7.5 from a Idaho  team with an ATS of 3-6-0,,,,,,,

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Canisius is 8-5-0 over 8 weeks and getting +15 from Siena at 7-4-0,,,too many points as ST marys last night,,,,,,

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Niagara at 4-7-0 after 8 weeks giving +6 points (and on the road) to St Peters at 3-3-0,, showing a 50% cover,,,,,,,St Pete

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Murray and EIU ,,,,just love those + 18 points,,,,,,but must admit up in the air on this play,,,,,,,,will be intresting how it plays out

 
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Posted: #97

izzy streak system says Lou tch at 5-0 to not cover,,,my dilema

the other 2 are only at level #4,,,I may avoid those 3 plays although system still has them as plays and its record will continue as none are at level #7 yet so plenty of time to jump on them yet,,,,,,,,,,,,

 
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Posted: #98
yea i see what u are saying with them only being at level 4,i will watch and see what happens. so after looking at streak and formula information,who do u feel confident in putting our hard earned dollars on? I work too bob.
 
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Posted: #99

and the BIG Difference a lot of ties which are PUSHES not loses,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

No In ,,,,,,,,its Starting Pitcher vs SP but only 5 innings ,,,,no 9 inning plays,, also no bull pen,,no managerial mistakes,,,no OT's,,,NOTHING ,to screw up a game,,,,

 
 
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Posted: #100

New Mex St,,,Hawaii,,,,Canisius,,,,,St Peters,,,,,,

two lean plays,,,,,,,,Nova M,(your suggestion,),,,,,EIU +18 murray only 4 covers so just 50%

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