Wednesday

NW

Today is the day to take Maryland. Got a nice win last game and Iowa has 2 big home games on deck vs Purdue(revenge) and Nebraska. Reminds me a bit of Iowa St vs TCU yesterday though TCU mis a bit better team than Maryland Also Iowa is in a rare Big 10 situation. How often do you see Big ten teams pull off 4 straight DD wins on the road? 

GL

thank you for sharing this info 

I have bet on Maryland a few times this season and finally made a profit.  I’m am familiar with them. I looked at this game and saw that Maryland is a bad streak as a home conference dog, losing the last 5 attempts by double digits. Maybe that’s why the line is+10? 

I don’t know not teams certainly are trending opposite which does provide line opportunities.  On the flip side in a pre game situation I’ll wait and see how these teams matchup. 

Northwesten this season has been a conference favorite 4 times. I mention this because I have NW tonight vs Michigan if the line jumps higher that could be a stronger situation , line opportunity.  We’ll see 

The other thing to consider is is line valuations.  Teams that are dogs a lot are not the type of teams that I tend to back on multiple occasions.  Maryland this season has been a conference favorite one (-1.5 to Penn State) that’s no bueno, and most often pass. 

lastly about Maryland I looked at their upcoming schedule.  I would love to see Maryland get hammered tonight.  They have Rutgers on deck and even tho Rutgers has lost 7 in a row in conference they are 8-3 ATs in their last 11 conference games this season. Rutgers will have to do more that just cover when they face Maryland they’ll need a win to get the cover.

ill look hard at Maryland vs bad teams but dependent on the line and consensus. 

best wishes 

As far as Iowa keep an eye on them certainly they are ripe for a fall, regression.  This game could be that.  If not that beings in an opportunity next game certainly. 

much like my searches I try to avoid tops and bottoms do as far as Iowa is concerned is how they finish the 2nd half.  If they one again dominate both haves I’ll pass again. I need to see a big tread snd outstandinging play start to show signs of weakness. 

same as teams like Nebraska and both Michigans and Purdue as well.  Soon as the bs shows up they start losing ATs.  See weakness first then trust to fade. 

@T45677uncvito

Michigan and a lot of favorites on Super Bowl Sunday cashed.  I’m expecting more regression from the recent covered high public teams 

Maryland was one of the few shockers on Super Bowl.  They might get some attention from that shocking win 

Iowa will be dogs the next 2 games so that is a regression signal but tonight Maryland I’ll pass on the pregame opportunity.  Those type of dogs are around 56%ats  depending on the opponent and how well they play.  I don’t think 56% is good enough as bad as Maryland can be.  We’ll see maybe I missed this one.  

I can’t get em all 

I hit 9-2 yesterday. I’m not celebrating I think I was betting into a fortunate situation with what transpired on Sunday.  The Super Bowl favorite covered and a lot of other big time favorites as well.  So far I am seeing some regression as the books are bouncing back. 

we’ll see what happens tonight.  

keep a close eye and the ranked heavily attractive teams. 

Thank you spottie for giving me something to read and to understand your logic in picking games.  Knowledge for intangibles makes you a wise one.  Appreciated it.  

Under: UCONN145

Northwestern+15.5 

Mercer -2.5

Seasttle +14

san Diego -2.5

Colorado +14.5

possible in/game on Georgia 

I just do my best I can be 2-7 or 7-2.  I use my winning % to my advantage.  
why?

if I lose on unranked teams and overs (my unders) so do the books Lise.  Guess what.  If you manage your bank roll and take small losses and small gains.  When losing streaks happens the books bounce bank.  One needs to have enough bankroll to survive losing. 

in the NFL in 2024 towards the last half of the season and into the first part of 2025 the favorites are hitting 60-65% well sustainability and regression occurred later in 2025. 

knowing what is currently taking place, in isolated groups like top 25 public teams, and knowing the books tendency to bring back balance is an opportunity. 

the books can’t completely destroy players because no one would play. 

@nfl_brosuf

 Thank for the comment too 

@spottie2935

 S/2935.....here's to a profitable evening buddy.....

BOL.....indy

@indy2

 Back atcha Indy 

When you’re cold and not winning a lot of people chase.  A lot of others advise not to chase. In the short term I say chasing is bad.  Waiting for opportunities is better.  Most guys will hit close to 50%  even 45% can be profitable.  Wait for the opportunity to bet higher like you are chasing but the chances of winning are better after a long losing streak.  

stop betting real money or lower bets.  Wait for opportunities when you’re not struggling.  Take advantage of knowing ripe betting opportunities. All leagues and seasons meander dogs and favorites keep track on what is happening then take a break. One isn’t going to win or lose always. If you take small bets you can last longer and press into bigger bets.  After the run is over cash out and start over. So what if you continue to win, you’re protected yourself.  And you can play more and longer. 

When you’re cold and not winning a lot of people chase.  A lot of others advise not to chase. In the short term I say chasing is bad.  Waiting for opportunities is better.  Most guys will hit close to 50%  even 45% can be profitable.  Wait for the opportunity to bet higher like you are chasing but the chances of winning are better after a long losing streak.  

stop betting real money or lower bets.  Wait for opportunities when you’re not struggling.  Take advantage of knowing ripe betting opportunities. All leagues and seasons meander dogs and favorites keep track on what is happening then take a break. One isn’t going to win or lose always. If you take small bets you can last longer and press into bigger bets.  After the run is over cash out and start over. So what if you continue to win, you’re protected yourself.  And you can play more and longer. 

GL  on your plays mah man @spottie2935 

Took Colorado +15.0 to cover . . . no pun intended hehe 

good luck good vibes MAC 

Under: UCONN145

Northwestern+15.5 

Mercer -2.5

Seasttle +14

san Diego -2.5

Colorado +14.5

possible in/game on Georgia

@CCO687