Just curious...why would the books set OR as a fave...
Because they have so much money to give back. The books and Vegas must have been visited by three spirits last night and felt obligated to give a superior team points... Thanks for the find op..
Oral Roberts -2.5 for me..
"Schrödinger's bet." A bet that loses when you bet it but wins when you DON'T bet it...
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Quote Originally Posted by games1:
Just curious...why would the books set OR as a fave...
Because they have so much money to give back. The books and Vegas must have been visited by three spirits last night and felt obligated to give a superior team points... Thanks for the find op..
KP has S. Dakota at #157 and ORU at #218. That's a 61-spot differential, which, in considering that there's 351 D1 teams, isn't a prodigious gap.
Look at the adjusted efficiency margins:
S. Dakota is +0.45
Oral Roberts is -4.92
That's approximately a 5-point differential, or the difference between Penn State/UAB or Pitt/Stanford. In other words, if those teams played on a neutral floor, the spread would be somewhere in the neighborhood of Penn State -5 or Pitt -5.
On a neutral floor, S. Dakota would be a 4.5-5.5 pt favorite. ORU gets 3-4 points as the home team, hence why this spread opened around a PK.
The key to understanding how lines are made is to look at that KenPom adjusted efficiency metric. It's an excellent baseline for comparing the relative strength of any two teams. Linesmakers make lines using these types of math-based analytics, which is why it's so mind-blowing that this forum devotes an inordinate amount of time and energy babbling on about trap lines and "Vegas trickery."
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A disclaimer: I'm not advocating for either side.
KP has S. Dakota at #157 and ORU at #218. That's a 61-spot differential, which, in considering that there's 351 D1 teams, isn't a prodigious gap.
Look at the adjusted efficiency margins:
S. Dakota is +0.45
Oral Roberts is -4.92
That's approximately a 5-point differential, or the difference between Penn State/UAB or Pitt/Stanford. In other words, if those teams played on a neutral floor, the spread would be somewhere in the neighborhood of Penn State -5 or Pitt -5.
On a neutral floor, S. Dakota would be a 4.5-5.5 pt favorite. ORU gets 3-4 points as the home team, hence why this spread opened around a PK.
The key to understanding how lines are made is to look at that KenPom adjusted efficiency metric. It's an excellent baseline for comparing the relative strength of any two teams. Linesmakers make lines using these types of math-based analytics, which is why it's so mind-blowing that this forum devotes an inordinate amount of time and energy babbling on about trap lines and "Vegas trickery."
Because they have so much money to give back. The books and Vegas must have been visited by three spirits last night and felt obligated to give a superior team points... Thanks for the find op..
Oral Roberts -2.5 for me..
Checkmate...
"Schrödinger's bet." A bet that loses when you bet it but wins when you DON'T bet it...
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Quote Originally Posted by TheSquare:
Because they have so much money to give back. The books and Vegas must have been visited by three spirits last night and felt obligated to give a superior team points... Thanks for the find op..