The basis is simple. If there is a "large" difference between the
opening line and the fanmatch line on kenpom.com, I will side with
Vegas.
System rules:
If the line is between 0 and 4, a large difference is 2.5 points. 4.5 to 8, a large difference is 3 points. 8.5 to 12, a large difference is 3.5 points. 12.5 to 15.5, a large difference is 4 points. 16 and up, a large difference is 5 points.
One note: I
will not be wagering on the teams that have over 65% of the bets
according to covers contests.
The basis is simple. If there is a "large" difference between the
opening line and the fanmatch line on kenpom.com, I will side with
Vegas.
System rules:
If the line is between 0 and 4, a large difference is 2.5 points. 4.5 to 8, a large difference is 3 points. 8.5 to 12, a large difference is 3.5 points. 12.5 to 15.5, a large difference is 4 points. 16 and up, a large difference is 5 points.
One note: I
will not be wagering on the teams that have over 65% of the bets
according to covers contests.
This is going to be a true indicator of the validity of this system tonight with A&M. MIddleton is out (their go-to guy) and Harris may be out as well and Vegas still has them better than KP gives them credit for.
This is going to be a true indicator of the validity of this system tonight with A&M. MIddleton is out (their go-to guy) and Harris may be out as well and Vegas still has them better than KP gives them credit for.
I noticed on your NBA portion you are using Sagarin's rating #'s instead of predictor #'s. Use the predictor #'s they are much better and the results will also change.
I noticed on your NBA portion you are using Sagarin's rating #'s instead of predictor #'s. Use the predictor #'s they are much better and the results will also change.
This is going to be a true indicator of the validity of this system tonight with A&M. MIddleton is out (their go-to guy) and Harris may be out as well and Vegas still has them better than KP gives them credit for.
This is going to be a true indicator of the validity of this system tonight with A&M. MIddleton is out (their go-to guy) and Harris may be out as well and Vegas still has them better than KP gives them credit for.
Beaver...I have Week 10 done and working on Week 11 but I would think with the indication in Weeks 1-9 that the half time plays are a good option for the system...
Beaver...I have Week 10 done and working on Week 11 but I would think with the indication in Weeks 1-9 that the half time plays are a good option for the system...
good job beaver ...your chang on OFFICAL PLAYS is now 100%...I'd think MAYBE we should quit ahead, but catching the 2nd half also.will be sweet...I will be suprised when the final totals come in if playing the DOGS 1 ST 1/2 DOESN'T have a highest % of all. GOOD LUCK and lets keep it rolling.
good job beaver ...your chang on OFFICAL PLAYS is now 100%...I'd think MAYBE we should quit ahead, but catching the 2nd half also.will be sweet...I will be suprised when the final totals come in if playing the DOGS 1 ST 1/2 DOESN'T have a highest % of all. GOOD LUCK and lets keep it rolling.
Some might be concerned because a lot of times with halves you might have to pay (-115) or even on rare occasions (-120)...depending on your sportsbook
But it is still a (.20) line so there will be just as many plays where you get (-105) or (+100) so it will even out over time...
Some might be concerned because a lot of times with halves you might have to pay (-115) or even on rare occasions (-120)...depending on your sportsbook
But it is still a (.20) line so there will be just as many plays where you get (-105) or (+100) so it will even out over time...
I noticed on your NBA portion you are using Sagarin's rating #'s instead of predictor #'s. Use the predictor #'s they are much better and the results will also change.
I noticed on your NBA portion you are using Sagarin's rating #'s instead of predictor #'s. Use the predictor #'s they are much better and the results will also change.
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