::Tuesday:: 2/17 (210-220-0 -38.4 units)

1* 172-179

2* 29-31

3* 7-8

4* 1-1

5* 1-1

1* Michigan Wolverines -2.5

I got this @ 1.5 last night, but that number isn't available anymore so 2.5 will do.  Purdues last two at Mackey are a 4 point win vs Oregon, and loss vs Illinois.  I'd put Michigan in the same category as Illinois, and they present similar issues.  Lendenborg has a video from May floating around about "Fuck purdue" this and that, so he's apparently been thinking about this one for a while.  Is is bulletin board material for the Boilers?  Maybe.  But Michigan is undefeated on the road this year.  No reason to think they can't win here.  Gonna be an awesome game, in a night packed with awesome games. 

1* Xavier Musketeers +4.5

Kevin Willard has Nova playing as good as they have all year, winning 5 straight.  But they just won @ Creighton, so they have a win on the road trip already, and they get UCONN in Philly on Saturday.  Xavier is also playing it's best ball of the season right now, just taking St Johns to OT, and then winning @ home vs Marquette.  This number is smelly low, and it's already come down from 6, with 2/3 of the action on Nova.  

1* Kent St/Bowling Green Under 151.5

Kent Sts offense isn't what one would expect it to be if you've watched them the last couple years.  They play with the same pace, but it's super reckless, and they don't shoot from the outside like they once did.  I think Bowling Greens defense is the story in this game.  Arky St put 91 on them 10 days ago, but since have only given up 61ppg since then.  If you take the Arky St game out (non con game, so didn't mean much in the first place), their last four they've only given up 59ppg.  I think the Falcons control the tempo at home, and that benefits the under.

1* Rhode Island Rams +10.5

Everyone in town is talking about the game on Friday vs VCU, so I'm sure the players have had it on their minds too.  SLU has the #2 most efficient offense in the whole country, and #1 most efficient defense.  Pretty remarkable, no matter what conference you're in.  But I think they get everything they can handle tonight.  Rhode Island was clearly looking ahead to this game when they lost in OT to Fordham at home.  Everyone wants their shot to take down the undefeated conference leader, and they will give it hell tonight.  I think this looks a lot like Davidson game that SLU played on 2/3.  Rhode Island jumps them early cause they come out flat, but they rebound in the second half and win by 7 or 8. 

1* UMASS Minutemen +2.5

ML play for me as well.  I think the cinderella season comes crashing down tonight.  UMASS lost by 2 @ Miami, but led for majority of that game, and should have won it.  They haven't forgotten.  Frank Martin will have his guys fired up, the place should be buzzin, and we are in for court storm!

1* UCF Knights +1.5

Gotta love getting points at this arena.  The Bounce House isn't an easy place to win, despite WVU doing just that on Saturday.  I don't think they lose two in a row at home.  TCU just won in OT @ OK St, another tough environment, but asking them to do it twice in a row is a tough ask.  Jamie Dixon is a hell of a coach, and done a great job this year, but this spot is tough.

1* Michigan St Spartans -7.5

UCLA just got trounced by Michigan, but they've been doing that to everyone.  And I think UCLA is a bit overrated, so it wasn't a huge shock.  But the way Wisconsin dismantled Sparty, was a huge shock.  I think Izzo probably had a couple days of enjoyable practice, and MSU comes out with a little anger tonight.  Breslin will be rocking as always.  It helps that UCLA heads home to host Illinois next too.  Probably ready to the fuck out of Michigan in February. 

1* Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks -2.5

SEMO won the first matchup by 16 at their place, so revenge is on the table in a big way.  UT Martin leads the OVC by a game over....SEMO, so the implications in this outcome are huge.  I'd imagine the crowd is decent here tonight, given the stakes, and it's also SEMOs third straight on the road, with one more to go.  Skyhawks defense has been outstanding all year long, and they win tonight cause of it. 

1* Kansas St Wildcats +4.5

Cats have lost 6 straight, got told by their coach that they don't deserve to wear that uniform, coach then gets fired.  I'll be on the ML here.  This is a fox hole spot of all fox hole spots.  These guys can't be happier to have someone else to play for.  And Baylor isn't good.  At all. 

1* San Jose St Spartans +10.5

San Jose lost the first meeting by 33.  Colby Garland did not play in that game, but will be in the lineup tonight.  If they can get Jermaine Washington back tonight, that would be a huge help too.  But Nevada has dropped two of three, and are 1-4 on the road in their last 5 away from Reno.  Nevada also returns home to get Utah St and New Mexico next.  Just seems like a sleepy spot to me. 

Good luck STL 

I like these writeups. I got on Central Florida +1.5, Rhode Island +10, and San Jose State +11 after reading these. I also regretted my Purdue +3 bet after reading this.

1* Rhode Island Rams +10.5

Everyone in town is talking about the game on Friday vs VCU, so I'm sure the players have had it on their minds too.  SLU has the #2 most efficient offense in the whole country, and #1 most efficient defense.  Pretty remarkable, no matter what conference you're in.  But I think they get everything they can handle tonight.  Rhode Island was clearly looking ahead to this game when they lost in OT to Fordham at home.  Everyone wants their shot to take down the undefeated conference leader, and they will give it hell tonight.  I think this looks a lot like Davidson game that SLU played on 2/3.  Rhode Island jumps them early cause they come out flat, but they rebound in the second half and win by 7 or 8. 

11:00 to go.....   Hella of a call so far...  GL