Duke -4.5 I like the Blue Devils in this spot. Last year, the Hokies beat Duke in this game and the spread was basically the same. That is worrisome, but can't read too much into it. Important to note that Va Tech was much better at 9-4 in the ACC going into the game last year. They are just 1-5 in conference this year. There's also no look-ahead for Duke as they still have Miami before UNC. Thus, let's just cap this game as normal. Duke has won 6 of 7, and is 5-1 in conference. As stated, Va Tech is basically a mirror, having lost 6 of 7 and is 1-5 in conference. Duke averages 80 points per game, Va Tech averages just under 68. Duke leads most statistical categories. They shoot 49% in field goals and make 8 threes a game. Va Tech has dropped 3 straight home games. 2 of those were against conference opponents (FSU and UNC). They lost to FSU by 4 and to UNC by 14. I think Duke is better than FSU and more around UNC's level. I can see this game being a double digit victory for Duke, who needs to keep winning to keep pace in the conference standings. Looking at prior meetings, Duke is 5-1 in it's last 6 games against the Hokies, including 2 victories at Va Tech. Duke is the superior team and I don't buy that Va Tech is due for a win. If they are really due for a win they can get it this weekend against Clemson, not today. I'll be a Cameron Crazie today!
Going to gym for a bit...shall make some more write-ups later.
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Orange, Indians, Truck GL to all of you
Duke -4.5 I like the Blue Devils in this spot. Last year, the Hokies beat Duke in this game and the spread was basically the same. That is worrisome, but can't read too much into it. Important to note that Va Tech was much better at 9-4 in the ACC going into the game last year. They are just 1-5 in conference this year. There's also no look-ahead for Duke as they still have Miami before UNC. Thus, let's just cap this game as normal. Duke has won 6 of 7, and is 5-1 in conference. As stated, Va Tech is basically a mirror, having lost 6 of 7 and is 1-5 in conference. Duke averages 80 points per game, Va Tech averages just under 68. Duke leads most statistical categories. They shoot 49% in field goals and make 8 threes a game. Va Tech has dropped 3 straight home games. 2 of those were against conference opponents (FSU and UNC). They lost to FSU by 4 and to UNC by 14. I think Duke is better than FSU and more around UNC's level. I can see this game being a double digit victory for Duke, who needs to keep winning to keep pace in the conference standings. Looking at prior meetings, Duke is 5-1 in it's last 6 games against the Hokies, including 2 victories at Va Tech. Duke is the superior team and I don't buy that Va Tech is due for a win. If they are really due for a win they can get it this weekend against Clemson, not today. I'll be a Cameron Crazie today!
Going to gym for a bit...shall make some more write-ups later.
Montana State -4.5 Montanta State has won 6 of 7 at home against Idaho State. They have won 4 of 5 games with their last game being a loss at Eastern Washington. This is essentially a bounceback game and they are at home. Idaho State comes in riding a 3 game win streak, but it is important to point out that all of those were at home. They are 2-9 on the road this year. Also, Idaho State somehow managed to lose to Utah, who is terrible this year. By the numbers, the Bobcats are superior in almost every major category, and should own Idaho State on the boards. Idaho State only averages 60 ppg on the road, while Montana State averages 83 ppg at home! Montana State already beat Idaho State by 4 earlier this year away from home. Now they are at home and I expect things to go their way again...except by at least 5 this time
Valparaiso -3 Valpo has won 5 of 6, with 3 of those victories on the road. Now they are at home where they are 8-2 this year. Their only 2 home losses were by 2 points, and they were against Milwaukee and Oakland. Milwaukee is a solid winning team this year and Oakland was 7-4 when they faced them. They already beat Detroit away from home this year by 2 in a game where Detroit was favored by -4.5. They are 5-1 in their last 6 games against Detroit. Detroit is just 2-7 away from home this year. Those 2 wins were against Green Bay and Loyola-Illinois. Green Bay has a losing record and Loyola is terrible with an 0-11 conference record. Valparaiso is 8-3 in conference and is trying to keep pace with Cleveland State in the conference standings. Valpo scores 77 ppg at home and Detroit averages 65 a game on the road. Advantage: Valparaiso.
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Amd
Montana State -4.5 Montanta State has won 6 of 7 at home against Idaho State. They have won 4 of 5 games with their last game being a loss at Eastern Washington. This is essentially a bounceback game and they are at home. Idaho State comes in riding a 3 game win streak, but it is important to point out that all of those were at home. They are 2-9 on the road this year. Also, Idaho State somehow managed to lose to Utah, who is terrible this year. By the numbers, the Bobcats are superior in almost every major category, and should own Idaho State on the boards. Idaho State only averages 60 ppg on the road, while Montana State averages 83 ppg at home! Montana State already beat Idaho State by 4 earlier this year away from home. Now they are at home and I expect things to go their way again...except by at least 5 this time
Valparaiso -3 Valpo has won 5 of 6, with 3 of those victories on the road. Now they are at home where they are 8-2 this year. Their only 2 home losses were by 2 points, and they were against Milwaukee and Oakland. Milwaukee is a solid winning team this year and Oakland was 7-4 when they faced them. They already beat Detroit away from home this year by 2 in a game where Detroit was favored by -4.5. They are 5-1 in their last 6 games against Detroit. Detroit is just 2-7 away from home this year. Those 2 wins were against Green Bay and Loyola-Illinois. Green Bay has a losing record and Loyola is terrible with an 0-11 conference record. Valparaiso is 8-3 in conference and is trying to keep pace with Cleveland State in the conference standings. Valpo scores 77 ppg at home and Detroit averages 65 a game on the road. Advantage: Valparaiso.
Washington -3.5 I'm praying Washington brings their A-game for once. Despite not playing with a full effort, they have still managed to win 9 of their last 11 games. They also have the benefit of being at home, where they are 11-2 this year, with the losses being to an impressive 17-6 South Dakota State squad and to 17-5 California, who is tied with Washington for the conference lead. They get to face UCLA, who has lost 4 of their last 5 road games, with the sole win being against a terrible USC squad. UCLA is also 0-5 in their last 5 trips to Washington. The Huskies average 82 ppg at home while the Bruins only average 70 ppg on the road. I think Washington wins this game and keeps the pressure on California in the Pac-12.
Charleston -4 Charleston seems to beat weaker opponents and always lose to good opponents. They are just 3-7 in their last 10 games, but none of the 7 teams have a losing record. The 3 teams they beat are all .500 or worse. Among those 3 wins is a victory over Elon, who they blew out by 19 points. Now, they get to face them again, and should be able to handle their business. Charleston is a moderate 5-5 away from home, and they are coming off a double digit victory at Samford. Elon has lost 3 of their last 4 home games, with the win being just a 1 point victory over Chatanooga, who is not any good at 9-14. I think Charleston is superior athletically and they owned Elon on the boards in the last meeting 53-34. They also had 10 blocks in that game. Charleston won that game big, despite having 19 turnovers. They should be able to keep that number down as they have averaged just 10 turnovers a game in their last 3 road games.
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Washington -3.5 I'm praying Washington brings their A-game for once. Despite not playing with a full effort, they have still managed to win 9 of their last 11 games. They also have the benefit of being at home, where they are 11-2 this year, with the losses being to an impressive 17-6 South Dakota State squad and to 17-5 California, who is tied with Washington for the conference lead. They get to face UCLA, who has lost 4 of their last 5 road games, with the sole win being against a terrible USC squad. UCLA is also 0-5 in their last 5 trips to Washington. The Huskies average 82 ppg at home while the Bruins only average 70 ppg on the road. I think Washington wins this game and keeps the pressure on California in the Pac-12.
Charleston -4 Charleston seems to beat weaker opponents and always lose to good opponents. They are just 3-7 in their last 10 games, but none of the 7 teams have a losing record. The 3 teams they beat are all .500 or worse. Among those 3 wins is a victory over Elon, who they blew out by 19 points. Now, they get to face them again, and should be able to handle their business. Charleston is a moderate 5-5 away from home, and they are coming off a double digit victory at Samford. Elon has lost 3 of their last 4 home games, with the win being just a 1 point victory over Chatanooga, who is not any good at 9-14. I think Charleston is superior athletically and they owned Elon on the boards in the last meeting 53-34. They also had 10 blocks in that game. Charleston won that game big, despite having 19 turnovers. They should be able to keep that number down as they have averaged just 10 turnovers a game in their last 3 road games.
Gonzaga +3.5 They have won 10 of their last 13 road games. BYU (with Jimmer Fredette) beat the Bulldogs during March Madness last year. I'm sure there's a bit of a revenge factor here, and BYU no longer has Jimmer. Gonzaga's only 2 road losses were to Saint Mary's and to Illinois, who are likely 2 tournament bound teams. BYU may make the tourney as well, but have lost 2 straight home games, both by 14 points. Gonzaga has won 12 of their last 13 games. This is a huge game for both teams. BYU needs it to prove they are tournament calibur. Gonzaga needs it to keep pace with Saint Mary's until their rematch next week. During this 12 of 13 streak, Gonzaga has held it's opponents to 65 points or fewer in every win. While I don't expect that to be the case tonight, it does show that BYU will likely have the same trouble scoring on Gonzaga as they did against Saint Mary's a few days ago. I like the Bulldogs with a victory or close loss here as I feel BYU may be overvalued.
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Gonzaga +3.5 They have won 10 of their last 13 road games. BYU (with Jimmer Fredette) beat the Bulldogs during March Madness last year. I'm sure there's a bit of a revenge factor here, and BYU no longer has Jimmer. Gonzaga's only 2 road losses were to Saint Mary's and to Illinois, who are likely 2 tournament bound teams. BYU may make the tourney as well, but have lost 2 straight home games, both by 14 points. Gonzaga has won 12 of their last 13 games. This is a huge game for both teams. BYU needs it to prove they are tournament calibur. Gonzaga needs it to keep pace with Saint Mary's until their rematch next week. During this 12 of 13 streak, Gonzaga has held it's opponents to 65 points or fewer in every win. While I don't expect that to be the case tonight, it does show that BYU will likely have the same trouble scoring on Gonzaga as they did against Saint Mary's a few days ago. I like the Bulldogs with a victory or close loss here as I feel BYU may be overvalued.
Duke -4.5 I like the Blue Devils in this spot. Last year, the Hokies beat Duke in this game and the spread was basically the same. That is worrisome, but can't read too much into it. Important to note that Va Tech was much better at 9-4 in the ACC going into the game last year. They are just 1-5 in conference this year. There's also no look-ahead for Duke as they still have Miami before UNC. Thus, let's just cap this game as normal. Duke has won 6 of 7, and is 5-1 in conference. As stated, Va Tech is basically a mirror, having lost 6 of 7 and is 1-5 in conference. Duke averages 80 points per game, Va Tech averages just under 68. Duke leads most statistical categories. They shoot 49% in field goals and make 8 threes a game. Va Tech has dropped 3 straight home games. 2 of those were against conference opponents (FSU and UNC). They lost to FSU by 4 and to UNC by 14. I think Duke is better than FSU and more around UNC's level. I can see this game being a double digit victory for Duke, who needs to keep winning to keep pace in the conference standings. Looking at prior meetings, Duke is 5-1 in it's last 6 games against the Hokies, including 2 victories at Va Tech. Duke is the superior team and I don't buy that Va Tech is due for a win. If they are really due for a win they can get it this weekend against Clemson, not today. I'll be a Cameron Crazie today!
Going to gym for a bit...shall make some more write-ups later.
and Virginia Tech Ranks 2nd... 2nd! Defending the 3
...
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Quote Originally Posted by jdamon26:
Orange, Indians, Truck GL to all of you
Duke -4.5 I like the Blue Devils in this spot. Last year, the Hokies beat Duke in this game and the spread was basically the same. That is worrisome, but can't read too much into it. Important to note that Va Tech was much better at 9-4 in the ACC going into the game last year. They are just 1-5 in conference this year. There's also no look-ahead for Duke as they still have Miami before UNC. Thus, let's just cap this game as normal. Duke has won 6 of 7, and is 5-1 in conference. As stated, Va Tech is basically a mirror, having lost 6 of 7 and is 1-5 in conference. Duke averages 80 points per game, Va Tech averages just under 68. Duke leads most statistical categories. They shoot 49% in field goals and make 8 threes a game. Va Tech has dropped 3 straight home games. 2 of those were against conference opponents (FSU and UNC). They lost to FSU by 4 and to UNC by 14. I think Duke is better than FSU and more around UNC's level. I can see this game being a double digit victory for Duke, who needs to keep winning to keep pace in the conference standings. Looking at prior meetings, Duke is 5-1 in it's last 6 games against the Hokies, including 2 victories at Va Tech. Duke is the superior team and I don't buy that Va Tech is due for a win. If they are really due for a win they can get it this weekend against Clemson, not today. I'll be a Cameron Crazie today!
Going to gym for a bit...shall make some more write-ups later.
i think the charleston play seems like a trap, No?
Elon has been playing decent basketball recently, and the cougars have just won the last 1 of 4 games played recently. I think the oddsmakers aren't giving elon any respect here. Plus, the line is only at -4?
I dunno man...I like elon here, but what do i know? GL
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i think the charleston play seems like a trap, No?
Elon has been playing decent basketball recently, and the cougars have just won the last 1 of 4 games played recently. I think the oddsmakers aren't giving elon any respect here. Plus, the line is only at -4?
I dunno man...I like elon here, but what do i know? GL
@ Dugan. Yeah, VaTech does a very nice job defending the shot in
general, and opponents shoot under 40% in field goals against them.
Points might be hard to come by tonight, so I'll take the team with a
much better offense today. Also, Seth Curry is shooting just over 20% from 3 in ACC play...and Duke is still winning. Once he get's his stroke
back...LOOK OUT!!!!!
@FruityAlbinoguy. I agree the oddsmakers aren't giving any Elon love. However, that 19 point blowout in the first meeting probably had to do with it. That 1 out of 4 games is concerning, but that 1 game was the most recent and it was also on the road. They won by 16 in that game. Maybe they'll bring that same kind of effort tonight.
BOL to everyone whatever they play.
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Dugan, Macwestie, FruityAlbinoguy
@ Dugan. Yeah, VaTech does a very nice job defending the shot in
general, and opponents shoot under 40% in field goals against them.
Points might be hard to come by tonight, so I'll take the team with a
much better offense today. Also, Seth Curry is shooting just over 20% from 3 in ACC play...and Duke is still winning. Once he get's his stroke
back...LOOK OUT!!!!!
@FruityAlbinoguy. I agree the oddsmakers aren't giving any Elon love. However, that 19 point blowout in the first meeting probably had to do with it. That 1 out of 4 games is concerning, but that 1 game was the most recent and it was also on the road. They won by 16 in that game. Maybe they'll bring that same kind of effort tonight.
...for those who want it, here were my thoughts on my NBA picks:
Hawks -4
They are 9-1 in their last 10 against the Griz. They were 8-1-1 ATS
during that stretch. They are on a roll right now, winning 5 of 6.
This is their first game back after a lengthy road trip. They are 8-1
at home, with the loss coming in overtime to a shorthanded Heat team.
Memphis has lost 4 of 5 and is 4-7 on the road, losing 3 straight road
games. All of the Memphis's road wins have been against losing teams
(T-wolves, Hornets, Warriors, Detroit). Now they have to face an
excellent home team in Atlanta, who scores more than the Griz and give
up less points per game. The Hawks average 104 ppg at home and the
Grizzlies havent scored more than 91 points (through 4 quarters) in 6
straight games. I think they will struggle to score again tonight and
lose badly to a Hawks team who will come out with too much energy for
the Griz to match.
Blazers -3
Fading the Kings here as they have lost 5 games in a row. They are also
just 1-11 in the last 12 against Portland. Portland is a bad road team
at 3-8, but the Kings are just 4-4 at home. Also, Portland is 5-0 in
their last 5 in Sacramento. They have already faced each other twice
this year (in Portland), with the Blazers winning by 12 and 22. Blazers
are coming off a blowout home victory last night against Charlotte
where they won by 44 points. I think their confidence will be up in
this game, while you would think the Kings would continue to struggle as
they are on a 5 game losing streak facing a team they usually get
man-handled by.
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...for those who want it, here were my thoughts on my NBA picks:
Hawks -4
They are 9-1 in their last 10 against the Griz. They were 8-1-1 ATS
during that stretch. They are on a roll right now, winning 5 of 6.
This is their first game back after a lengthy road trip. They are 8-1
at home, with the loss coming in overtime to a shorthanded Heat team.
Memphis has lost 4 of 5 and is 4-7 on the road, losing 3 straight road
games. All of the Memphis's road wins have been against losing teams
(T-wolves, Hornets, Warriors, Detroit). Now they have to face an
excellent home team in Atlanta, who scores more than the Griz and give
up less points per game. The Hawks average 104 ppg at home and the
Grizzlies havent scored more than 91 points (through 4 quarters) in 6
straight games. I think they will struggle to score again tonight and
lose badly to a Hawks team who will come out with too much energy for
the Griz to match.
Blazers -3
Fading the Kings here as they have lost 5 games in a row. They are also
just 1-11 in the last 12 against Portland. Portland is a bad road team
at 3-8, but the Kings are just 4-4 at home. Also, Portland is 5-0 in
their last 5 in Sacramento. They have already faced each other twice
this year (in Portland), with the Blazers winning by 12 and 22. Blazers
are coming off a blowout home victory last night against Charlotte
where they won by 44 points. I think their confidence will be up in
this game, while you would think the Kings would continue to struggle as
they are on a 5 game losing streak facing a team they usually get
man-handled by.
with you on Washington, Gonzaga and Portland. any thoughts on the Bulls -3.5, Oregon -10 or Wash St. -6? USC and Utah suck. thanks in advance. BOL tonight
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Thanks for the daily write ups
with you on Washington, Gonzaga and Portland. any thoughts on the Bulls -3.5, Oregon -10 or Wash St. -6? USC and Utah suck. thanks in advance. BOL tonight
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1 hour til tip off...for once I hope my teams start strong. Go DUKE and CHARLESTON 
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