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The Falcon's Model

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Posted: #101
great work dude.... keep killing it

is your model based off of any published database/data, i.e. kenpom , or do you develop your own #'s? if so, based on what?
 
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Posted: #102
Dec 20

Duke Over 145
$550 to win $500

Falcon's Model
13-4 (+$4325)

Falcon
 
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Posted: #103

That line is flying..up to 147.5. Great job.  Keep it rolling.

 
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Posted: #104

Is 146.5 still good? 

 
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Posted: #105
Booked it at 147. I’ll look at it at half and may hit it again depending on first half due to line movement 
 
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Posted: #106
BOL!!
 
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Posted: #107
Great job Falcon
 
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Posted: #108
 
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Posted: #109
5 points by Evansville in the final 13 mins of the first half. 

Right on pace at this point, but man we will need Evansville to score something
 
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Posted: #110
Should cruise to victory on this.  
 
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Posted: #111
Money in the bag
 
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Posted: #112
Quote Originally Posted by bonfire69:

Money in the bag

Really?
 
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Posted: #113
Oh they cruised...to a 60+ point win. 

Evansville would never shoot the first shot. They were playing Hoosier basketball without their leading scorers. 

Wasn’t many shots taken in the last 5 mins of the game. Lots of passes, very few shots
 
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Posted: #114
Was on the side not the total posted in wrong thread
 
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Posted: #115
Lost by a point.  

Falcon's Model
13-5 (+$3775)
72.22% Winners

On to Thursday

Falcon
 
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Posted: #116
Can't fault the pick   
 
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Posted: #117

Nope. No 1 could know they would score 16 in the first half and play keep away late. Tomorrow will hit and make up for it, I'll def be playing. 

 
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Posted: #118

Mind blowing.
 
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Posted: #119
That should have won. Evansville just were complete fktards. Afraid to jack up 3's when down by 60 pts even with 2 mins left so much hesitation on open looks.
 
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Posted: #120
Thursday Dec 21

Nebraska Omaha Under 157
$550 to win $500

Bonus nhl play

Islanders Over 5.5 (-120)
$600 to win $500

Came up a little short last night.  Tonight I have a strong bonus nhl play also but I can assure you that tomorrow, it will be back to the one at a time format.  

CBB totals 8-3
NFL totals 4-2
NFL totals 1-0


Falcon's Model
13-5 (+$3775)


Falcon
 
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Posted: #121

Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

Thursday Dec 21Nebraska Omaha Under 157$550 to win $500Bonus nhl playIslanders Over 5.5 (-120)$600 to win $500Came up a little short last night.  Tonight I have a strong bonus nhl play also but I can assure you that tomorrow, it will be back to the one at a time format.  CBB totals 8-3NFL totals 4-2NFL totals 1-0Falcon's Model13-5 (+$3775)Falcon

Thanks, Lawton! Didn't notice the extra juice on the NHL play, until I pulled the trigger. We'll get it. Only small concern is Ducks. This has been a long road trip for them. But Isles can't stop the puck from going in their own net, so should be fine.

Merry, merry!

 
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Posted: #122
Thanks for posting some very solid plays every day!!!!

If someone had told me Duke would score 104 against Evansville and I could bet the the Total at 157, how much would I like to bet on the OVER, I would easily have made a LIMIT play.

Keep doing the great work and BOL!!!
 
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Posted: #123

Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

Thursday Dec 21Nebraska Omaha Under 157$550 to win $500Bonus nhl playIslanders Over 5.5 (-120)$600 to win $500Came up a little short last night.  Tonight I have a strong bonus nhl play also but I can assure you that tomorrow, it will be back to the one at a time format.  CBB totals 8-3NFL totals 4-2NFL totals 1-0Falcon's Model13-5 (+$3775)Falcon

 

Any concern with the line moving from 157 to 164.5?

 
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Posted: #124
oh wow.....def should be concerned..
 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #125
Wow first time i try to go with this model you were way off. Such great value NOT how was it this off
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