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SYSTEM KICKED BUTT YESTERDAY and looking for a repeat performance today

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Posted: #101

bob,

if I calculated correctly if you bet every game the system was 11-8-1... Really like what disco has been doing to eliminate certain teams based on betting trends..  You have something good here now we just have to figure how to narrow it down...

 
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Posted: #102
morning guys busy at work today and little time available,,,haven't even reviewed all the plays but if your correct that 11-8-1 was not what i was expecting overall but its still intresting and think were on to some thing here,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
 
Disco i do not have much for today friday from what i see ,,,prob post them here in lieu of a new thread since so small today,,
I haven't even had time to check my actual wagers
 
How about cinny winning SU,,,,,,,,,boy that guy told me system was wrong and WV would EASILY win,,,,,
 
you just never know in this crap,,,,,,,,,,
 
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Posted: #103
i still have to post all wins and loses from thursday to compile the plays for saturday but i do have most of saturday done already .Just need to update them accordingly,
 
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Posted: #104
if any body can post the winners from this list from yesterday then all i need to do is note all the losers should be plays on saturday
supposedly it went 11-8-1 so we need to concentrate on those 8 that lost as they now need to win even more
 
detroit
mts
cinn
wright st
buff
la salle
st joes
n mex st
wku
clev st
wash st
csf
LBSt
sjs
ariz st
santa clara
furman
loy Md
applach st
wcu
se mizz st
murray
n ariz
 
if anybody  can post winners and losers that will help me ,,,thanks,,,,,,,,
 
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Posted: #105
system orig was focused on these plays so these were the more important plays for system
 
Thursdays top favorites with largest cover streak and due to not cover( the higher the # the more chance they will not cover
 
weber st +6
lou tech +5
citadel +5
wash +4
coc +4
fiu +3
wv +3
ariz +3
samf +3
tenn St +3
 
 
Top teams with worst cover streaks that should now cover today,,,thursday
 
Ark St -7
Buff -4
St Joe -4
Sjs -4
ucla -4
applac St -4
det -3
stanf -3
san clara -3
loy md -3
 
if anyone has the scores and time please feel free to post winners and losers,,,thnx,,
 
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Posted: #106
I'll post them from my narroed down list...
 
the final six I had went 4-2 which is still good
 
I'll check the ones that 'fit' but didn't have enough bets to be included with the final 6...
 
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Posted: #107
Quote Originally Posted by DiscoD69:

CHANGED TO DO A RECAP...
 
lets, look at the results:
 
 
Legend:
 = fits the system,  = doesn't fit system, = not enough bets
 
here we go...
 
N. Ariz  () - no play  -->
NM. St. () - hard to tell, no play
Furman  () - no play -->
AZ St.  -->
Wofford  () - no play
M. Tenn () could be, but pass for now
Cincy  -->
Wash. St.  -->
W. Car (no play)
SE Missou. (no Play) ()
 
second half...
 
Ark. St.  () - no play -->
Buf.  () - no play
St. Joe's  -->
San Jose St.  () - no play --> 
UCLA/Stan. - NO PLAY (?)
App. St. - no play
Det.  -->
Santa Clara  (....? I think)....
Loy. MD  () - no play -->
 
 
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Posted: #108
so, the 'thumbs up' plays are ones that fit the system in theory (and went 5-6 as far as I can tell)
 
But the ones with lightbulbs were eliminated, meaning that the actual system plays went 4-2
 
feel free to correct me if I made a mistake
 
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Posted: #109
wofford & Buffalo were eliminated because of my added requirements (and split going 1-1)
 
regardless, of the overall results, the final system plays are on a 10-2 run
 
can't complain too much about that
 
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Posted: #110
k......just reviewed all scores
 
how about santa clara comming to play and cover
how about cinn commint to play and win SU
how about wash st comming to play and cover
 
 
end of enjoyment lets look at teams that need to cover on saturday
 
these teams have continued to lose so they are more inclined to cover on saturday
 
detroit -4
Buff -5
St Joe -5
Ark st -8,,,,,,,, boy there due
Mia Oh -3
Chatt -3
csf -3
 
now for the continuing winners that need to not cover on saturday
 
weber +7,,,,,,,boy there so due to not cover
citadel +6,,,,,another that can't continue to cover
lou tch +6,,,,ditto
wofford+3
wgb +3
mr head +3
n color +3
sd,,,,,,+3
cal irv +3
 
now need to see who there matched up with
 
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Posted: #111
disco thanks for all the work,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,and insight,,,,
 
 
have a few for t nite but hate ivy league plays,,,,,,,,,
all plays are #2 or less so system needs 3 or more so not taking any games but will post its feel at the lower number but not for calculation on its record
 
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Posted: #112
disco do you see any good plays post them and i'll give you what i have,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,on them
 
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Posted: #113
what i need to review is the overall all plays system picked and see the breakdown where the #'s were as possibly i can find the right mix of #'s
 
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Posted: #114
Quote Originally Posted by goallinebob:

what i need to review is the overall all plays system picked and see the breakdown where the #'s were as possibly i can find the right mix of #'s

what do you mean?

on a side note, I was just looking at the games like M. Tenn, W. Car & SE Missou etc.... which I feel should still be plays but half units or whatever compared to the others...

I'm thinking that games like that should be included but on a different level...The more I watch how these games turn out and reflect on the betting, I can see a trend in 3 levels of plays...I'm not sure how possible it will be to get a good scope of Saturday's betting market, so I'm not sure what to do about tomorrow....but as far as the system goes I'm starting to notice some trends here

 

 
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Posted: #115
very intresting bob  is not sure if i will be able to bet on CBB this saturday i have to work 12 shift will not get enough time to cap the games .But i will check this out during the week
 
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Posted: #116
detroit,, was a -3 now -4
mts,,was a 1-1 and now is a +2-1
cinn,, was a -1 and now is a +1
wright st was a -2 and now is a +1
buff was a -4 and now a -5
la salle was a -2 and now a +1
st joes was a - 4 and now a -5,,,,,they need a cover badly
n mex st was a 1-1 and now a 1-2
wku was a 1-1 and now a 2-1
clev st was a -2 and now a +1
wash st was a 1-1 and now a 2-1
csf was a -2 and now a -3,,,,,,,,,,,,there due
LBSt was a 1-1 and now a 1-2
sjs was a -4 and now a + 1
ariz st was a -1 and now a +1
santa clara was a -3 and now a +1
furman was a -1 and now a -2,,need to await for another -
loy Md was a -3 and now a -4,,,,,,,,,,,,there due to cover
applach st was a -4 and now a +1
wcu was a -1 and now is a +1
se mizz st was a -2 and now is a +1
murray was a +1 and now a -1
n ariz was a -1 and now a -2
 
intresting,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
 
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Posted: #117
mikki i have all saturdays plays already done all i was waitng for naturally was discos thoughts but he needs to see lines and betting percentages,,,,,,,,,,,,,if you want what i have i'll give them to you
 
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Posted: #118
bob do you see why I eliminated Buff?
 
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Posted: #119
sooo many games on Saturday...
 
there aren't even send outs yet...
 
I don't know what I'll be able to do for tomorrow...
 
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Posted: #120
disco youe are correct what i think you need to focus on is the later games on saturday as you prob will not get a good handle on early games unless your up early and can focus on them
 
as posted above the winners and losers need to be highlighted as they are still due to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,since they didn't yesterday,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
 
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Posted: #121
hey bob, what are the -2 teams for tonight you were talking about?
 
 
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Posted: #122
Quote Originally Posted by goallinebob:

disco youe are correct what i think you need to focus on is the later games on saturday as you prob will not get a good handle on early games unless your up early and can focus on them
 
as posted above the winners and losers need to be highlighted as they are still due to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,since they didn't yesterday,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

that could work, forcus on late afternoon games and after

 
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Posted: #123
no not sure y buff was eliminated overlooked it,,,,,,,,,,,
regarding saturday most system plays go off later so that could be a good thing ,, what i want to do is give you all system plays and then when you see what you need we can work them out
 
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Posted: #124
HEY DISCO,
Did you see my earlier post about the conference scrubs and not betting them or making them smaller plays?? You seem to be narrowing down the games beautifully with your betting trend system you are using.. I just think there are certain teams that could be left off or smaller wagers.. IE detroit from last night.. I know the bookmakers are supposed to adjust to teams that are not covering, but the lower level teams are very unpredictible.. Without that team in there last night we would of been 5-1, although I did play N.Arz and lost with them.. Just a thought.. Keep up the good work..
 
 
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Posted: #125
t nites #2 plays which as i say i like 3 or more as most could go to 3 after t nite,anyway heres what i have foe t nite
 
harvard is a +2
colum is a 1-1 col needs the +1
 
brown is a -2
princ is a -3,, princ needs the +1
 
yale is a +2
uop is a 1-2,,uop needs the 2-2
 
ill chi is a +2
loy chi is a 1-1,,,they need the +1 more
 
iona is a -2,,, think they cover
st pete is a + 2 due to not cover
 
marist is a 1-1,, marist needs +1
canisius is a +2
 
manh is a +1
fairfd is a -2,,they need the +1
 
balance of games both teams are 1-1,,,,toss up
 
 
 
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