day!=Tuesday and day!=Saturday and day!=Wednesday and AF and rank<26 and rest!=6 and o:rank=None and p:line>-19 and rest<11 and season>2019 and month<3 and line<=-3 and ats streak!=-1 and ats streak<4 and o:ats streak<3 and op:points<74
plays:
Kansas St +11.5
Maryland +14.5
actually the above is guidance to fade Iowa Stats and Purdue
these away favorites are 10-35
one more thing about Maryland is they are on 7 days rest and teams on 7 days rest are 1-1 ATS using the above query. Maryland could be avoided
I will advise playing both because the win % is already at 77.8%.
my purpose when I search games is to squeeze out highs and lows from a teams past performances. For example if a team is off a huge scoring game that could continue they are rolling. If a team is trending strongly ATS their lines are not yet volatile. I have certain categories and specific parameters that are my goto and then I start looking for more eliminators.
The best queries are in the middle or have broken off after bad trends or extreme high previous trends.
Today in Purdue’s case they are trending poorly but still over valued in this case because Maryland is off a 40 point output game. Teams off less than 50 point games do well enough to consider them in every situation.
As far as the query
! exclamation point is not so excluding these conditions
day!=Tuesday is an exclusion
AF us away fav
o: is opponents , so the original focus is on the favorite. Using o: then turns it to what happened to the dog recently.
I have gone over this query and the other parts of this should be easily understood.
if you have more questions about definitions ask and I’ll respond when I have time.
It just occurred to me also the insane lines could be more points because in a lot of cases these big type of lines dogs don’t come out and dominate early.
I do approach these pregame bets with the mentality that a bigger line will show at some point, if my max investment is 1 unit I will in most cases not play a pregame 2 unit play. In some games this costs me money but in other cases I get a better line and better ROI.
Maryland being on 7 days rest could create a volatile start to the game. Of course any game could be volatile I’m not suggesting all 7 day rest teams are volatile just something I consider.
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