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    All Forums | College Basketball

    ST. JOHNS @ HALL + 4.5 XL Write up

    12 Next Last»
    Rolexsports
    FelixFermin21
    banksy1989
    pa2918
    usikbasterd
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 2934
    Posts: 37
    12 Next Last»
     
    Rolexsports
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 1:08 PM ET #1

    Haven’t posted in this forum in quite awhile. This is a play that I’m posting so we can all get paid. In the first game these two teams played, Hall had a 15 pt lead in the second half and gave it away to take an L. I’m pretty confident that the coaches and players are still reeling from letting that happen. Hall are the 15th most experienced team in the country, Jonnie’s are the 35th. I love taking teams that should’ve won the first game but , lost and get to play that same team again but, now we’re at home getting valued pts and we’re the older team with a very smart HC. St. John’s opened - 5 pts, that dropped to - 4.5 almost immediately and now it’s down to - 4 on several books. The public is not shifting this line movement believe me they’re not . Hall’s defense is ranked anywhere between 12th & 13th nationally. St. John’s are an excellent defensive team as well but, on the road they rank 83rd , while allowing 17.3 pts per 100 possessions. Hall are 9-1 as a dog this season ATS. Hall needs this game a lot more than St. John’s. They want to get into the tournament, whereas the Jonnie’s are already in. Hall grab 37% of their missed shots ranking 18th @ home , whereas the Jonnie’s grab 33.7 % ( 37th ) away from home. Those extra possessions along with this experienced well coached team made me make this a XL play. Again. DBPR St. John’s rates @ 2.44875 overall defensively , where Hall rates @ 2.5675 overall. These numbers are based on a neutral court folks. This metric is huge. Okay on offense, ST. John’s are definitely better on a neutral court , but tonight Hall will have the advantage offensively as well. Jonnie’s average scoring margin away is + 3.2 , which is good , but Halls average score margin @ home is + 8.1, which is great ! Average score margin on defense, Jonnie’s - 3.2 , whereas Hall beats their opponents by - 8.1 pts per game @ home. Last 3 games, Jonnie’s efficiency rates @ 0.975, Halls is higher @ 1.002. On defense floor % ( paint ) Jonnie’s away from home rates @ 49.1% , whereas Halls rates @ 43.0 %, which is huge. This play is a no brainer, win or lose, I’m taking Hall + 4.5 4400/4000 GL to all on Hall tonight. 

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Haven’t posted in this forum in quite awhile. This is a play that I’m posting so we can all get paid. In the first game these two teams played, Hall had a 15 pt lead in the second half and gave it away to take an L. I’m pretty confident that the coaches and players are still reeling from letting that happen. Hall are the 15th most experienced team in the country, Jonnie’s are the 35th. I love taking teams that should’ve won the first game but , lost and get to play that same team again but, now we’re at home getting valued pts and we’re the older team with a very smart HC. St. John’s opened - 5 pts, that dropped to - 4.5 almost immediately and now it’s down to - 4 on several books. The public is not shifting this line movement believe me they’re not . Hall’s defense is ranked anywhere between 12th & 13th nationally. St. John’s are an excellent defensive team as well but, on the road they rank 83rd , while allowing 17.3 pts per 100 possessions. Hall are 9-1 as a dog this season ATS. Hall needs this game a lot more than St. John’s. They want to get into the tournament, whereas the Jonnie’s are already in. Hall grab 37% of their missed shots ranking 18th @ home , whereas the Jonnie’s grab 33.7 % ( 37th ) away from home. Those extra possessions along with this experienced well coached team made me make this a XL play. Again. DBPR St. John’s rates @ 2.44875 overall defensively , where Hall rates @ 2.5675 overall. These numbers are based on a neutral court folks. This metric is huge. Okay on offense, ST. John’s are definitely better on a neutral court , but tonight Hall will have the advantage offensively as well. Jonnie’s average scoring margin away is + 3.2 , which is good , but Halls average score margin @ home is + 8.1, which is great ! Average score margin on defense, Jonnie’s - 3.2 , whereas Hall beats their opponents by - 8.1 pts per game @ home. Last 3 games, Jonnie’s efficiency rates @ 0.975, Halls is higher @ 1.002. On defense floor % ( paint ) Jonnie’s away from home rates @ 49.1% , whereas Halls rates @ 43.0 %, which is huge. This play is a no brainer, win or lose, I’m taking Hall + 4.5 4400/4000 GL to all on Hall tonight. 

     
    FelixFermin21
    FelixFermin21
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 1:11 PM ET #2

    @Rolexsports

    clover

    Reply

    @Rolexsports

    clover

     
    banksy1989
    banksy1989
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 1:13 PM ET #3

    peace_5

    Reply

    peace_5

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 1:14 PM ET #4

    @FelixFermin21

     Thanks 21 ..peace_5

    Reply

    @FelixFermin21

     Thanks 21 ..peace_5

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 1:14 PM ET #5

    @banksy1989

     peace_5 1989

    Reply

    @banksy1989

     peace_5 1989

     
    Rolexsports
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 2:00 PM ET #6

    Adding ML + 155 250/637

    Reply

    Adding ML + 155 250/637

     
    pa2918
    pa2918
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 2:03 PM ET #7

    Great writeup. Im sold. an_clapclover

    Reply

    Great writeup. Im sold. an_clapclover

     
    Rolexsports
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 2:11 PM ET #8

    @pa2918

     This is a really good spot for Hall tonight. peace_5

    Reply

    @pa2918

     This is a really good spot for Hall tonight. peace_5

     
    usikbasterd
    usikbasterd
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 2:27 PM ET #9

    LETS F*CKIN GO!!!!

    Reply

    LETS F*CKIN GO!!!!

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 2:31 PM ET #10

    @usikbasterd

     Take them ml too , they should win outright. 

    Reply

    @usikbasterd

     Take them ml too , they should win outright. 

     
    Jars
    Jars
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 3:15 PM ET #11

     

     

    Lets Go! BOL tonight  an_cheers

     

    Try the ML as well moneybag

    Reply

     

     

    Lets Go! BOL tonight  an_cheers

     

    Try the ML as well moneybag

     
    lik122
    lik122
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 3:28 PM ET #12

    LFGan_blowhorn

    Reply

    LFGan_blowhorn

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 3:38 PM ET #13

    @Jars

     Yes sirrr…peace_5

    Reply

    @Jars

     Yes sirrr…peace_5

     
    Rolexsports
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 3:39 PM ET #14

    @lik122

     Get back from the lost from last night plus a lot more.. let’s go! 

    Reply

    @lik122

     Get back from the lost from last night plus a lot more.. let’s go! 

     
    usikbasterd
    usikbasterd
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 3:48 PM ET #15

    @Rolexsports

     reallyhappy

    Reply

    @Rolexsports

     reallyhappy

     
    CalBear2009
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 4:04 PM ET #16

    Ty for sharing the insights Rolex, tailing this one with you. GL tonight!!

    Reply

    Ty for sharing the insights Rolex, tailing this one with you. GL tonight!!

     
    umgmu
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 5:01 PM ET #17

    @Rolexsports

     Big banger style win.

    Im in..with my 2vother plays.

     

    Reply

    @Rolexsports

     Big banger style win.

    Im in..with my 2vother plays.

     

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 5:05 PM ET #18

    @CalBear2009

     No problem Cal, this was an automatic wager for me as soon as saw the inflated line. 

    Reply

    @CalBear2009

     No problem Cal, this was an automatic wager for me as soon as saw the inflated line. 

     
    OneADayJ
    OneADayJ
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    Posts: 1262
    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 5:06 PM ET #19

    Doesn't St Johns want this just as bad? They lock up at least half the big east title with a win

    Civilizations are like leaves, they change color as they die
    Reply

    Doesn't St Johns want this just as bad? They lock up at least half the big east title with a win

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 5:06 PM ET #20

    @umgmu

     Hope you sweep tonight homie peace_5

    Reply

    @umgmu

     Hope you sweep tonight homie peace_5

     
    Parlay_pal
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 5:08 PM ET #21

    @Rolexsports

     Wow 4 G’s...ok man I going for Hall then

    Reply

    @Rolexsports

     Wow 4 G’s...ok man I going for Hall then

     
    Macwestie1
    Macwestie1
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 5:09 PM ET #22

    GL clover on your play with you mah man an_cheers @Rolexsports peace_5

     

    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
    Reply

    GL clover on your play with you mah man an_cheers @Rolexsports peace_5

     

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 5:45 PM ET #23

    @OneADayJ

     Yes they want the w for sure as well to get a share or better, but Hall are trying to go dancing. They get this win, they just might make. 

    Reply

    @OneADayJ

     Yes they want the w for sure as well to get a share or better, but Hall are trying to go dancing. They get this win, they just might make. 

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 5:45 PM ET #24

    @Parlay_pal

     Let’s go Parlay.. this play is extremely solid from me. 

    Reply

    @Parlay_pal

     Let’s go Parlay.. this play is extremely solid from me. 

     
     
    Rolexsports
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 5:46 PM ET #25

    @Macwestie1

     Thanks bro , and you as well. peace_5

    Reply

    @Macwestie1

     Thanks bro , and you as well. peace_5

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