Posted:
#26
Just want to point out a couple things on the Cal game. Although perhaps I'm on the wrong side, as evidenced by the insane movement on this game (I grabbed it at PK last night and since this time it's moved to +2.5), I don't see how you can bet against Cal here.
For those who are afraid of Cal on the road:
For those who are afraid of Cal on the road:
Cal's had two true road games this year and a "semi-away" game. The Missouri "semi-away" game was a slaughter. But Mizzou is still undefeated on the year, is 11-0 in home or semi-home games, and is a blowout type team, and is the #7 team in the country.
The loss at UNLV was by 17 points. UNLV is 12-0 at home this year and is a top 25 team.
The 1 point loss to San Diego State (#48) was tough. But San Diego state is 8-1 at home against D1 teams this year.
So although Cal has yet to earn a road victory, the teams they've played have a combined home or semi-home record of 31-1 for the year. So it's not really fair to call Cal a "bad road team". They also slaughtered Georgia in a neutral game, 70-46, in MO.
Oregon State comes in tonight as the #66 team overall, but has played the #315 overall schedule and #332 non-conference schedule. They were picked to finish 11 of 12 in the Pac 12 and #124 all of NCAA, and have only beaten one top-100 team on the season. The other 3 top 100 teams they've played they've lost to, and none of those teams are as good as Cal.
Oregon State posts a good home record, at 7-1, but one of those wins was against an unranked opponent, and only two of them were against teams in the top 200 (Hofstra barely makes the cut at #196; the other is #146 Montana).
So although Cal has yet to earn a road victory, the teams they've played have a combined home or semi-home record of 31-1 for the year. So it's not really fair to call Cal a "bad road team". They also slaughtered Georgia in a neutral game, 70-46, in MO.
Oregon State comes in tonight as the #66 team overall, but has played the #315 overall schedule and #332 non-conference schedule. They were picked to finish 11 of 12 in the Pac 12 and #124 all of NCAA, and have only beaten one top-100 team on the season. The other 3 top 100 teams they've played they've lost to, and none of those teams are as good as Cal.
Oregon State posts a good home record, at 7-1, but one of those wins was against an unranked opponent, and only two of them were against teams in the top 200 (Hofstra barely makes the cut at #196; the other is #146 Montana).
Cal was picked to win the Pac-12, and they return all but one contributor from last year's team. They were able to win at Oregon State last year by 11 points, and are familiar with the arena. So I like Cal because I believe they're more talented, they're more experienced, they're familiar with Oregon State, and because there's a very good chance Oregon State's due for a downfall.
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