Posted:
#26
Quote Originally Posted by Barnstorm:
Sounds pretty good, but I'm not sold that line moves with public money. Sometimes that is smart money moving the line, especially late.
The real value might just be that you're getting 1.5+ points from the opener. But the opener may have been very wrong and smart money moved it very quickly.
If line movement was always the result of public money and not smart money, then we'd have something.
Maybe a line that moves after the initial "smart" move is public money and if it goes back to the opening or initial "smart" move line it is smart money late.
I once ran a lot of stats on line movement - early, middle and late and I could not find a good % system to play. That was NFL.
GL
Sounds pretty good, but I'm not sold that line moves with public money. Sometimes that is smart money moving the line, especially late.
The real value might just be that you're getting 1.5+ points from the opener. But the opener may have been very wrong and smart money moved it very quickly.
If line movement was always the result of public money and not smart money, then we'd have something.
Maybe a line that moves after the initial "smart" move is public money and if it goes back to the opening or initial "smart" move line it is smart money late.
I once ran a lot of stats on line movement - early, middle and late and I could not find a good % system to play. That was NFL.
GL
I agree with most of what you just said Barn,,,for some reason this system has worked for a couple years...maybe just getting lucky, but who knows.
Also remember this is only a 7 -8 week system.
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