Posted:
#76
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NCAAB line move system
Posted:
#81
Quote Originally Posted by dmheal:
Around Norridge ..
Thanks Upside!
The rule is take the team that goes from favorite to dog, correct?
If this is not the case please explain how to select.
By the way, what part of Illinois? I grew up in Gillespie, about 50 miles South of Springfield, just off of I-55.
Thanks,
Dean
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Posted:
#82
OK...there is an injury or possible injury in the MIA-O-C MICH game...so thats out...no play.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
I have four games tonight...and these ARE all conference games...
WEST CAROLINA +3.5 vs furman
SAMFORD +2.5 vs elon
SE MIZZ ST pickem jax st
SAN FRAN +5.5 @ loy marymount
gl2us
jw11
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Posted:
#83
well....whwn I went to go bet after posting....
WCAR was back to +2...but I played it anyways cuz the (to me) is a good sign.
Got SAMF +2
SE MIZZ +1
and SAN FRAN +6 (bought 1/2)
This could be a "make or break" night for the system.
Still pissed I got 2 losses on games I played that were non-conference.
That's what makes this "easy" system more difficult...alot of the games are ADDED games, and I'm not too sure about who is in who's conference.
It doesn't help that I'm on a loaner PC and it is slower than honey drippin.
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Posted:
#88
Quote Originally Posted by lillefty:
Idaho and la tech went from Idaho -2 to La Tech +1.5..see no injuries
Idaho and la tech went from Idaho -2 to La Tech +1.5..see no injuries
I have a loaner PC and I'm so agrivated with it...sometimes I get up and walk away.
Didn't see the Idaho line movement and it"s a good thing>>>hope you didn't play it Lefty.
Looks like today's post will be 3-1 or 2-2....not sure if SAN FRAN will hang in there.
One thing I HAVE noticed so far...If I had been playing these teams Ist HALF only, I'd have about 85-90% winners.
After Sunday ...like I stated earlier...I will check out the results and adjust to make it more of "my system" rather than "my buddy's system".
Another thing that I will consider, is laying off games like the one you mention>>>>>Idaho-LaTech.<<<<<When TEAM-A opens as a favorite....and it crosses over the pickem...and then the old 'flip-flop' happens , and suddenly TEAM-B is favored.
Also....I may start playing Non Conference games since they are so few and far between.
Thanks for posting Lefty.
Good luck to you.
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Posted:
#89
Quote Originally Posted by jw11:
OK...there is an injury or possible injury in the MIA-O-C MICH game...so thats out...no play.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
I have four games tonight...and these ARE all conference games...
WEST CAROLINA +3.5 vs furman
SAMFORD +2.5 vs elon...................
SE MIZZ ST pickem jax st..............
SAN FRAN +5.5 @ loy marymount
gl2us
jw11
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!!!
Posted:
#91
jw,
You need to go back to your buddy and get the stats before you change the parameters.
Anyone have a few years database of line movement that could analyze which spreads work best, how much line movement is necessary, dogs and/or favs and conference and/or non-conference? Totals would be interesting to look at also, but you might need to see more line movement for them. More like 2 or 2.5 rather than the 1.5 for sides.
I like the idea of this system. True, you may go against some steam plays, but at least you are always getting a good line on the game - a couple extra points.
GL
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Posted:
#93
SUMMARY as of 01-27-11
11 wins............
TENN +5.................won the game outright
ILLINI-3.5.................won by 10
ARK LR +3.5...........won the game outright
ST PETE pick...........won
ST BON +4..............won the game outright
FURMAN +6.............won the game outright
RIDER +1.5..............won the game outright
RICHM +3................won the game outright
W.CAROLINA +3.5...won the game outright by 24
SAMFORD +2.5.......won the game outright
SAN FRAN +5.5.......won the game outright
5 losses...................
ELON +7...................lost by 8
FORDH +6.................lost by 12 (had 2H lead)
LOY MRMNT +1.5......lost by 2
BALL ST -1.5.............lost by 2
S.E MO.ST +2.5........ lost by 9
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Posted:
#95
SUMMARY as of 01-27-11
11 wins............
TENN +5.................won the game outright
ILLINI-3.5.................won by 10
ARK LR +3.5...........won the game outright
ST PETE pick...........won
ST BON +4..............won the game outright
FURMAN +6.............won the game outright
RIDER +1.5..............won the game outright
RICHM +3................won the game outright
W.CAROLINA +3.5...won the game outright by 24
SAMFORD +2.5.......won the game outright
SAN FRAN +5.5.......won the game outright
6 losses...................
ELON +7...................lost by 8
FORDH +6.................lost by 12 (had 2H lead)
LOY MRMNT +1.5......lost by 2
BALL ST -1.5.............lost by 2
E.CAR. +3.................lost by 8
S.E MO.ST +2.5........ lost by 9
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