2-1 yesterday, 6-1 run last 2 .. Thought I had a cover with Illinois State, but OT was not kind at all. Got bailed out by Mason at the buzzer turning my push into a win. Creighton was never really in doubt. This is not the Salukis of Sweet 16 lore.
Firt look through tonight's card has me leaning dogs and heavy favs, but just leans for now..
Northwestern +8.5
Villanova +2.5/ML
Rutgers +8
Akron -10
Charlotte +7
Arkansas +7.5
St. Bonaventure +2/ML
North Dakota State +8
Missouri -15.5
New Mexico +1
Detroit -2.5 (not a dog or a heavy fav)
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
2-1 yesterday, 6-1 run last 2 .. Thought I had a cover with Illinois State, but OT was not kind at all. Got bailed out by Mason at the buzzer turning my push into a win. Creighton was never really in doubt. This is not the Salukis of Sweet 16 lore.
Firt look through tonight's card has me leaning dogs and heavy favs, but just leans for now..
Indiana is 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS in games following ones where they shot 50% or better. In these games, the Hoosiers are averaging 68 points while allowing an average of 67. Northwestern shoots the ball well, and surprisingly are statistically better on the road. They are shooting 51% FG and 44% three point over their last 5 games, which was Purdue twice, Illinois, Iowa and Nebraska. The Wildcats come into this game 15-9, which to me is somewhat misleading. They have three losses by a combined 5 points, a home loss to Baylor (no shame there) and road losses to Creighton, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Minnesota and Purdue (really no shame on any of these). I think I have two ways to win this - hot shooting from Northwestern or sub-par shooting from Indiana. Historical stats and how both have performed situtionally tells me I might get both.
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Northwestern +8.5 (26 units to win 24.76)
Indiana is 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS in games following ones where they shot 50% or better. In these games, the Hoosiers are averaging 68 points while allowing an average of 67. Northwestern shoots the ball well, and surprisingly are statistically better on the road. They are shooting 51% FG and 44% three point over their last 5 games, which was Purdue twice, Illinois, Iowa and Nebraska. The Wildcats come into this game 15-9, which to me is somewhat misleading. They have three losses by a combined 5 points, a home loss to Baylor (no shame there) and road losses to Creighton, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Minnesota and Purdue (really no shame on any of these). I think I have two ways to win this - hot shooting from Northwestern or sub-par shooting from Indiana. Historical stats and how both have performed situtionally tells me I might get both.
These two teams met back in January where Akron was a 3.5pt road favorite and pulled out a 65-60 victory. Akron is a monster at home and their offensive and defensive numbers might be some of the most impressive in the country. They average 81pts, while allowing on average 63. They shoot 50% and 39% from the field and from 3pt, while they hold their opponents to 37% and 27% respectively. They outrebound their opponents 35-26. I initially thought the opening line of 10 was low, but I think that number is based on the fact that Miami Oh hasn't lost a game by double digits since Ohio State back on December 22, 2011. They have gone the entire 2012 and all of their MAC conference games without losing by 10 or more. Seems like something to ride? I don't think so. Akron is the class of the MAC, and while some might argue for Kent State, I have to disagree. Not because Akron beat them by 11 on their home court, but just because of their full body of work. The Zips are 8-0 at home ATS with the lone home SU loss being a 1 point OT thriller against VCU.
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Akron -9.5 (28 units to win 26.67)
These two teams met back in January where Akron was a 3.5pt road favorite and pulled out a 65-60 victory. Akron is a monster at home and their offensive and defensive numbers might be some of the most impressive in the country. They average 81pts, while allowing on average 63. They shoot 50% and 39% from the field and from 3pt, while they hold their opponents to 37% and 27% respectively. They outrebound their opponents 35-26. I initially thought the opening line of 10 was low, but I think that number is based on the fact that Miami Oh hasn't lost a game by double digits since Ohio State back on December 22, 2011. They have gone the entire 2012 and all of their MAC conference games without losing by 10 or more. Seems like something to ride? I don't think so. Akron is the class of the MAC, and while some might argue for Kent State, I have to disagree. Not because Akron beat them by 11 on their home court, but just because of their full body of work. The Zips are 8-0 at home ATS with the lone home SU loss being a 1 point OT thriller against VCU.
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