MONDAY NCAA. 151

N.C. st +7.   Been playing really strong lately.. like their chances. 

Coming off bad Sunday. ...get right hopefully

151

I like NC ST also 

Will Wade can recruit and coach.

So can Kelsey.

But right now, da wolf is the play

Good luck Rum.  

looking at the st francis at chicago st game, these 2 played at st francis on jan 23rd and st francis won that game 81-60 now whats good forst francis is that they won that game by 21 pts even though they took 16 fewer shots than chicago st,...chicago st was 24/67  36% and were 7/20 from 3  35% and were 5/11 ft's  and St francis was 28/51 55% and 11/25 from 3 44% and were 14/16 ft's 88%, now chicago st did have 17 offensive reb's to just 6 for st francis but thats because st francis did not miss many shots, when yo get 16 more shots and still lose by 21 its because you shot like shit, and coming into this game st francis is scoring points, last 3 games they are averaging 80 pts a game but are giving up 88, but giving up that many is ok when playing chicago st, they just do not score a lot of pts, they have only scored over 70 pts 7 times this year , over 80 4 times  , if st francis can continue to score i just do not see chicago st being able to keep up, another big thing in that game was the assist, st francis had 23 to just 6 for chicago st   if i was to bet this i would almost have to take st francis here 

@RUM151

 Bacardi151

seems this Bradley belmont game is getting a lot of action and again you have a matchup where Belmont won the 1st meeting this year at home 88-78 in a game where Bradley took more shots 10 more shots, they were 27/61  and 13/32 from 3 and 11/17 at the line  and Belmont was 28/51 and 10/23 from 3 but were 22/30 at the line  so bradley had just 1 less made basket  they made 3 more 3's but lost because of the foul shots as they took 13 fewer and made 11 fewer and lost by 10 ...belmont is avg 91 pts their last 3 game and giving up 79 and away they avg 81 and give up 68, Bradley last 3 are avg 69 pts and giving up 66, at home they avg 77 and give up 68,  but what i like about belmont is that they are averaging almost 24 assist the last 3 games and away they avg 18.5 assist that means they are passing the ball, getting movement  Bradley last 3 are avg 11 assist and at home they avg just 13 , they need to get better ball movement 

belmont away is shooting the 3 at 42% at home bradley is shooting the 3 at 32%  belmont away is shooting the 2 at 58% and bradley at home 51% effective shooting away  belmont 60% at home bradley 50%  over all shooting  51% to 44% ..last 3 games belmonts turnover/assist ratio is 2.300 thats very good, and Bradleys is 0.972  thats huge 

lean to belmont   but bradley has the revenge factor here 

texas am-cc at N.Orleans here is another game where one team won big , texas cc won at home 83-69, and in that game texas cc took 21 more shots than N.O. , they had 24 offensive rebounds to just 12 for N.O. and NO had 16 to's to just 9 for texas cc  so thats where they got the extra 21 shots from , free throws were even, big edge in assist for texas cc 15-5 ..Texas CC has won 5 of their last 6 road games outright, the only road loss in that span was a 78-79 loss at NW st, so these guys are not worried about being on the road, texas has won last 4 in a row and 6 of last 7 and all have been big wins too, this game is a pk or N.O. maybe -1.5  the OVER looks ok, last game N.O gave up 95 pts but i did bet N.O. to go over their TT of 74.5 and they got 76 even though i seen the score with almost 10 mins left and they were losing like 72-52 so i knew there was time to get the over, but they do give up points , and texas did score 83 last time so this could be an over here   but texas CC does seem to know how to beat these guys and yet they are a dog  

• Over is 6-0 in Privateers last 6 Monday games.
• Hot: Over is 6-1 in Islanders last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
• Hot: Over is 5-1 in Privateers last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Hot: Over is 13-3 in Privateers last 16 games following a straight up loss.
• Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Privateers last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
• Over is 21-6 in Privateers last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

• Privateers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
• Hot: Privateers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
• Hot: Islanders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Privateers are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Privateers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Privateers are 10-25 ATS in their last 35 home games.
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coming off a 1-3 day yesterday in hoops   YTD 366-297  

st francis +3.5 -120  

NC st +7  

this arizona at Kansas game is interesting, the line is Arizona just -1.5 now Kansas is an ok team but they have peterson who is just awsome, but is he going to be enough? he is going to have to score 25+ for them to have a chance  maybe 30+ but Arizona being unbeaten there is that chance that they lose on the road vs a good team and this could be it, i always have a tendency to want to take the home dog here and hope they beat the BIG team, but i also think taking Arizona could be the play here, they are that good , but they have won closer games on the road, they beat BYU by 3 but they were in control of that game until very very late, they won by 4 at U Conn, won by 7 at UCF, and i do think Kansas has been playing really well they won at Texas tech, at Iowa st, lost by 5 at u conn and not sure if peterson played then, Peterson and Council jr are going to have to be at the top of their game and they are going to need Bidunga to be huge on some blocks and on the boards , Hardrock has Kansas at +2.5 -120 i might go for that, if i really felt Arizona was a lock here i think i would lay 2.5 at even money hell i would maybe take kansas +3.5 -140    very tuff one for me    

gl 151

Gl rum im going to see if I can do better than the current .2.5 on ST FRAN PA

Louisville ranks 30th in adjusted defensive efficiency; Wolfpack rank 174th

@RUM151

 Rum ....best of luck tonight 

this prarieview team has been real competitive on the road so farlately   they lost 76-82 at a good bethune team, they lost 75-76 at alcorn st, lost 78-82 at jackson st , beat southern 89-85, lost 72-76 at grambling  thats their last 5 road games ...so they have been in these games 

plays 

st francis +3.5 -120  

NC st +7

C Arkansas -6 

Kansas +3.5 -130 

teaser Navy -1.5/Prarieview +8.5  

teaser Lamar -2.5/Coll of charleston +3.5  

@RUM151

Fast paced team.. 8th in the country in Adjusted tempo

parlays moving the lines here   well N.Iowa is a very good road team ats so far this year as they are 4-1 ats as a dog, and 5-3 ats away, and 3-1 ats as a road dog  at hardrock the line did drop to 3.5 from 4.5 and N.Iowa did beat murray st at home 81-76 and last year in the tourney N.Iowa won 74-67 and before that the road team won the 3 previous games  and this total is just 143 and murray st is a team that usually likes to score in the upper 70's mid 80's and for this total to only be 143 makes me lean to N.Iowa here   because Murray st scored 81 and 91 last 2 games and they are at home  this could be a over play here 

also wondering why Valparaiso is only getting like 3 at Drake?  i mean drake has won like the last 8 between these 2, but Valp is 7-3-1 ats after a win, and they are 6-4 ats away, and 9-5-1 ats as a dog, and 12-4 ats on 2-3 days rest and 9-4 ats in conf this year  i think this line is pointing to a valparaiso cover   and this total of 144  i would lean to an over here too  

anyway i have 2 parlays i moved the lines ..Rio Grande ML/Valparaiso +5.5/Ill st -7.5  +318  

parlay Navy-4.5/Bethune -4.5/Southern ml/N Iowa +6.5 +389  

leans on valp, N.Iowa, Navy, 

Good luck Rum 

well again st francis  everyone was on them and they lose BIGGGGGGGGGTIMMMMMMMe  i mean horrible  

College of Charleston ml   str up

st francis +3.5 -120  LOSS

NC st +7

C Arkansas -6 

Kansas +3.5 -130 

teaser Navy -1.5/Prarieview +8.5  

teaser Lamar -2.5/Coll of charleston +3.5  

anyway i have 2 parlays i moved the lines ..Rio Grande ML/Valparaiso +5.5/Ill st -7.5  +318  

parlay Navy-4.5/Bethune -4.5/Southern ml/N Iowa +6.5 +389  

leans on valp, N.Iowa, Navy, 

St Francis 2pt game 30 secs left

I canceled my kansas bet. No peterson

I hit 4 live plays thank god. Took ark pine-17.5.  Took Xavier +7.5 with 14 mins left...over 93.5 Louisville tt in 1st half. Over 165.5 live Xavier game ....the way it was looking I had to. But then c.arkannsas comes back and covers