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MONDAY BEST BET NCAAB

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Posted: #1
IDAHO + 3 
 
THE VANDALS JUST CAME OFF A 54 POINT WIN VS UC IRINE A TEAM WHICH SACRAMENTO ST LOST TO BY 12 POINTS
 
THE VANDALS ARE 8-0 IN THIS SERIES VS SACRAMENTO ST
 
VANDALS ARE 3-3  WITH LOSES AGAINST QUALITY TEAMS , BEING MICHIGAN ST , GONZAGA , E WASHINGTON
 
THIS IS SACRAMENTO ST FIRST HOME GAME
THEY ARE WINLESS IN FOUR STARTS THEIR LOSES BEING BY 10, 21 , 12 , AND 12
 
SO YOUR LAYING 3 POINTS WITH A TEAM WHO IS YET TO WIN , OR BEEN CLOSE TO WINNING  , BECAUSE THEY ARE HOME
 
WHY ARE THEY FAVORITES ? THIS LINE IS WAY OFF.  I DONT THINK IT WAS ADJUSTED BY THE MONEY .BECAUSE THE PUBLIC LOOKS TO THE MARQUE TEAMS AND GAMES
 
SO I SAY JUMP ON IT
 
GL  
 
 
 
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Posted: #2
 
Prospect
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Posted: #3
Seems like Im seeing a ton of people making this pick.  You talked me into a small play here. 
 
Do you know what % of the public is on Idaho in this spot? 
 
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Posted: #4
Yes I am on Idaho. I agree with this post. Good Luck guys!
 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #5
Also Sac St. is a comuter school so we shouldn't have to worry about home court advantage that much as they won't have more than a few hundered in attenedance.
 
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Posted: #6
somethings got to give in this matchup...cant just be the home court deciding the spread
 
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Posted: #7
sounds like a solid bet rich
 
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Posted: #8
I'm on Idaho too but I dont think there is much public money on this game and you would figure if there was a lot of sharp money the line would have been adjusted.  The line is probably right I just think Idaho isn't as bad as Sac St
 
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Posted: #9
Down to +2.  Im feeling better now!
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by freek:

I'm on Idaho too but I dont think there is much public money on this game and you would figure if there was a lot of sharp money the line would have been adjusted.  The line is probably right I just think Idaho isn't as bad as Sac St

i just don't think there is too much interest  here being early in season , and against monday night football ,this game is not on tv , and these two teams are not marque teams , i think vegas is lazy sometimes ,and  on games like this make home team a short favorite ,the public bets short fav. late smart money will come in and this line is going down , but really how much action is on this game ....being monday night football and wisconsin  v tech on espn

 

 

 
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Posted: #11
Something does not make since with this spread.  Everytime I hear someone say the linesmakers messed up this one, or the line isn't right it blows up in their face.

Idaho has 95% on side
Idaho has 98% on moneyline

something smells

I think after teams have played 5-6 games the linesmakers have enough of an idea.
(ie. St. Bon -4 vs.Canisius, alot like St. Bonaventure and ended losing to a 1-4 team by 2 points.)
 
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Posted: #12

Quote Originally Posted by jrsports:

Something does not make since with this spread.  Everytime I hear someone say the linesmakers messed up this one, or the line isn't right it blows up in their face.

Idaho has 95% on side
Idaho has 98% on moneyline

well ill tell you this sacramento state has lost 12 in a row dating back to last year , they won a total of 3 games last season two of them were not even division 1 .being william jessup, and simpson university , their only win was against montana state 78-77 two day later they lost to montana state by 7 .......so i do think vegas screwed up on this one ....they get away with it somewhat because who bets these game or is even looking at it ....not much volume but the only money is smart money and the line is changing

something smells

I think after teams have played 5-6 games the linesmakers have enough of an idea.
(ie. St. Bon -4 vs.Canisius, alot like St. Bonaventure and ended losing to a 1-4 team by 2 points.)

 
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Posted: #13
hey good call man
 
 
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