4 UNIT PLAY
Pittsburgh +7 over WEST VIRGINIA:
Not only do teams have let down because of some big wins, but they can
also have a let down from a loss. On Saturday the Mountaineers had a
chance to go up late on Syracuse, but a blown goaltending call by the
refs and it cost them the game. That was a demoralizing loss for this
team and i'm not sure they will be fully ready to play in this one. For
Pittsburgh they had an 8 game losing streak, due mainly to the absence
of Trey Woodall, but they have righted the ship some to win their last
2. They have gone 0-4 in Big East road games, but their last 3 losses
have been by an average of 5.3 ppg This is a team that had been losing,
but was still in 6 of the 8 losses till the very end. Now Trey Woodall
has had a few games back under his belt and he should be more than ready
to lead the panthers in this one. The Panthers are a desperate team as
they look to work they look to finish the season strong and somehow get
an invite to the Big Dance and I feel they will be the more focused team
here.
3 UNIT PLAY
Morgan State/ Hampton Over 127.5: Gonna go way off the grid for this one and use a play on two non-lined teams. The Last time these teams met the game was at Morgan State and there was just 124 points scored in the game, but i feel we can squeeze at least 4 more points out of this one. Hampton's last 5 games have averaged 143 ppg, while their first 3 on this home stand have averaged 147.3 ppg. The Pirates have had a lot of problems at the defensive end of late as they have allowed 74 ppg in their last 5 overall and that is really good news considering that Morgan State has come on to average 69.6 ppg in their last 5 games. Hampton has also been a bit hot offensively as they come in averaging 60 ppg overall and 67.1 ppg at home, but on their current home stand that number rises a bit to 75 ppg. Now just like the pirates, the Bears have also struggled at the defensive end as they come in allowing 69.4 ppg overall, including 69.6 ppg in their last 5 games and 72.1 ppg on the road. Let's also note that in Morgan State's conference games there has been a n average of 135.6 ppg, while Hampton's have averaged 133.1. The only reason i feel that Vegas has this number this low is due to the fact that the last 4 played here between these teams have averaged 115.3 ppg, but that was then and this is now and In looking at the numbers above, current data would indicate that this game will easily hit at least 130+, especially with the improved offense from both teams and poor defense that these teams are playing.
BEST OF LUCK EVERYONE
I will have more plays later
Thanks
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