Posted:
#1
Taking my time off, but after looking at the lines today I couldn't even stay away from this one...St. Louis Dayton total...STL hasnt played a game under 140 all year in conference. I dont think the books are quite up to par on STL and UD totals. They dropped roughly 140 in their last game before OT sent it to 160ish. Also, neither team shot well in that game. Look at the Bona and GW game for the Bills, 150 and 134 and GW does not have much of any offense and doesn't want to push. UD will want to push this game, as any team should want to against the STL half court set. Dayton has the ability to drop a lot of points, as they have been all year. Dillard is a much better offensive minded PG compared to London Warren of years past and I like his ability to lead the game as a vet, even if he is a transfer. Mitchell and the rest of STL is not afraid to push the ball, as you have seen all year. Look at the Bona game where they expected a good defensive showing and just ate the Bonnies alive for 80+. Dayton may have problems inside where I believe Conklin and Evans can work some in there.
Expect a lot of 3 pt attempts in this one. If they are falling even decently, this could fly over. no pun intended.
Dayton is 27th in offensive efficiency and 189 in D
Bills are 19th in OE and 15th in D, but dayton needs to run to avoid a half-court game, so this doesn't bother me a ton.
This is an eye test game, despite all the #'s I gave above. I dont see this staying below 140 if these teams like they are capable. I expect a semi fast paced game and I do believe Dayton can stay within single digits to force some early fouling if they are indeed losing. I think Dayton needs to get to 62...
Total has dropped 1.5 pts since it's opening, but I wont let it go further for me...
It's a BIG ONE...
Dayton/St. Louis OVER 133.5 (3 units)
GL all
Expect a lot of 3 pt attempts in this one. If they are falling even decently, this could fly over. no pun intended.
Dayton is 27th in offensive efficiency and 189 in D
Bills are 19th in OE and 15th in D, but dayton needs to run to avoid a half-court game, so this doesn't bother me a ton.
This is an eye test game, despite all the #'s I gave above. I dont see this staying below 140 if these teams like they are capable. I expect a semi fast paced game and I do believe Dayton can stay within single digits to force some early fouling if they are indeed losing. I think Dayton needs to get to 62...
Total has dropped 1.5 pts since it's opening, but I wont let it go further for me...
It's a BIG ONE...
Dayton/St. Louis OVER 133.5 (3 units)
GL all
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