Holmey's $$$$ Thread WEDNESDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 02.24.16

By the way, this is why you need to have accounts with several books.  I can get UNDER 155 on two of my sites right now.  One has it OFF the board and two have it at 148.  I don't know where it is going to settle at, but waiting around to find out is a bad idea if you want the under, as I think that its will settle a lot closer to 148 than 155.

Something fishy is going on with this line.  I also wonder why it is all over the board.

seeing opening at -19 and a few moments ago, 3 bookies had them for -19/-18

but now, just pinnacle has it for -19 while everyone adjusted to -4. 

so fishy.  dunno what is what anymore. 

Nice buy on the under 155.  seeing it opened at 148

I got the 155, thanks for the heads up Holmey. 

Nevermind, I was looking at Wash/Oreg.St......@ 155, WSU/Oreg at 148.5

Honestly, I have seen recently that the books person around with the late lines for West Coast games during the day.  Its the kind of stuff you usually see overnight for East Coast and Midwest games.  I have nailed a few messed up lines this year in late Pac-12 games this year.  I am not sure why its happening, but I bet it has to do with some of these places are in such a hurry to get a line up that they just grab what they see and then fix it as soon as they can.  I got a game about a month ago where one team ended up at -5, but I got them at +3.5 because the early lines were bouncing all over the place.  Keep your eyes on the late West Coast games every day.  You might be able to find a gift in there somewhere.

I like the under 155 in Washington-Oregon State

@usc holmey I appreciate your work as a sports capper. And what you have started. GL to you all

I think the bookie got confused.  washington state at oregon might ducks, it is off the board but should be -19 oregon. 

washington vs oregon state is -4

pinnacle and sports interactions still has theirs as -18/18.5 for oregon state.  If you can buy washington +18, worth a short.  Take it and hope that they will pay for their mistakes.  

Thanks man!  Hope you have made some cash following along!

Whoa.  Washington +18?  Holy crap.

YTD- 7-7 Xavier -1.5 GL everyone.

He was talking about the Washington/osu line not the Washington st/Oregon line... Seems to be some confusion

7-5 $$$$
4-2 NBA
3-2 no$$$$

- No playing ranked team against no rank.  The upset factor
- No playing away teams.  Home crowd is the 6th man factor
- No playing if their ATS record is poorer than opponent
- No Reverse Line Movement factor
- No playing if line is more than 10.  The OT can't cover factor


Brother man up there took houston today and while I loved that play, I am going to give it to brother man.  I am going to hunt for something else that fits my criteria instead. 

Indiana State (13-15 SU, 7-9 MVC, 13-12-2 ATS)
Northern Iowa (17-12, 9-7 MVC, 15-13 ATS)

Indy state 4-10 SU away and 5-8-1 ATS away

Indiana state got beat up bad by wichita state at home but that is to be expected.  Wichita state is a cover machine and ranked team right?  Indiana state is on a cold spell, losing 5 straight and their previous 2 loses were by a blow out.  They only scored 51 pathetic points against wichita state and their leading scorer only had 11 points.  However, they are 17-0 when they hold their opponent to 53 pathetic points.  You think Northern Iowa will get under 53 points? 

Northern Iowa has something to play for.  They are just 1 game behind southern illinois as they are 5th in their conference right now.  Northern Iowa can ball as they have 5 starters who are double figure players.  So 5 starters times 10 points is 50 points there so the 17-0 record by indiana state is mute. 

Here's the kicker though.  Northern Iowa is 16-4 SU when they hold their opponent under 70 points.  Indiana state has 16 games that they scored 70 or fewer points. 

Indy state last 11 games, they are 1-9-1 ATS

Northern Iowa last 8 games they are 7-1 ATS

Northern Iowa defense is on beast mode.  They ranked 31th in the nation defensively by giving up only 64 points per game.  They are 10-3 SU at home and this will be their last home game for the season so expect the 6th man crowd to be loud and they will eat Indy state alive.  Last home game is called senior night as they have 3 seniors all in double figures who will play their hearts out for scouter to bid them for the nba. 

Northern iowa lost to indy state earlier this year but that's ok, I like the revenge angle here. 

The Sycamores are:

• 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Missouri Valley.
• 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
• 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games.
• 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

The Panthers are:

• 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Missouri Valley.
• 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
• 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
• 18-5-3 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Usc, lock me down for northern iowa -9.5 for $$$$

I also like hou -5.5 for no$$$$

houston raped ucf earlier this year for tons. 

ucf lost 5 in a row with 3 of them at home to teams with a winning record.  Now they are playing at home and against a team with a winning record yet again.  Houston has better offense and defense than ucf 

Houston is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.

all bookie adjusted but bet365 was at -4 but now at -18 wtf? 

Now I'm seeing bookie justbet and betdsi now has oregon mighty ducks -4? 

This is hilarious.  -18 for ducks should be the correct line. 

its -4 for oregon state......and -19 for oregon

Bet those lines if you can get them.  The worst they can do is refund your bet, I suppose.

Yes, you can post whatever plays you want to here, but if you want them tracked, make sure you have "$$$$" posted prominently in the post so I know you want the play tracked as a "$$$$".  Thanks!

Way to be USC_Holmey!  I jumped on that UNDER 155 total for Washington/Oregon State. 

Afternoon all.

YTD- 7-7 Xavier-1.5 GL everyone.

So you do like the Washington and Oregon state under right? Cuz I have 155 and I placed my wager

Yes I do, but I am getting a little concerned about the number of people tailing at this point lol.......