Holmey's $$$$ Thread THURSDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 02.19.16

Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:

5-5 $$$$- No playing ranked team against no rank.  The upset factor- No playing away teams.  Home crowd is the 6th man factor- No playing if their ATS record is poorer than opponent- No Reverse Line Movement factor- No playing if line is more than 10.  The OT can't cover factorHarvard Crimson (10-14 overall, 5-12 ATS, 9-8 O/U) vs. Columbia Lions (17-8 overall, 6-8-1 ATS, 10-5 O/U)I really don't like this one but it will be a force play for a short card today.  Both teams are poor with their ATS but columbia is a tad better, even on the worst side.Harvard has lost 6 out of 7 previous games SU and 8 of their recent past games, they never cover the spread 0-8 ATS.  When harvard is a dog, they are 3-6 ATSOn Jan 30th, they have played before and Harvard lost to columbia as a fav by -1.5 and they Lost at home 54 - 55 Harvard has no offense.  They are 311th ranked in the nation in offense and averages about 66 points per game.  They do have defense though at 48th in the country which is impressive.  Columbia has a better offense ranking 114th and averaging 76 points per game.  Their defense is not too shabby at 116th in the nation.  The key to watch here is that Harvard can not shoot free throws.  They averages about 58% at the free throw line and that means points take away which then all added up to bite them in the azz when they needed it the most.  Harvard 2-9 SU when away 2-6 ATS awayColumbia 11-3 SU when at home 2-3-1 ATS at home
Harvard

1-5 ATS in their last six on Friday
0-6 ATS in their last six after a straight up loss
0-6 ATS in their last six after an ATS loss
0-8 ATS in their last eight overall
Columbia

4-1-1 ATS in their last six after an ATS loss
12-5 ATS in their last 17 after a straight up loss
Give me Columbia -7.5 for $$$$I appreciate the write-up...definitely helpful. Curious why its a $$$$, when you start off the write up with "I don't like this one"? 
I wish you would've left off the first sentence..i would've been riding you.  GL