I am asking for a favor here. I am getting ready to place my largest single wager of the year and I thought this forum would give me some alternate opinions. I am usually against laying juice over -200 but this line seems a little too easy. Holm -275. I watch pretty much all these fights and have seen Tate beaten badly 3 times. I hate to use the term free money but all the "inside" information I hear has stated that Holm has been absolutely locked in since the Rousey fight and has no way let it go to her head. Rousey beat Tate twice. Am I missing anything?
Thanks for any insight!
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Hello All,
I am asking for a favor here. I am getting ready to place my largest single wager of the year and I thought this forum would give me some alternate opinions. I am usually against laying juice over -200 but this line seems a little too easy. Holm -275. I watch pretty much all these fights and have seen Tate beaten badly 3 times. I hate to use the term free money but all the "inside" information I hear has stated that Holm has been absolutely locked in since the Rousey fight and has no way let it go to her head. Rousey beat Tate twice. Am I missing anything?
[Quote: Originally Posted by poutyprince] $$$$UNC-2
Not an empty write up, but i gave my weak reasoning yesterday
UnC 0-4 on road vs top 50 teams
Duke 4-1 at home vs top 50 with close loss being to Pitt
This is just a feel bet as it is extremely hard to sweep this regular season series
Im a huge Duke Home, but they are so thin that i think they are wearing down a bit at the end of the season....see Pitt last Sunday and the struggle with Wake earlier in the week.
UNC getting stronger and healthier at right time. UNC stinks at shooting and if Duke hits ridiculous amounts of 3s they beat anyone. If they are mere mortals they lose this game.
Good Luck
BING BANG BOOOOM 3-1 on locks
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[Quote: Originally Posted by poutyprince] $$$$UNC-2
Not an empty write up, but i gave my weak reasoning yesterday
UnC 0-4 on road vs top 50 teams
Duke 4-1 at home vs top 50 with close loss being to Pitt
This is just a feel bet as it is extremely hard to sweep this regular season series
Im a huge Duke Home, but they are so thin that i think they are wearing down a bit at the end of the season....see Pitt last Sunday and the struggle with Wake earlier in the week.
UNC getting stronger and healthier at right time. UNC stinks at shooting and if Duke hits ridiculous amounts of 3s they beat anyone. If they are mere mortals they lose this game.
I am asking for a favor here. I am getting ready to place my largest single wager of the year and I thought this forum would give me some alternate opinions. I am usually against laying juice over -200 but this line seems a little too easy. Holm -275. I watch pretty much all these fights and have seen Tate beaten badly 3 times. I hate to use the term free money but all the "inside" information I hear has stated that Holm has been absolutely locked in since the Rousey fight and has no way let it go to her head. Rousey beat Tate twice. Am I missing anything?
Thanks for any insight!
Might have better luck getting some advice here... https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmain.aspx?spt=212
FWIW, I've got Holm to close out a parlay. But I'm a square when it comes to MMA so take that with a grain of salt
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Quote Originally Posted by Bubbaski27:
Hello All,
I am asking for a favor here. I am getting ready to place my largest single wager of the year and I thought this forum would give me some alternate opinions. I am usually against laying juice over -200 but this line seems a little too easy. Holm -275. I watch pretty much all these fights and have seen Tate beaten badly 3 times. I hate to use the term free money but all the "inside" information I hear has stated that Holm has been absolutely locked in since the Rousey fight and has no way let it go to her head. Rousey beat Tate twice. Am I missing anything?
Thanks for any insight!
Might have better luck getting some advice here... https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmain.aspx?spt=212
FWIW, I've got Holm to close out a parlay. But I'm a square when it comes to MMA so take that with a grain of salt
I'm actually going against somebody here on the board. This is a TOURNEY game for Yale! The Ivy League DOES NOT have a year end conference tournament. The regular season champ gets the bid. Columbia gets nothing for winning this game besides being a spoiler. Columbia had three Confernce losses this year. To whom? You guessed it...the two teams tied for first right now. Columbia got swept both games by Princeton by identical scores...88-83. Columbia's first game versus Yale at Yale resulted in a 14 point loss 86-72. Yale and Princeton are the class of the Ivy! They will be meeting up next week in a one game playoff to see who represents the Ivy for tourney time after Yale knocks of Columbia!
$$$$$ Yale -1
Also the total of 139 seems to be really low for this game. The first matchup plated out at 158!! Columbia ran with Princeton in both games at 171 (even though Princeton doesn't have Yale's DEF). This game will probably be played in the 70's....$$$$ up OVER 139 also!!
Tried something new!! I $$$$ Yale -1 and didn't bet the game...which is why they won by 14!!!! I think games you like a lot...but dont bet them come in even more!!!!!!
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Quote Originally Posted by FenwayFrank:
$$$$ YALE -1
I'm actually going against somebody here on the board. This is a TOURNEY game for Yale! The Ivy League DOES NOT have a year end conference tournament. The regular season champ gets the bid. Columbia gets nothing for winning this game besides being a spoiler. Columbia had three Confernce losses this year. To whom? You guessed it...the two teams tied for first right now. Columbia got swept both games by Princeton by identical scores...88-83. Columbia's first game versus Yale at Yale resulted in a 14 point loss 86-72. Yale and Princeton are the class of the Ivy! They will be meeting up next week in a one game playoff to see who represents the Ivy for tourney time after Yale knocks of Columbia!
$$$$$ Yale -1
Also the total of 139 seems to be really low for this game. The first matchup plated out at 158!! Columbia ran with Princeton in both games at 171 (even though Princeton doesn't have Yale's DEF). This game will probably be played in the 70's....$$$$ up OVER 139 also!!
Tried something new!! I $$$$ Yale -1 and didn't bet the game...which is why they won by 14!!!! I think games you like a lot...but dont bet them come in even more!!!!!!
Bubba this is a good matchup
for Tate imo. Plus laying 275 is never a good idea look at the Penguins
today.
Can you please explain why you believe this a
bad matchup? Holm is much superior with her striking and can easily
defend takedowns as she demonstrated with Rousey (who is superior to
Tate in this regard). She's trained by one of the best camps in the
world who always have a complete gameplan. And Holm isn't out making
movies, appearing in SNL in her downtime. She is a born-fighter who as Bubbleski alluded to is reported to be 100% focused.
I know several media
outlets claiming this might be a bad matchup but a lot of them are
shills for the UFC trying to garner attention for the fight so I don't bother to pay attention much to what they
say. So curious to hear your input as to why it's a bad matchup.. Agree way too high a juice to bet single handidly so I have this in a parlay. Thanks man.
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Quote Originally Posted by Dees2nuts:
Bubba this is a good matchup
for Tate imo. Plus laying 275 is never a good idea look at the Penguins
today.
Can you please explain why you believe this a
bad matchup? Holm is much superior with her striking and can easily
defend takedowns as she demonstrated with Rousey (who is superior to
Tate in this regard). She's trained by one of the best camps in the
world who always have a complete gameplan. And Holm isn't out making
movies, appearing in SNL in her downtime. She is a born-fighter who as Bubbleski alluded to is reported to be 100% focused.
I know several media
outlets claiming this might be a bad matchup but a lot of them are
shills for the UFC trying to garner attention for the fight so I don't bother to pay attention much to what they
say. So curious to hear your input as to why it's a bad matchup.. Agree way too high a juice to bet single handidly so I have this in a parlay. Thanks man.
@VTDon Sorry I had Pepperdine -4 so it was a push.
@Rio I am in 100% agreement. I didn't mention this but doesn't the UFC want Holm to win to setup a Rousey rematch which would draw 10x as many viewers as last time? What am I missing here?
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@VTDon Sorry I had Pepperdine -4 so it was a push.
@Rio I am in 100% agreement. I didn't mention this but doesn't the UFC want Holm to win to setup a Rousey rematch which would draw 10x as many viewers as last time? What am I missing here?
Bubbaski - I asked my friend who follows MMA closely what he thought of the Holm/Tate matchup, and he said he would be shocked if Holm lost. Convinced me to put a bit on the fight but just 1u because of the big juiced line.
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Bubbaski - I asked my friend who follows MMA closely what he thought of the Holm/Tate matchup, and he said he would be shocked if Holm lost. Convinced me to put a bit on the fight but just 1u because of the big juiced line.
@Rio I am in 100% agreement. I didn't mention this but doesn't the UFC
want Holm to win to setup a Rousey rematch which would draw 10x as many
viewers as last time? What am I missing here? [/Quote]
You
aren't misssing anything. You make a great point! I remember hearing
Dana White saying that he'd have to be the dummest promoter ever if he
didn't set up a rematch between them as their next fight (this was
before Ronda called it off saying she wanted time to recover). The UFC
is a business first and foremost... I don't think they'd chance the
potential to blow what would be one of the most lucrative rematch fights
in UFC history to set up this fight if they genuinley believed Tate
could beat Holm..
I mean, Tate's not going to knock Holm out.
She's not going to strike her way to a decision. It's going to be very
difficult to put Holm on the ground (an olympic judo medalist couldn't
even do it). Tate is trained by her gump boyfriend while Holm is
under Camp Jackson/Winklejohn. Everything screams Holm.
However,
all that being said things like an undisclosed injury (which can affect
performance) and/or terrible judge/s are way too common in the fight
game.. so personally I just don't like laying that kind of juice unless I
have it in a parlay.
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@Rio I am in 100% agreement. I didn't mention this but doesn't the UFC
want Holm to win to setup a Rousey rematch which would draw 10x as many
viewers as last time? What am I missing here? [/Quote]
You
aren't misssing anything. You make a great point! I remember hearing
Dana White saying that he'd have to be the dummest promoter ever if he
didn't set up a rematch between them as their next fight (this was
before Ronda called it off saying she wanted time to recover). The UFC
is a business first and foremost... I don't think they'd chance the
potential to blow what would be one of the most lucrative rematch fights
in UFC history to set up this fight if they genuinley believed Tate
could beat Holm..
I mean, Tate's not going to knock Holm out.
She's not going to strike her way to a decision. It's going to be very
difficult to put Holm on the ground (an olympic judo medalist couldn't
even do it). Tate is trained by her gump boyfriend while Holm is
under Camp Jackson/Winklejohn. Everything screams Holm.
However,
all that being said things like an undisclosed injury (which can affect
performance) and/or terrible judge/s are way too common in the fight
game.. so personally I just don't like laying that kind of juice unless I
have it in a parlay.
Cot dam that marshall game was sweet. Down large 1h. Came back hard 2h to tie go overtime. Down by 2 with one min left. Won game by 3. My insurance bet taking most big fav and buying down to -2 hits. Just like a ml big fav parlay but i play -2 for better odds payout.
What a day n what a game. Moose me b4 n now i give the moose back. What comes around goes around n justice was served for me today. Was going to fade marquette to get my personal revenge too. Lol
X_____________________________
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Cot dam that marshall game was sweet. Down large 1h. Came back hard 2h to tie go overtime. Down by 2 with one min left. Won game by 3. My insurance bet taking most big fav and buying down to -2 hits. Just like a ml big fav parlay but i play -2 for better odds payout.
What a day n what a game. Moose me b4 n now i give the moose back. What comes around goes around n justice was served for me today. Was going to fade marquette to get my personal revenge too. Lol