• Forums
  • Best Betting Sites
  • Sportsbook Promos
  • Best Sports Betting Apps
  • NFL Betting Forum
  • NBA Betting Forum
  • MLB Betting Forum
  • NHL Betting Forum
  • NCAAF Betting Forum
  • NCAAB Betting Forum
  • Soccer Betting Forum
  • Tennis Betting Forum
  • General Discussion
  • Help Forum
  • Guidelines
  • FAQ
  • Forum Updates
    Covers Logo
    Covers App
    Faster picks. Smarter bets.
    All in the NEW Covers App
    Download on the App Store Download on the Google Play Store
    • Sports
      • NFL
        • Back
        • NFL
        • NFL Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NFL Picks
        • Weather
        • Injuries
      • NCAAF
        • Back
        • NCAAF
        • NCAAF Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NCAAF Picks
        • Weather
        • Injuries
      • NBA
        • Back
        • NBA
        • NBA Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NBA Picks
        • Injuries
      • NCAAB
        • Back
        • NCAAB
        • NCAAB Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • NCAAB Picks
        • Injuries
      • MLB
        • Back
        • MLB
        • MLB Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • MLB Picks
        • Weather
        • Injuries
      • NHL
        • Back
        • NHL
        • NHL Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NHL Picks
        • Injuries
      • Soccer
      • UFC
      • WNBA
        • Back
        • WNBA
        • WNBA Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • WNBA Picks
        • Injuries
      • CFL
        • Back
        • CFL
        • CFL Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • CFL Picks
      • Golf
        • Back
        • Golf
        • Golf Home
        • Golf Odds
        • Masters Odds
        • PGA Championship Odds
        • US Open Odds
        • British Open Odds
        • Ryder Cup Odds
        • Golf Picks
    • Odds
      • All Odds
      • NFL
      • NCAAF
      • NBA
      • NCAAB
      • MLB
      • NHL
      • Golf
      • Soccer Odds
        • Back
        • Soccer Odds
        • MLS Odds
        • Champions League Odds
        • Premier League Odds
      • UFC
      • WNBA
      • CFL
      • Election Odds
      • Futures
        • Back
        • Futures
        • NFL
        • NBA
        • MLB
        • NHL
        • NCAAB
        • NCAAF
      • Sports Odds History
    • Picks
      • All Picks
      • NFL
      • NBA
      • NHL
      • MLB
      • NCAAF
      • NCAAB
      • Golf
      • WNBA
      • CFL
      • User Picks
      • Team User Picks
      • Consensus Picks
        • Back
        • Consensus Picks
        • All Consensus Picks
        • NFL
        • NBA
        • NHL
        • MLB
        • NCAAF
        • NCAAB
        • CFL
        • WNBA
        • Consensus FAQ
        • Public Money
    • Prop Projections
      • NFL
      • NBA
      • MLB
      • NHL
    • Betting
      • US Betting Sites
      • Canada Betting Sites
      • Sportsbook Reviews
      • States
        • Back
        • States
        • US Legal Tracker
        • Revenue Tracker
        • Arizona
        • Arkansas
        • California
        • Colorado
        • Connecticut
        • DC
        • Florida
        • Georgia
        • Illinois
        • Indiana
        • Iowa
        • Kansas
        • Kentucky
        • Louisiana
        • Maine
        • Maryland
        • Massachusetts
        • Michigan
        • Mississippi
        • Missouri
        • Nevada
        • New Hampshire
        • New Jersey
        • New York
        • North Carolina
        • Ohio
        • Oregon
        • Pennsylvania
        • Tennessee
        • Texas
        • Vermont
        • Virginia
        • West Virginia
        • Wyoming
      • Provinces
        • Back
        • Provinces
        • Alberta
        • British Columbia
        • Manitoba
        • New Brunswick
        • Newfoundland and Labrador
        • Northwest Territories
        • Nova Scotia
        • Nunavut
        • Ontario
        • Prince Edward Island
        • Quebec (English)
        • Quebec (francais)
        • Saskatchewan
        • Yukon
      • By Sport
        • Back
        • By Sport
        • Baseball
        • Basketball
        • Boxing
        • College Football
        • F1
        • Football
        • Super Bowl
        • Golf
        • Hockey
        • Horse Racing
        • March Madness
        • Soccer
        • UFC
        • World Cup
      • Betting Apps
        • Back
        • Betting Apps
        • Best Sports Betting Apps USA
        • Ontario Sports Betting Apps
      • Rest of World
        • Back
        • Rest of World
        • UK Betting Offers
          • Back
          • UK Betting Offers
          • UK Betting Sites
          • bet365 Bonus Code UK
          • 888Sport Promo Code UK
          • William Hill Sign up Offer
          • Betway Sign up Offer
          • BetVictor Bonus Code UK
      • Betting Guides
        • Back
        • Betting Guides
        • All Guides
        • Glossary
        • Betting Calculators
          • Back
          • Betting Calculators
          • Odds Converter
          • Parlay Calculator
        • Futures Betting Guide
        • Moneyline Betting Guide
        • Over/Under Betting Guide
        • Parlay Betting Guide
        • Point Spread Betting Guide
        • Prop Betting Guide
        • Sports Betting Guides
          • Back
          • Sports Betting Guides
          • How To Bet On Sports Guide
          • NFL Betting Guide
          • NHL Betting Guide
          • NBA Betting Guide
          • MLB Betting Guide
          • NCAAB Betting Guide
          • NCAAF Betting Guide
          • Golf Betting Guide
          • Tennis Betting Guide
        • Teaser Betting Guide
      • Betting News
        • Back
        • Betting News
        • All News
        • Industry News
        • Podcasts
        • Covers Videos
        • Covers Writers
        • Offers & Boosts
    • Promos
      • Sportsbook Promos
      • Canada Sportsbook Promos
      • Bonuses By Sportsbook
        • Back
        • Bonuses By Sportsbook
        • bet365 Bonus Code
        • BET99 Promo Code
        • BetMGM Bonus Code
        • BetRivers Bonus Code
        • Caesars Sportsbook Promo
        • DraftKings Promo Code
        • Fanatics Sportsbook Promo
        • FanDuel Promo Code
        • Hard Rock Bet Promo Code
        • Sports Interaction Promo
        • Stake Promo Code
        • theScore Bet Promo Code
        • TonyBet Promo Code
      • Bonuses By Region
        • Back
        • Bonuses By Region
        • Arkansas Promos
        • Arizona Promos
        • Colorado Promos
        • Connecticut Promos
        • DC Promos
        • Illinois Promos
        • Indiana Promos
        • Iowa Promos
        • Kansas Promos
        • Kentucky Promos
        • Louisiana Promos
        • Maine Promos
        • Maryland Promos
        • Massachusetts Promos
        • Michigan Promos
        • Missouri Promos
        • New Jersey Promos
        • New York Promos
        • North Carolina Promos
        • Ohio Promos
        • Pennsylvania Promos
        • Tennessee Promos
        • Vermont Promos
        • Virginia Promos
        • West Virginia Promos
        • Wyoming Promos
    • Forum & Contests
      • All Forums
      • NFL Betting Forum
      • MLB Betting Forum
      • NCAAB Betting Forum
      • NCAAF Betting Forum
      • NBA Betting Forum
      • NHL Betting Forum
      • Soccer Betting Forum
      • Contests
        • Back
        • Contests
        • Contests Home
        • Streak Survivor
        • King of Covers
        • My Contests
    • Casino
      • Sweepstakes Casino
        • Back
        • Sweepstakes Casino
        • Sweepstakes Casino
        • Sweepstakes No-Deposit Bonuses
        • Sweepstakes Promos
          • Back
          • Sweepstakes Promos
          • Card Crush
          • Casino.click
          • Chanced Casino
          • Crown Coins Casino
          • FreeSpin Casino
          • LoneStar
          • McLuck
          • Mega Bonanza Casino
          • PlayFame
          • Pulsz
          • Stake.us
      • US Casinos
        • Back
        • US Casinos
        • US Online Casinos
        • US Online Casino Bonuses
        • Casino Promos
          • Back
          • Casino Promos
          • bet365 Casino Promo Code
          • BetRivers Casino Promo
          • Borgata Casino Bonus Code
          • Caesars Casino Bonus Code
          • DraftKings Casino Promo
          • Fanatics Casino Promo
          • FanDuel Casino Promo Code
          • Golden Nugget Casino Promo
          • Hard Rock Bet Casino Promo
          • Hollywood Casino Promo Code
      • Canada Casinos
        • Back
        • Canada Casinos
        • Canada Online Casinos
        • Provinces
          • Back
          • Provinces
          • Alberta Online Casino
          • BC Online Casino
          • Ontario Online Casinos
        • Casino Promos
          • Back
          • Casino Promos
          • BC.GAME Bonus Code
          • Cloudbet Promo Code
          • RainBet Promo Code
          • Roobet Promo Code
          • Shuffle Promo Code
          • Thrill Promo Code
    • Prediction Markets
      • Prediction Markets
      • Prediction Market Apps
      • Prediction Market Promos
      • Kalshi Promo Code
      • Kalshi Referral Code
      • Polymarket Promo Code
      • Polymarket Referral Code
      • DraftKings Predictions Promo Code
      • Novig Promo Code
      • ProphetX Promo Code
      • Underdog Promo Code
      • Betr Promo Code
      • OG Promo Code
      • Fanatics Markets Promo Code
      • Plus500 Promo Code
      • Gemini Predictions Promo Code
    • NFL Week 3
      NFL Week 3
      • NFL Odds
      • NFL Picks
      • NFL Prediction Markets
      • NFL Betting Sites
    Covers Account
    Log in Create account
    Join free Log in
    All Forums | College Basketball

    Holmey's $$$$ Thread MONDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 02.22.16

    1234 Next Last»
    USC_Holmey
    SUPEREAGLE43
    Mozart
    Titanup21
    nfl_brosuf
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 14319
    Posts: 77
    1234 Next Last»
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2008
    Posts: 896
    Posted: Feb. 21, 2016 - 8:58 PM ET #1

    $$$$ THREAD CONCEPT - This thread is for all of us to share our expertise with everyone else to benefit the group.

    THIS IS NOT A PICKING CONTEST!

    PLEASE make special note of this! If you have an area of expertise, please make some $$$$ choices from your area of expertise when you have a game you are confident enough in to call it a "$$$$ PLAY". The difference between a PICK and a $$$$ PLAY is that a PICK is a game you like, a $$$$ PLAY is a game that you KNOW. If you are claiming your choice is a $$$$, and you really have NO true knowledge of that game, then you are just cheating us and posting your PICK just for attention and to see your name on the board.

    RULES FOR POSTING - We will not track your $$$$ PLAY if you do not follow these rules. You are welcome to still post your PICK or card, but unless you do the things below, we won't be putting your $$$$ on the spreadsheet.

    Only one $$$$  per day and a MAXIMUM of 4 per week. 

    A week starts on Mon and ends on Sun.

    - No buying points.

    - No other "line-manipulations" like teasers, etc.

    - No parlays

    - No props

    - $$$$ PLAYS need to be -129 or lower.  Anything -130 and over, take the -1.5 goals or runs.

    - Do not try to cheat on lines. We, as a group, are all over the lines and every time someone gives a stinky spread, it is always called out. If the line is off, the $$$$ doesn't go into the spreadsheet.


    AND THE MOST IMPORTANT RULE!

    You must give an ORIGINAL explanation as to why you KNOW this $$$$ PLAY will win. And don't just "stat" us to death. Tell us about the game. DO NOT COPY YOUR WRITE-UPS! People on this thread are all over the internet and will find your plagiarism. I guarantee it. You can use Last 10, ATS, etc., numbers to support your argument, but stats from a gambling website are not an explanation.

    FOLLOW THESE RULES AND YOUR $$$$ PICK WILL GET TRACKED

    Thank you for your understanding and your help in keeping this thread for the benefit of everybody, not just a place for you to blather out random picks and toot your own horn.

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    $$$$ THREAD CONCEPT - This thread is for all of us to share our expertise with everyone else to benefit the group.

    THIS IS NOT A PICKING CONTEST!

    PLEASE make special note of this! If you have an area of expertise, please make some $$$$ choices from your area of expertise when you have a game you are confident enough in to call it a "$$$$ PLAY". The difference between a PICK and a $$$$ PLAY is that a PICK is a game you like, a $$$$ PLAY is a game that you KNOW. If you are claiming your choice is a $$$$, and you really have NO true knowledge of that game, then you are just cheating us and posting your PICK just for attention and to see your name on the board.

    RULES FOR POSTING - We will not track your $$$$ PLAY if you do not follow these rules. You are welcome to still post your PICK or card, but unless you do the things below, we won't be putting your $$$$ on the spreadsheet.

    Only one $$$$  per day and a MAXIMUM of 4 per week. 

    A week starts on Mon and ends on Sun.

    - No buying points.

    - No other "line-manipulations" like teasers, etc.

    - No parlays

    - No props

    - $$$$ PLAYS need to be -129 or lower.  Anything -130 and over, take the -1.5 goals or runs.

    - Do not try to cheat on lines. We, as a group, are all over the lines and every time someone gives a stinky spread, it is always called out. If the line is off, the $$$$ doesn't go into the spreadsheet.


    AND THE MOST IMPORTANT RULE!

    You must give an ORIGINAL explanation as to why you KNOW this $$$$ PLAY will win. And don't just "stat" us to death. Tell us about the game. DO NOT COPY YOUR WRITE-UPS! People on this thread are all over the internet and will find your plagiarism. I guarantee it. You can use Last 10, ATS, etc., numbers to support your argument, but stats from a gambling website are not an explanation.

    FOLLOW THESE RULES AND YOUR $$$$ PICK WILL GET TRACKED

    Thank you for your understanding and your help in keeping this thread for the benefit of everybody, not just a place for you to blather out random picks and toot your own horn.

     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2008
    Posts: 896
    Posted: Feb. 21, 2016 - 9:00 PM ET #2

    I screwed up the title of the thread again.  Damn.  I suck.

    Its supposed to say........

    02.23.16!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Reply

    I screwed up the title of the thread again.  Damn.  I suck.

    Its supposed to say........

    02.23.16!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2008
    Posts: 896
    Posted: Feb. 21, 2016 - 9:06 PM ET #3

    Oh my god.  Nevermind.  22 is correct.

    Its been a long weekend.  Please carry on........

    Reply

    Oh my god.  Nevermind.  22 is correct.

    Its been a long weekend.  Please carry on........

     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2005
    Posts: 1926
    Posted: Feb. 21, 2016 - 10:33 PM ET #4

    $$$$ Texas Horns even

    Horns have been playing really good basketball late in the season. The Baylor debacle was an anomaly as Baylor shot almost 70% for the entire game. This team is extremely well coached and plays tenacious defense which is required if you want to win a conference road game. Texas will force KState to win with jump shots and three pointers. KState simply isn't good enough to do that.  A Shaka Smart team will not lose in this spot to a very mediocre KState team. To much is on the line here for the Horns and and their immediate future.
    Reply
    $$$$ Texas Horns even

    Horns have been playing really good basketball late in the season. The Baylor debacle was an anomaly as Baylor shot almost 70% for the entire game. This team is extremely well coached and plays tenacious defense which is required if you want to win a conference road game. Texas will force KState to win with jump shots and three pointers. KState simply isn't good enough to do that.  A Shaka Smart team will not lose in this spot to a very mediocre KState team. To much is on the line here for the Horns and and their immediate future.
     
    Mozart
    Mozart
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 3009
    Posted: Feb. 21, 2016 - 11:55 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by USC_Holmey:

    Oh my god.  Nevermind.  22 is correct.

    Its been a long weekend.  Please carry on........


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by USC_Holmey:

    Oh my god.  Nevermind.  22 is correct.

    Its been a long weekend.  Please carry on........


     
    Titanup21
    Titanup21
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2015
    Posts: 61
    Posted: Feb. 21, 2016 - 11:55 PM ET #6

    Miami -1
    Coming off a embarrassing lost to North Carolina at chapel hill , is time to right the ship back at home . They are 14-1 at home su and 10-3-1 ats in those games . To me a win here against a very good defensive team in Virginia will help their seeding for the acc tourney in which their tied with Virginia for 2nd/3rd seed and one game behind unc for 1st seed. Miami steps up big win for them .
    Reply
    Miami -1
    Coming off a embarrassing lost to North Carolina at chapel hill , is time to right the ship back at home . They are 14-1 at home su and 10-3-1 ats in those games . To me a win here against a very good defensive team in Virginia will help their seeding for the acc tourney in which their tied with Virginia for 2nd/3rd seed and one game behind unc for 1st seed. Miami steps up big win for them .
     
    nfl_brosuf
    nfl_brosuf
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 11602
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 9:00 AM ET #7

    - No playing ranked team against no rank.  The upset factor
    - No playing away teams.  Home crowd is the 6th man factor
    - No playing if their ATS record is poorer than opponent
    - No Reverse Line Movement factor
    - No playing if line is more than 10.  The OT can't cover factor

    5-5 $$$$

    3-0 NBA

    2-1 no$$$$

    Cleveland State Vikings vs.Green Bay Phoenix

    Cleveland has good defense.  They allowed only 69 points per game in their last 10 games however, their offense is pissy poor at only 60 points per game.  Cleveland can not ball at all.  They are 3-11 SU when they are away and 8-20 overall. 

    These two teams played before earlier this year and Green bay whoop them bad in cleveland as a 3 point fav.  How bad?  How about 20 points?  Lost  67 - 87

    Their last 2 games, they got whoop bad by 34 and 23 points.  When they lose, they tend to lose by double figures. 

    Cleveland is tied for last place in their conference.  They just a bad basketball team overall.  They have nothing to play for so they will probably end their season with their last 3 games being pawns of the industry. 

    Green bay is a team that is playing for ranking.  They are 4th place and only 1.5 game behind 2nd place.  They are 9-2 SU at home.  They are on a 2 games winning streak by beating them at home.  Their defense is no good, allowing 89 points per game but that is for teams who can ball.  Cleveland's offense is only 60 points per game so even if you allow them 89 points status, that doesn't mean you are going to put up 89 points.  Green bay offense is a beast.   Putting up 90 points per game easily.  What's this?  Ranked 2 on offense only after Marshall? 

    What they have is a senior by the name of Carrington Love who has 18 points per game.  Green bay is going to get it done as they can cover when playing at home. 

    The Cleveland State Vikings are:

    • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
    • 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
    • 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

    The Green Bay Phoenix are:

    • 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Monday games.
    • 22-8 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
    • 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
    • 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

    Everything lines up for me in this game except for the policy of not playing a game laying more than 10 points.  Short card today, nothing much else to play so I am going to put my money where my mouth is.

    USc, give me green bay -13 for $$$$ 


    On the NBA side, give me Boston -5

    Earlier this season, Boston beat MN at home as a -7.5 fav.  Won  113 - 99    Now they are only a -5 points fav playing in MN. 

    Boston last 10, they covered 7 out of 10.   1 game winning streak.

    MN last 10, they covered 5 out of 10.  2 games losing streak.

    X_____________________________
    Reply
    - No playing ranked team against no rank.  The upset factor
    - No playing away teams.  Home crowd is the 6th man factor
    - No playing if their ATS record is poorer than opponent
    - No Reverse Line Movement factor
    - No playing if line is more than 10.  The OT can't cover factor

    5-5 $$$$

    3-0 NBA

    2-1 no$$$$

    Cleveland State Vikings vs.Green Bay Phoenix

    Cleveland has good defense.  They allowed only 69 points per game in their last 10 games however, their offense is pissy poor at only 60 points per game.  Cleveland can not ball at all.  They are 3-11 SU when they are away and 8-20 overall. 

    These two teams played before earlier this year and Green bay whoop them bad in cleveland as a 3 point fav.  How bad?  How about 20 points?  Lost  67 - 87

    Their last 2 games, they got whoop bad by 34 and 23 points.  When they lose, they tend to lose by double figures. 

    Cleveland is tied for last place in their conference.  They just a bad basketball team overall.  They have nothing to play for so they will probably end their season with their last 3 games being pawns of the industry. 

    Green bay is a team that is playing for ranking.  They are 4th place and only 1.5 game behind 2nd place.  They are 9-2 SU at home.  They are on a 2 games winning streak by beating them at home.  Their defense is no good, allowing 89 points per game but that is for teams who can ball.  Cleveland's offense is only 60 points per game so even if you allow them 89 points status, that doesn't mean you are going to put up 89 points.  Green bay offense is a beast.   Putting up 90 points per game easily.  What's this?  Ranked 2 on offense only after Marshall? 

    What they have is a senior by the name of Carrington Love who has 18 points per game.  Green bay is going to get it done as they can cover when playing at home. 

    The Cleveland State Vikings are:

    • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
    • 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
    • 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

    The Green Bay Phoenix are:

    • 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Monday games.
    • 22-8 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
    • 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
    • 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

    Everything lines up for me in this game except for the policy of not playing a game laying more than 10 points.  Short card today, nothing much else to play so I am going to put my money where my mouth is.

    USc, give me green bay -13 for $$$$ 


    On the NBA side, give me Boston -5

    Earlier this season, Boston beat MN at home as a -7.5 fav.  Won  113 - 99    Now they are only a -5 points fav playing in MN. 

    Boston last 10, they covered 7 out of 10.   1 game winning streak.

    MN last 10, they covered 5 out of 10.  2 games losing streak.

     
    Bubbaski27
    Bubbaski27
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2013
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 9:24 AM ET #8

    Well I am coming off a much needed day of rest yesterday without a single wager (Yes capping games can be tedious and exhausting especially with all other aspects of life going on so my advice don't bet everyday, kind of goes with the theme of this thread only having 4 $$$$ a week).  I only watched one half of basketball yesterday, Indiana State (alma mater) against Wichita State, as I waited on a carry out order and man was that ugly (the game not the food).  Looks like some really great games today.  I have ran my numbers via scoresandodds.com and do have a $$$$ but my book won't have lines out for another  2-3 hours so I can't submit write up and confirm until then.  
    Reply
    Well I am coming off a much needed day of rest yesterday without a single wager (Yes capping games can be tedious and exhausting especially with all other aspects of life going on so my advice don't bet everyday, kind of goes with the theme of this thread only having 4 $$$$ a week).  I only watched one half of basketball yesterday, Indiana State (alma mater) against Wichita State, as I waited on a carry out order and man was that ugly (the game not the food).  Looks like some really great games today.  I have ran my numbers via scoresandodds.com and do have a $$$$ but my book won't have lines out for another  2-3 hours so I can't submit write up and confirm until then.  
     
    DAB12AC
    DAB12AC
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 370
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 9:26 AM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:

    - No playing ranked team against no rank.  The upset factor
    - No playing away teams.  Home crowd is the 6th man factor
    - No playing if their ATS record is poorer than opponent
    - No Reverse Line Movement factor
    - No playing if line is more than 10.  The OT can't cover factor

    5-5 $$$$

    3-0 NBA

    2-1 no$$$$

    Cleveland State Vikings vs.Green Bay Phoenix

    Cleveland has good defense.  They allowed only 69 points per game in their last 10 games however, their offense is pissy poor at only 60 points per game.  Cleveland can not ball at all.  They are 3-11 SU when they are away and 8-20 overall. 

    These two teams played before earlier this year and Green bay whoop them bad in cleveland as a 3 point fav.  How bad?  How about 20 points?  Lost  67 - 87

    Their last 2 games, they got whoop bad by 34 and 23 points.  When they lose, they tend to lose by double figures. 

    Cleveland is tied for last place in their conference.  They just a bad basketball team overall.  They have nothing to play for so they will probably end their season with their last 3 games being pawns of the industry. 

    Green bay is a team that is playing for ranking.  They are 4th place and only 1.5 game behind 2nd place.  They are 9-2 SU at home.  They are on a 2 games winning streak by beating them at home.  Their defense is no good, allowing 89 points per game but that is for teams who can ball.  Cleveland's offense is only 60 points per game so even if you allow them 89 points status, that doesn't mean you are going to put up 89 points.  Green bay offense is a beast.   Putting up 90 points per game easily.  What's this?  Ranked 2 on offense only after Marshall? 

    What they have is a senior by the name of Carrington Love who has 18 points per game.  Green bay is going to get it done as they can cover when playing at home. 

    The Cleveland State Vikings are:

    • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
    • 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
    • 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

    The Green Bay Phoenix are:

    • 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Monday games.
    • 22-8 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
    • 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
    • 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

    Everything lines up for me in this game except for the policy of not playing a game laying more than 10 points.  Short card today, nothing much else to play so I am going to put my money where my mouth is.

    USc, give me green bay -13 for $$$$ 


    On the NBA side, give me Boston -5

    Earlier this season, Boston beat MN at home as a -7.5 fav.  Won  113 - 99    Now they are only a -5 points fav playing in MN. 

    Boston last 10, they covered 7 out of 10.   1 game winning streak.

    MN last 10, they covered 5 out of 10.  2 games losing streak.


    Brosuf thanks for the post.  I'll certainly take a look at this game but I have a question for the guys who regularly read/post in this thread:

    How seriously should we take trends like the ones cited above?

    I for one almost never consider a team's ATS record.  I believe the books adjust to trends.  What's more, these teams are not robots.  Just because one matchup ends a certain way, I don't think that is an indicator of how the next game is going to go when the same two teams square off again.

    For me it's more about how teams match up against one another, what kind of emotional state the teams are in, what kind of schedule crunch they're in, how they're adjusting to new personnel moves (see Detroit Pistons last year when they cut J Smoove and this year with their recent shakeup).

    I personally never really pay attention to things like "the home team is 5-3 against the spread on Mondays when the temperature is between 22 and 39 degrees and they wear their alternate colored jerseys."

    I was lucky enough to catch an interview with a pretty legit handicapper and he pointed out the Pistons were coming off a long layoff after the all star break, the Wizards had a game to shake off the rust, and the Pistons were dealing with a bunch of new players who they needed to figure out how to work into the lineup.

    Wizards covered that game easily.  Those are the kind of details I'm more interested in than record ATS.  Anyone can tell me that.

    Dig deeper!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:

    - No playing ranked team against no rank.  The upset factor
    - No playing away teams.  Home crowd is the 6th man factor
    - No playing if their ATS record is poorer than opponent
    - No Reverse Line Movement factor
    - No playing if line is more than 10.  The OT can't cover factor

    5-5 $$$$

    3-0 NBA

    2-1 no$$$$

    Cleveland State Vikings vs.Green Bay Phoenix

    Cleveland has good defense.  They allowed only 69 points per game in their last 10 games however, their offense is pissy poor at only 60 points per game.  Cleveland can not ball at all.  They are 3-11 SU when they are away and 8-20 overall. 

    These two teams played before earlier this year and Green bay whoop them bad in cleveland as a 3 point fav.  How bad?  How about 20 points?  Lost  67 - 87

    Their last 2 games, they got whoop bad by 34 and 23 points.  When they lose, they tend to lose by double figures. 

    Cleveland is tied for last place in their conference.  They just a bad basketball team overall.  They have nothing to play for so they will probably end their season with their last 3 games being pawns of the industry. 

    Green bay is a team that is playing for ranking.  They are 4th place and only 1.5 game behind 2nd place.  They are 9-2 SU at home.  They are on a 2 games winning streak by beating them at home.  Their defense is no good, allowing 89 points per game but that is for teams who can ball.  Cleveland's offense is only 60 points per game so even if you allow them 89 points status, that doesn't mean you are going to put up 89 points.  Green bay offense is a beast.   Putting up 90 points per game easily.  What's this?  Ranked 2 on offense only after Marshall? 

    What they have is a senior by the name of Carrington Love who has 18 points per game.  Green bay is going to get it done as they can cover when playing at home. 

    The Cleveland State Vikings are:

    • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
    • 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
    • 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

    The Green Bay Phoenix are:

    • 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Monday games.
    • 22-8 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
    • 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
    • 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

    Everything lines up for me in this game except for the policy of not playing a game laying more than 10 points.  Short card today, nothing much else to play so I am going to put my money where my mouth is.

    USc, give me green bay -13 for $$$$ 


    On the NBA side, give me Boston -5

    Earlier this season, Boston beat MN at home as a -7.5 fav.  Won  113 - 99    Now they are only a -5 points fav playing in MN. 

    Boston last 10, they covered 7 out of 10.   1 game winning streak.

    MN last 10, they covered 5 out of 10.  2 games losing streak.


    Brosuf thanks for the post.  I'll certainly take a look at this game but I have a question for the guys who regularly read/post in this thread:

    How seriously should we take trends like the ones cited above?

    I for one almost never consider a team's ATS record.  I believe the books adjust to trends.  What's more, these teams are not robots.  Just because one matchup ends a certain way, I don't think that is an indicator of how the next game is going to go when the same two teams square off again.

    For me it's more about how teams match up against one another, what kind of emotional state the teams are in, what kind of schedule crunch they're in, how they're adjusting to new personnel moves (see Detroit Pistons last year when they cut J Smoove and this year with their recent shakeup).

    I personally never really pay attention to things like "the home team is 5-3 against the spread on Mondays when the temperature is between 22 and 39 degrees and they wear their alternate colored jerseys."

    I was lucky enough to catch an interview with a pretty legit handicapper and he pointed out the Pistons were coming off a long layoff after the all star break, the Wizards had a game to shake off the rust, and the Pistons were dealing with a bunch of new players who they needed to figure out how to work into the lineup.

    Wizards covered that game easily.  Those are the kind of details I'm more interested in than record ATS.  Anyone can tell me that.

    Dig deeper!
     
    nfl_brosuf
    nfl_brosuf
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 11602
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 9:47 AM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by DAB12AC:


    Brosuf thanks for the post.  I'll certainly take a look at this game but I have a question for the guys who regularly read/post in this thread:

    How seriously should we take trends like the ones cited above?

    I for one almost never consider a team's ATS record.  I believe the books adjust to trends.  What's more, these teams are not robots.  Just because one matchup ends a certain way, I don't think that is an indicator of how the next game is going to go when the same two teams square off again.

    For me it's more about how teams match up against one another, what kind of emotional state the teams are in, what kind of schedule crunch they're in, how they're adjusting to new personnel moves (see Detroit Pistons last year when they cut J Smoove and this year with their recent shakeup).

    I personally never really pay attention to things like "the home team is 5-3 against the spread on Mondays when the temperature is between 22 and 39 degrees and they wear their alternate colored jerseys."

    I was lucky enough to catch an interview with a pretty legit handicapper and he pointed out the Pistons were coming off a long layoff after the all star break, the Wizards had a game to shake off the rust, and the Pistons were dealing with a bunch of new players who they needed to figure out how to work into the lineup.

    Wizards covered that game easily.  Those are the kind of details I'm more interested in than record ATS.  Anyone can tell me that.

    Dig deeper!


    I think trend should worth only 10% of your capping skills.  Dig deeper should be the real deal however, if you lined everything up and have all the other better angles and emotions of a team but the trends are against you, what now? 

    I know one thing.  What I see should align with trends.  If I'm betting with my money, I want any and everything to my advantage to get my confidence level while watching such game.  Nothing is always perfect though.  Even if you write up a book to get your confidence level, you can still lose because of the

    We can't beat luck but if we depend on luck alone, we can't win either. 
    X_____________________________
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by DAB12AC:


    Brosuf thanks for the post.  I'll certainly take a look at this game but I have a question for the guys who regularly read/post in this thread:

    How seriously should we take trends like the ones cited above?

    I for one almost never consider a team's ATS record.  I believe the books adjust to trends.  What's more, these teams are not robots.  Just because one matchup ends a certain way, I don't think that is an indicator of how the next game is going to go when the same two teams square off again.

    For me it's more about how teams match up against one another, what kind of emotional state the teams are in, what kind of schedule crunch they're in, how they're adjusting to new personnel moves (see Detroit Pistons last year when they cut J Smoove and this year with their recent shakeup).

    I personally never really pay attention to things like "the home team is 5-3 against the spread on Mondays when the temperature is between 22 and 39 degrees and they wear their alternate colored jerseys."

    I was lucky enough to catch an interview with a pretty legit handicapper and he pointed out the Pistons were coming off a long layoff after the all star break, the Wizards had a game to shake off the rust, and the Pistons were dealing with a bunch of new players who they needed to figure out how to work into the lineup.

    Wizards covered that game easily.  Those are the kind of details I'm more interested in than record ATS.  Anyone can tell me that.

    Dig deeper!


    I think trend should worth only 10% of your capping skills.  Dig deeper should be the real deal however, if you lined everything up and have all the other better angles and emotions of a team but the trends are against you, what now? 

    I know one thing.  What I see should align with trends.  If I'm betting with my money, I want any and everything to my advantage to get my confidence level while watching such game.  Nothing is always perfect though.  Even if you write up a book to get your confidence level, you can still lose because of the

    We can't beat luck but if we depend on luck alone, we can't win either. 
     
    Bubbaski27
    Bubbaski27
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2013
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 10:05 AM ET #11

    While I am waiting on my book to post lines I thought I would share my insight on the only ACC game tonight Miami vs Virginia and why I am staying away from it.  

    The U is coming off a pretty bad beating by the Tar Heels.  The U was in a bad spot there and North Carolina was in desperate need of a solid win.  Tar Heels previous 5 games included 3 losses (Duke, Louisville, ND) and 2 wins against bottom dwellers. They were pretty fired up to play another ranked team at home and knew they needed a win to stop the tourney seeding slippage.  They also couldn't dissapoint the home crowd twice in a row after a loss to arch rival Duke. They got a 25 point victory over Miami and I am not holding it against the U.  Miami needs to move on from that beating and are in a great spot to do so at home against a Virginia team that has already beat them by 8. Virginia has also had a tough time winning in Miami (1 for last 7).  Miami is a very athletic team that has only lost 1 game at home by 1 point early on in the season and now have rattled off 11 in a row at home.  Sounds like a lot is in favor of Miami?  Well not so fast,  my numbers (Ken Pom and Sagarin adjusted) show a 7 point win for Virginia here so I was pretty surprised when I saw that.  Virginia also seems to be really clicking only dropping 1 game by 1 point in there last 9.  Before that they were in a funk and highly inconsistent.  They played one of their best defensive games against Miami last time.  This game is important to both teams but I'd think it means more for Virginia.  Virginia is 4-0 against Top 25 teams and with a win here they get to play the Tar Heels for first place in the ACC.  Without a win, no shot at first.  Sidenote: JaQuan Newton is questionable for this game with a bone bruise against the Tar Heels.  He is a difference maker and is the U's best player off the bench so figure out his status first before making a play on this game. As for me: no play.
    Reply
    While I am waiting on my book to post lines I thought I would share my insight on the only ACC game tonight Miami vs Virginia and why I am staying away from it.  

    The U is coming off a pretty bad beating by the Tar Heels.  The U was in a bad spot there and North Carolina was in desperate need of a solid win.  Tar Heels previous 5 games included 3 losses (Duke, Louisville, ND) and 2 wins against bottom dwellers. They were pretty fired up to play another ranked team at home and knew they needed a win to stop the tourney seeding slippage.  They also couldn't dissapoint the home crowd twice in a row after a loss to arch rival Duke. They got a 25 point victory over Miami and I am not holding it against the U.  Miami needs to move on from that beating and are in a great spot to do so at home against a Virginia team that has already beat them by 8. Virginia has also had a tough time winning in Miami (1 for last 7).  Miami is a very athletic team that has only lost 1 game at home by 1 point early on in the season and now have rattled off 11 in a row at home.  Sounds like a lot is in favor of Miami?  Well not so fast,  my numbers (Ken Pom and Sagarin adjusted) show a 7 point win for Virginia here so I was pretty surprised when I saw that.  Virginia also seems to be really clicking only dropping 1 game by 1 point in there last 9.  Before that they were in a funk and highly inconsistent.  They played one of their best defensive games against Miami last time.  This game is important to both teams but I'd think it means more for Virginia.  Virginia is 4-0 against Top 25 teams and with a win here they get to play the Tar Heels for first place in the ACC.  Without a win, no shot at first.  Sidenote: JaQuan Newton is questionable for this game with a bone bruise against the Tar Heels.  He is a difference maker and is the U's best player off the bench so figure out his status first before making a play on this game. As for me: no play.
     
    DAB12AC
    DAB12AC
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 370
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 10:07 AM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:



    I think trend should worth only 10% of your capping skills.  Dig deeper should be the real deal however, if you lined everything up and have all the other better angles and emotions of a team but the trends are against you, what now? 

    I know one thing.  What I see should align with trends.  If I'm betting with my money, I want any and everything to my advantage to get my confidence level while watching such game.  Nothing is always perfect though.  Even if you write up a book to get your confidence level, you can still lose because of the

    We can't beat luck but if we depend on luck alone, we can't win either. 

    Ok agreed.  Well said.

    Good luck brother.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:



    I think trend should worth only 10% of your capping skills.  Dig deeper should be the real deal however, if you lined everything up and have all the other better angles and emotions of a team but the trends are against you, what now? 

    I know one thing.  What I see should align with trends.  If I'm betting with my money, I want any and everything to my advantage to get my confidence level while watching such game.  Nothing is always perfect though.  Even if you write up a book to get your confidence level, you can still lose because of the

    We can't beat luck but if we depend on luck alone, we can't win either. 

    Ok agreed.  Well said.

    Good luck brother.
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2008
    Posts: 896
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 10:21 AM ET #13

    Morning guys.  Gonna get the Standings post up in an hour or so.  Good luck today!
    Reply
    Morning guys.  Gonna get the Standings post up in an hour or so.  Good luck today!
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2008
    Posts: 896
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 10:26 AM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by DAB12AC:


    Brosuf thanks for the post.  I'll certainly take a look at this game but I have a question for the guys who regularly read/post in this thread:

    How seriously should we take trends like the ones cited above?

    I for one almost never consider a team's ATS record.  I believe the books adjust to trends.  What's more, these teams are not robots.  Just because one matchup ends a certain way, I don't think that is an indicator of how the next game is going to go when the same two teams square off again.

    For me it's more about how teams match up against one another, what kind of emotional state the teams are in, what kind of schedule crunch they're in, how they're adjusting to new personnel moves (see Detroit Pistons last year when they cut J Smoove and this year with their recent shakeup).

    I personally never really pay attention to things like "the home team is 5-3 against the spread on Mondays when the temperature is between 22 and 39 degrees and they wear their alternate colored jerseys."

    I was lucky enough to catch an interview with a pretty legit handicapper and he pointed out the Pistons were coming off a long layoff after the all star break, the Wizards had a game to shake off the rust, and the Pistons were dealing with a bunch of new players who they needed to figure out how to work into the lineup.

    Wizards covered that game easily.  Those are the kind of details I'm more interested in than record ATS.  Anyone can tell me that.

    Dig deeper!

    My quick thoughts on this is this is one of the underlying concepts of the thread.  I literally NEVER look at ATS or any other stats the Covers provides when making my $$$$'s and bets.  I ONLY bet on Pac-12 games because that is the only thing I KNOW.  I look at the lines and then use what I have learned by watching dozens and dozens of Pac-12 games.  Vegas knows when there is a stat anomaly, and they know that the degens will jump on it, and they factor it into the line.  They know what "we" are going to do before "we" even do it.  The key is to KNOW what you are betting on.  The oddsmakers assume that 95% of the bettors only go off of numbers, so the 5% who know the games they are betting on have a distinct advantage.

    Just my thoughts and best of luck all!

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by DAB12AC:


    Brosuf thanks for the post.  I'll certainly take a look at this game but I have a question for the guys who regularly read/post in this thread:

    How seriously should we take trends like the ones cited above?

    I for one almost never consider a team's ATS record.  I believe the books adjust to trends.  What's more, these teams are not robots.  Just because one matchup ends a certain way, I don't think that is an indicator of how the next game is going to go when the same two teams square off again.

    For me it's more about how teams match up against one another, what kind of emotional state the teams are in, what kind of schedule crunch they're in, how they're adjusting to new personnel moves (see Detroit Pistons last year when they cut J Smoove and this year with their recent shakeup).

    I personally never really pay attention to things like "the home team is 5-3 against the spread on Mondays when the temperature is between 22 and 39 degrees and they wear their alternate colored jerseys."

    I was lucky enough to catch an interview with a pretty legit handicapper and he pointed out the Pistons were coming off a long layoff after the all star break, the Wizards had a game to shake off the rust, and the Pistons were dealing with a bunch of new players who they needed to figure out how to work into the lineup.

    Wizards covered that game easily.  Those are the kind of details I'm more interested in than record ATS.  Anyone can tell me that.

    Dig deeper!

    My quick thoughts on this is this is one of the underlying concepts of the thread.  I literally NEVER look at ATS or any other stats the Covers provides when making my $$$$'s and bets.  I ONLY bet on Pac-12 games because that is the only thing I KNOW.  I look at the lines and then use what I have learned by watching dozens and dozens of Pac-12 games.  Vegas knows when there is a stat anomaly, and they know that the degens will jump on it, and they factor it into the line.  They know what "we" are going to do before "we" even do it.  The key is to KNOW what you are betting on.  The oddsmakers assume that 95% of the bettors only go off of numbers, so the 5% who know the games they are betting on have a distinct advantage.

    Just my thoughts and best of luck all!

     
    DAB12AC
    DAB12AC
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 370
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 10:28 AM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by USC_Holmey:

    My quick thoughts on this is this is one of the underlying concepts of the thread.  I literally NEVER look at ATS or any other stats the Covers provides when making my $$$$'s and bets.  I ONLY bet on Pac-12 games because that is the only thing I KNOW.  I look at the lines and then use what I have learned by watching dozens and dozens of Pac-12 games.  Vegas knows when there is a stat anomaly, and they know that the degens will jump on it, and they factor it into the line.  They know what "we" are going to do before "we" even do it.  The key is to KNOW what you are betting on.  The oddsmakers assume that 95% of the bettors only go off of numbers, so the 5% who know the games they are betting on have a distinct advantage.

    Just my thoughts and best of luck all!


    Yes.  Thank you.

    Want to get good at handicapping?  Watch the games.  A LOT.

    One of the reasons I browse this thread is because I can't watch a lot of these small conference games and I trust the judgment of the guys who post here.

    I appreciate everyone's work.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by USC_Holmey:

    My quick thoughts on this is this is one of the underlying concepts of the thread.  I literally NEVER look at ATS or any other stats the Covers provides when making my $$$$'s and bets.  I ONLY bet on Pac-12 games because that is the only thing I KNOW.  I look at the lines and then use what I have learned by watching dozens and dozens of Pac-12 games.  Vegas knows when there is a stat anomaly, and they know that the degens will jump on it, and they factor it into the line.  They know what "we" are going to do before "we" even do it.  The key is to KNOW what you are betting on.  The oddsmakers assume that 95% of the bettors only go off of numbers, so the 5% who know the games they are betting on have a distinct advantage.

    Just my thoughts and best of luck all!


    Yes.  Thank you.

    Want to get good at handicapping?  Watch the games.  A LOT.

    One of the reasons I browse this thread is because I can't watch a lot of these small conference games and I trust the judgment of the guys who post here.

    I appreciate everyone's work.
     
    finsterbaby
    finsterbaby
    Hall of Fame
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2015
    Posts: 21840
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 10:32 AM ET #16

    Wis-greenbay-13 GL every1 YTD- 6-6
    Reply
    Wis-greenbay-13 GL every1 YTD- 6-6
     
    Jack Ryan
    Jack Ryan
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2006
    Posts: 1589
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 10:33 AM ET #17

    Agree Holmey....Really need to have a "Feel" for the matchups! The impulse is to want to bet on everything on the planet!!


    Jack Ryan
    Reply
    Agree Holmey....Really need to have a "Feel" for the matchups! The impulse is to want to bet on everything on the planet!!


     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2008
    Posts: 896
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 11:01 AM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Ryan:

    Agree Holmey....Really need to have a "Feel" for the matchups! The impulse is to want to bet on everything on the planet!!



    Yep.  I agree.  I always suggest to people to find a league and watch every game they can from it.  After a few weeks, things start getting clearer......
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Ryan:

    Agree Holmey....Really need to have a "Feel" for the matchups! The impulse is to want to bet on everything on the planet!!



    Yep.  I agree.  I always suggest to people to find a league and watch every game they can from it.  After a few weeks, things start getting clearer......
     
    nahlij
    nahlij
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2015
    Posts: 166
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 11:32 AM ET #19

    is there a record being kept for each thread or do we have to read through all the pages and add it ourselves?
    Reply
    is there a record being kept for each thread or do we have to read through all the pages and add it ourselves?
     
    jbl
    jbl
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2015
    Posts: 145
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 11:39 AM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by Bubbaski27:

    Well I am coming off a much needed day of rest yesterday without a single wager (Yes capping games can be tedious and exhausting especially with all other aspects of life going on so my advice don't bet everyday, kind of goes with the theme of this thread only having 4 $$$$ a week).  I only watched one half of basketball yesterday, Indiana State (alma mater) against Wichita State, as I waited on a carry out order and man was that ugly (the game not the food).  Looks like some really great games today.  I have ran my numbers via scoresandodds.com and do have a $$$$ but my book won't have lines out for another  2-3 hours so I can't submit write up and confirm until then.  

    Bubbaski

    Where do you find your individual golf match up odds for the tournaments

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Bubbaski27:

    Well I am coming off a much needed day of rest yesterday without a single wager (Yes capping games can be tedious and exhausting especially with all other aspects of life going on so my advice don't bet everyday, kind of goes with the theme of this thread only having 4 $$$$ a week).  I only watched one half of basketball yesterday, Indiana State (alma mater) against Wichita State, as I waited on a carry out order and man was that ugly (the game not the food).  Looks like some really great games today.  I have ran my numbers via scoresandodds.com and do have a $$$$ but my book won't have lines out for another  2-3 hours so I can't submit write up and confirm until then.  

    Bubbaski

    Where do you find your individual golf match up odds for the tournaments

     

     
    bk1374
    bk1374
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2011
    Posts: 7891
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 11:57 AM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by jbl:

    Bubbaski

    Where do you find your individual golf match up odds for the tournaments

     



    Most books have them, probably just under their golf section.  But they likely won't be out until tee-times and groups are set, which might not be until Tues/Wed in some cases, although I'm not 100% sure on that.  



    No $$$$ plays for me today for sure. 

    In Italy, my gut says AC Milan has value at +0.5 (+150) or even on ML at around +500.  But I don't wager Italy much (never had a good feel for it, not to mention the fixing scandal a few years back).  Might make a small play on it for some daytime degen action though.  Over 2.5 in the FA Cup match might be good too, but may need Man U to net all 3.  

    BOL today all.....................

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by jbl:

    Bubbaski

    Where do you find your individual golf match up odds for the tournaments

     



    Most books have them, probably just under their golf section.  But they likely won't be out until tee-times and groups are set, which might not be until Tues/Wed in some cases, although I'm not 100% sure on that.  



    No $$$$ plays for me today for sure. 

    In Italy, my gut says AC Milan has value at +0.5 (+150) or even on ML at around +500.  But I don't wager Italy much (never had a good feel for it, not to mention the fixing scandal a few years back).  Might make a small play on it for some daytime degen action though.  Over 2.5 in the FA Cup match might be good too, but may need Man U to net all 3.  

    BOL today all.....................

     
    Xdresser
    Xdresser
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2013
    Posts: 363
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 12:00 PM ET #22

    Nice run of insight Brosuf, DAB12, and Holmey.  I do the Big West and Pac 12. The Big West is totally shizo.  If you don't watch or pay attention to a level of nauseum you'll think the league is a betting wasteland.  For me the Big west is all feel with the knowledge i've gathered.  Thats why I've laid off more posts.  Im strapped for time and I don't want to come in to the party and tell everyone I'm "feeling it".  

    Hawaii over Irvine and Long Beach state over fullerton were games I was on with solid confidence the other night but did not have the time or all the "info stats" to give everyone.  I will be giving my $$$$ on the 49ers vs Irvine tomorrow night though.

    Just wanted to also take the time to thank everyone.  I've been trolling Covers under a couple of names for about 8 years.  There have been some good cappers i have followed but this thread has been excellent.  So thank you Holmey even though you DID go to USC.  I will forgive you for that!

    BOL all 
    Reply
    Nice run of insight Brosuf, DAB12, and Holmey.  I do the Big West and Pac 12. The Big West is totally shizo.  If you don't watch or pay attention to a level of nauseum you'll think the league is a betting wasteland.  For me the Big west is all feel with the knowledge i've gathered.  Thats why I've laid off more posts.  Im strapped for time and I don't want to come in to the party and tell everyone I'm "feeling it".  

    Hawaii over Irvine and Long Beach state over fullerton were games I was on with solid confidence the other night but did not have the time or all the "info stats" to give everyone.  I will be giving my $$$$ on the 49ers vs Irvine tomorrow night though.

    Just wanted to also take the time to thank everyone.  I've been trolling Covers under a couple of names for about 8 years.  There have been some good cappers i have followed but this thread has been excellent.  So thank you Holmey even though you DID go to USC.  I will forgive you for that!

    BOL all 
     
    nature1970
    nature1970
    Hall of Fame
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2015
    Posts: 21593
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 12:01 PM ET #23

    Virgina vs Miami, 

    two division powers in a very tight conference collide in miami,

    Miami suffering a devastating loss against North Carolina where it returns home hungry for a win to keep its playoff hopes alive

    virginia a ranked team goes to miami with the same ambition and looking to edge closer to the top of of the leader board facing unc later this month. a defensive stand for virginia but the score close to 70-68

    a pivotal game on both ends i am leaning Virginia +1.5

    but the $$$ play here is over 129 score 
    Reply
    Virgina vs Miami, 

    two division powers in a very tight conference collide in miami,

    Miami suffering a devastating loss against North Carolina where it returns home hungry for a win to keep its playoff hopes alive

    virginia a ranked team goes to miami with the same ambition and looking to edge closer to the top of of the leader board facing unc later this month. a defensive stand for virginia but the score close to 70-68

    a pivotal game on both ends i am leaning Virginia +1.5

    but the $$$ play here is over 129 score 
     
    Bubbaski27
    Bubbaski27
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2013
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 12:02 PM ET #24

    $$$$ Golden State Warriors -7

    Golden State has another road game against an above .500 team.  They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 including a straight up loss/blowout against Portland.  Your normal bettor would think this is a recipe for disaster.  Not me.  Atlanta hasn't won since the break, dropping two straight at home (last game was a double OT loss).  I saw this team get manhandled by Phoenix less than a month ago.  On the other end Golden State looked as good as ever last game against the Clippers.  Although they didn't cover after a crazy streak by the Clippers they dominated that entire game.  The loss to Portland relit their fire and then allowing the Clippers to come back is like pouring gasoline on the fire.  They will tighten up here on defense and really put it on the Hawks.  The Hawks are a completely fake/fluke of an above .500 team and GS is exactly what you see, the best team in the NBA.  Golden State by double digits tonight.

    $$$$ Golden Steph Warriors -7
    Reply
    $$$$ Golden State Warriors -7

    Golden State has another road game against an above .500 team.  They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 including a straight up loss/blowout against Portland.  Your normal bettor would think this is a recipe for disaster.  Not me.  Atlanta hasn't won since the break, dropping two straight at home (last game was a double OT loss).  I saw this team get manhandled by Phoenix less than a month ago.  On the other end Golden State looked as good as ever last game against the Clippers.  Although they didn't cover after a crazy streak by the Clippers they dominated that entire game.  The loss to Portland relit their fire and then allowing the Clippers to come back is like pouring gasoline on the fire.  They will tighten up here on defense and really put it on the Hawks.  The Hawks are a completely fake/fluke of an above .500 team and GS is exactly what you see, the best team in the NBA.  Golden State by double digits tonight.

    $$$$ Golden Steph Warriors -7
     
     
    Bubbaski27
    Bubbaski27
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2013
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 12:04 PM ET #25

    @JBL  most books have Golf matchups by round.  I am sure the big books like 5dimes, pinnacle, or bookmaker have them every week. 
    Reply
    @JBL  most books have Golf matchups by round.  I am sure the big books like 5dimes, pinnacle, or bookmaker have them every week. 
    All Forums | College Basketball
    1234 Next Last»

    Hot Forums IconHot Forum Topics

    • 🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵 449,927
    • Thursday 09/24/2026 683
    • I'm embarrassed for Trump supporters 58,425
    • NFL LOCKED IN! 100,292
    • Happening just recently . . . 34,755
    • ***Macwesties * Thur. * Sun. Sept. 24, 27, 2026 * Week #3 * NFL Football Plays* 3,943
    • PART DEUX 301
    • ?? KBO Plays 🥎 15,251
    • NCAA FOOTBALL. 151 24,520
    • NCAA WEEK 4 *** Parlay Picasso *** 2,723

    Warning - External Link

    Report User

    Thank you for reporting
    This content is abusive or harmful
    This post is spam
    An error has occurred
    This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

    Delete Post

    Are you sure you would like to remove this post?

    Remove Thread

    Are you sure you would like to remove this thread?

    Scan Results

    Login/Register

    Happy to have you join the conversation. To do so, please login or create an account.
    Accounts are free and easy to create.

    Search


    Loading…

    Loading…

    About Us
    Contact Us
    Careers
    Our Team
    Brand
    Testimonials
    Betting Guides
    Sportsbook Reviews
    Betting News
    Podcasts
    Responsible Gambling
    Betting Sites
    US Betting Sites
    Canada Betting Sites
    Canada Casinos
    Best Betting Apps
    Contests
    Streak Survivor
    King of Covers
    Ultimate Race
    Office Pools
    The Covers community has
    810,221
    lifetime members worldwide
    Join our community today
    Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
    Covers is the world
    leader in sports
    betting information.
    21+
    Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
    Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
    YouTube logo
    Facebook logo
    Twitter logo
    Instagram logo
    LinkedIn logo
    Google News logo
    Covers is verified safe by:
    Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
    Copyright © 1995 - 2026 Genius Sports. All Rights Reserved.
    If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.