Jerseyboy, I anticipate Lou -200 for title now with a Field of +170. Lou -250 in title game.
If it was me, I would take the risk out and that's it. 200 against them and still profit 1375 for no risk. Or 300 for a possible 1275 hit and a "service charge" profit if it loses. Either way, you're in a nice position. I would also take +160 or +170 now if I can get it. Why risk the Wichita game just in case.
For the Wichita hedge, first off Kudos!
Secondly, they are on the wrong side of bracket here to help you out much. If you got the cash to put up, you can make something. The downside is if Wichita wins 2 more games, it will cost your future about 5k for a hedge out anywhere from 500-800.
Good news is the risk is only 25 for a beautiful hit.
This is an instance where Rolling ML's works out better. You would be up 44 units already with no bet on the Louisville game yet. That $25 would have turned into 1100 with the decision to keep going or stop, and if so for how much of that.
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