***GWarner27's Round of 32 Picks (87-60-3 59.2% YTD)***

+20.89

Dogs 46-34-1 +9.49
Faves 36-19-2 +14.05
Over 2-2 -0.20
Under 0-0 +0.00
1st Half 2-2 -0.20
Halftimes 1-2 -1.15
Team Totals 0-1 -1.10
Buybacks: 0-0 +0.00

Posted records:
2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979
2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141
2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657
2009-10: 141-136-4 (50.9%) +1.294
2010-11: 114-79-4 (59.1%) +31.085

Futures:
2010-11: 2-6-1 -1.08U
2011-12: 0-1 -0.421U
Florida State More Tournament Wins than Louisville (-115)
Big XII OVER 9.5 Wins (-120): 4

November 23-17 +4.53
December 19-15-1 +2.60
January 17-20-1 -5.62
February 18-4 +13.70
March 10-4-1 +5.68
April 0-0 +0.00

Dog SU wins: 20
Losses by <1: 7
Dog OT losses: 2

Guesses:
LOU 1
MARQ 3.5
Vandy 1-2
Cuse 4
UK 9
tOSU 7-8
IND 3
Baylor 6
UF 15
FSU 3-4
Gtown 2
UNC 9-10
Sparty 6
X 7-8
KU 12
USF 4

interests:
WIS, VCU

leans:
UNM +1
NCSU +4

locked in:
Wisconsin ML (-110) vs. Vanderbilt
-Feel free to ask and I will go into further detail, but a lot of this play is based on Vandy not being able to score efficiently in the half-court. Both teams love the 3pt shot so that's tough to predict, but I don't htink Ezeli can guard Berggren and neither team can guard John Jenkins/Jordan Taylor. Better coach on my side and as I said earlier the pace is the best part.
Virginia Commonwealth +6.5 (-110) vs. Indiana
-Not a believer in IU, although I had them as a surprise team in the B1G pre-season. Ball-handling is a question mark as I don't think Jordy Hulls is the guy to break the VCU press all nigh. Even if he does, that will kill his legs and will almost eliminate him as a 3pt threat while limiting the defense that he doesn't play anyways. Christian Watford at the 4 is scary, but IU's lack of defense makes me feel comfortable about a line a full possession bigger than it should be. The Havoc will be there and I think this game is a toss-up so I will take the two possessions and the hook.

  BOL today GWarner   First two I locked in. Also made a small ML bet VCU.  Nice price if it hits.  Feel good seeing you're on them. I killed it yesterday though, so hopefully no regression.                         
                                              BOL 

  Gl today G

Any thoughts on the Orange, Warner? 

They are my early play. 

BOL 

I don't think IU wins SU today, the 6/6.5 is very generous imo

Good luck today ! 

What do you think about Syracuse game today ?

it's a weird game, oc.

First of all, Mizzou going down severely damages my chances at winning my Big XII o9.5 tourney wins so I need to scoop some up where I didn't expect to get them. That means K-State winning would do wonders for me even though pre-tourney I had the 'Cuse winning this game.

As for the actual matchup, K-State can rebound but I tend to think they're still playing a team that doesn't allow them to do what they want on offense due to the zone. The 'Cats scored a lot of points with a guy that I normally wouldn't expect to score much in Angel Rodriguez in the first game, and then you have McGruder. Besides McGruder's 39% beyond the arc, there's Samuels who can sometimes hit outside jumpers (33%) but no one shoots better than that 39%. Obviously Melo's absence is going to be missed more on defense in the middle with his charge-taking and rebounding, but if K-State can't make shots the defense can sag and focus more on rebounds. If KSU presses like they did against USM, that means transition offense for one of the best in America and the 'Cuse will win.

My guess for how K-State will win is hitting the offensive boards hard, but making a lot of outside shots so they don't need to. Strongly doubt they do either of those

agree on both, I did ride VCU quite a bit last year but the best part is I've only picked the Rams to win one game in my brackets the last two years and they've won 5

kim, mp, orange, 222

GL GW

I understand the under lean, part of me thinks KSU is going to run as much as possible to score before that 2-3 gets set. That would be disastrous for the 'Cats, imo, but I'm sure Frank has confidence in his defense so all they have to do is score. I don't like KSU in a fast-paced game here, but then again I don't like them in a half-court game against the zone ('Cuse can't really score in the half-court either). If I were you, I'd wait to see the 1H to see what type of game it is, but then again you have to deal with overtime/fouling if you play the 2H under where you'd probably need a blowout. Rough spot to jump in...

thanks for coming in, ksu

BEE

GL

FUCKING LOVE VCU TODAY

good, make sure you pull yourself out of depression considering your lover's not in the tournament this year

steven

updated leans:
UNM +1.5
SLU +6
NCSU +4.5
FSU -2.5

last for the night...

add
New Mexico +1.5 (-101) vs. Louisville
-Starters: Kendall W vs. Siva, Greenwood vs. Smith, Snell vs. Kuric, Hardeman vs. Behanan, Gordon vs. Dieng

I don't necessarily like Kendall having to deal with chasing Siva around, although he is much bigger and longer. Fenton should be a good guy to stay with Siva while Williams moves to the 2.

Inside there is a huge advantage for UNM, imo, especially if they flop Gordon to Behanan and put Hardeman on Dieng. Gordon is the best player in this game and can guard both guys, but he'd be the better one to deal with Behanan's bulk.

On the bench, both teams are pretty deep. Previously mentioned Fenton, Walker, McDonald and the big Bairstow compare to Blackshear, Smith, Swopshire and the rarely-used Justice. Besides the full-court press, i don't know where UL is better than the Lobos. It's always scary to face a press, but UNM is big and athletic so if they can do it that should mean easy buckets. The UL guards are tiny and that's a big problem as you get deeper in the tournament. They may use that 2-3 zone more than the matchup zone that they played against Davidson because UNM doesn't shoot it as much from outside but they do shoot it at a much better percentage. Snell is a wildcard and Greenwood/Walker turns the ball over far too much for my liking, but I really trust Gordon and Williams.

Hoping for a 3, which I clearly won't get. So maybe if I get 2 i'll jump in or i'll grab it before the tip

2-1 yesterday, will update records tomorrow night.

Disappointing to see UNM go down like that but they were shaken when Gordon went out with the knee injury and simply recovered too late...

Sweet 16 guesses:
Cuse 3-4
UK 10

interests:
WIS

updated leans:
SLU +7
NCSU +4.5
FSU -2

What up G...piggy backed on all, great work!

Glad I could help


if anyone wants to talk me off the Wolfpack, I'd appreciate it

GW, I am trying to talk myself out of it.  Feel like I am taking the bait...hook, line and sinker...

SettledownSpaz talked me into GT with this: