November 23-17 +4.53 December 3-0 +3.00 January 0-0 +0.00 February 0-0 +0.00 March 0-0 +0.00 April 0-0 +0.00
Notes: -Memphis freakishly athletic, can't defend the post though. Going to be on Xavier when they travel to the Fed-Ex Forum late in the year if Frease is healthy -Miami has a big guy but almost refuses to use him
November 23-17 +4.53 December 3-0 +3.00 January 0-0 +0.00 February 0-0 +0.00 March 0-0 +0.00 April 0-0 +0.00
Notes: -Memphis freakishly athletic, can't defend the post though. Going to be on Xavier when they travel to the Fed-Ex Forum late in the year if Frease is healthy -Miami has a big guy but almost refuses to use him
Can't see how V-Tech doesn't beat a horrible Rhode Island team by double digits coming off a tough loss to Kansas St.
I'll agree in saying URI isn't very good, but VT isn't the quality squad we're used to seeing with Seth Greenberg's team the past few years.
Laying 6 in true road games isn't the key to success, but the Hokies are relying a ton on Erick Green and I'm not sure he's talented enough to lead this team to big road wins.
The Hokies are going to play tough defense as they always do and they should win the battle on the glass, I just don't think I can trust their offense to pull out a late cover on the road especially after how they choked on a big lead when I had them against Oklahoma State at MSG
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Quote Originally Posted by SunflowerSeeds:
Can't see how V-Tech doesn't beat a horrible Rhode Island team by double digits coming off a tough loss to Kansas St.
I'll agree in saying URI isn't very good, but VT isn't the quality squad we're used to seeing with Seth Greenberg's team the past few years.
Laying 6 in true road games isn't the key to success, but the Hokies are relying a ton on Erick Green and I'm not sure he's talented enough to lead this team to big road wins.
The Hokies are going to play tough defense as they always do and they should win the battle on the glass, I just don't think I can trust their offense to pull out a late cover on the road especially after how they choked on a big lead when I had them against Oklahoma State at MSG
Florida over-- I liked it at 143.5, still like it now at 145, just not gonna play it because it's above my numbers. Kenpom shows 142, my 2010-11 numbers say 137-138 and my 2011-12 numbers show 139. Adjusted tempo numbers for this year have it at 142, just like Ken, and I normally won't go above my projection for an over play. Should be a fast-paced game, but the big spread suggests a Florida blowout and that usually means no fouls at the end. I would think the Josiah Turner suspension doesn't make a huge difference considering UA's backcourt depth at the position, but UF has so many talented guards that he may be missed.
Dayton +4.5-- The Flyers are still working to replace Brian Gregory, but Archie Miller should do well there considering how well his brother has done. Alabama has unbelievable athleticism and they play great defense, but Georgetown gave us the blueprint on how to defend the Tide and that means using a zone. I remember Sean Miller as a strictly zone coach, where Archie was last year, and I'm not sure Sendek played zone much when he had Archie as an assistant. If they don't play zone they're in big trouble, not sure they can stop JaMychal Greene either
Mizz State -6-- Clearly late on this line as I wanted below a possession and that never came. Not worth spending time looking into it because the number has passed, but I like them
Vandy -1--somehow I've bet 3 Davidson games this year, aka 6.9% of my bets so far this year have been on them, and I am just as confused as you are.
Vandy is really struggling without Ezeli in the middle, but Davidson doesn't have a post presence. They love to shoot 3s and love to drive to the basket, the latter probably where Ezeli will be missed the most, but they won't get taken off the dribble very easily considering how athletic their big guys are. While that sounds ridiculous for Davidson to rely on the dribble drive with almost all unathletic white players on the court, that's a lot of their offense and when you start to respect the drive they bang the 3s.
To me, the line seems really short even with how bad Vandy has been compared to their expectations so far this year. The arena should be packed, but how big of a difference will that make? McKillop definitely a better game-planner than Stallings, but I'm not sure they have the athletes to guard both Taylor and Jenkins
0
some lean explanations:
Florida over-- I liked it at 143.5, still like it now at 145, just not gonna play it because it's above my numbers. Kenpom shows 142, my 2010-11 numbers say 137-138 and my 2011-12 numbers show 139. Adjusted tempo numbers for this year have it at 142, just like Ken, and I normally won't go above my projection for an over play. Should be a fast-paced game, but the big spread suggests a Florida blowout and that usually means no fouls at the end. I would think the Josiah Turner suspension doesn't make a huge difference considering UA's backcourt depth at the position, but UF has so many talented guards that he may be missed.
Dayton +4.5-- The Flyers are still working to replace Brian Gregory, but Archie Miller should do well there considering how well his brother has done. Alabama has unbelievable athleticism and they play great defense, but Georgetown gave us the blueprint on how to defend the Tide and that means using a zone. I remember Sean Miller as a strictly zone coach, where Archie was last year, and I'm not sure Sendek played zone much when he had Archie as an assistant. If they don't play zone they're in big trouble, not sure they can stop JaMychal Greene either
Mizz State -6-- Clearly late on this line as I wanted below a possession and that never came. Not worth spending time looking into it because the number has passed, but I like them
Vandy -1--somehow I've bet 3 Davidson games this year, aka 6.9% of my bets so far this year have been on them, and I am just as confused as you are.
Vandy is really struggling without Ezeli in the middle, but Davidson doesn't have a post presence. They love to shoot 3s and love to drive to the basket, the latter probably where Ezeli will be missed the most, but they won't get taken off the dribble very easily considering how athletic their big guys are. While that sounds ridiculous for Davidson to rely on the dribble drive with almost all unathletic white players on the court, that's a lot of their offense and when you start to respect the drive they bang the 3s.
To me, the line seems really short even with how bad Vandy has been compared to their expectations so far this year. The arena should be packed, but how big of a difference will that make? McKillop definitely a better game-planner than Stallings, but I'm not sure they have the athletes to guard both Taylor and Jenkins
Florida over-- I liked it at 143.5, still like it now at 145, just not gonna play it because it's above my numbers. Kenpom shows 142, my 2010-11 numbers say 137-138 and my 2011-12 numbers show 139. Adjusted tempo numbers for this year have it at 142, just like Ken, and I normally won't go above my projection for an over play. Should be a fast-paced game, but the big spread suggests a Florida blowout and that usually means no fouls at the end. I would think the Josiah Turner suspension doesn't make a huge difference considering UA's backcourt depth at the position, but UF has so many talented guards that he may be missed.
Dayton +4.5-- The Flyers are still working to replace Brian Gregory, but Archie Miller should do well there considering how well his brother has done. Alabama has unbelievable athleticism and they play great defense, but Georgetown gave us the blueprint on how to defend the Tide and that means using a zone. I remember Sean Miller as a strictly zone coach, where Archie was last year, and I'm not sure Sendek played zone much when he had Archie as an assistant. If they don't play zone they're in big trouble, not sure they can stop JaMychal Greene either
Mizz State -6-- Clearly late on this line as I wanted below a possession and that never came. Not worth spending time looking into it because the number has passed, but I like them
Vandy -1--somehow I've bet 3 Davidson games this year, aka 6.9% of my bets so far this year have been on them, and I am just as confused as you are.
Vandy is really struggling without Ezeli in the middle, but Davidson doesn't have a post presence. They love to shoot 3s and love to drive to the basket, the latter probably where Ezeli will be missed the most, but they won't get taken off the dribble very easily considering how athletic their big guys are. While that sounds ridiculous for Davidson to rely on the dribble drive with almost all unathletic white players on the court, that's a lot of their offense and when you start to respect the drive they bang the 3s.
To me, the line seems really short even with how bad Vandy has been compared to their expectations so far this year. The arena should be packed, but how big of a difference will that make? McKillop definitely a better game-planner than Stallings, but I'm not sure they have the athletes to guard both Taylor and Jenkins
Thanks for the ffort and BOL
0
Quote Originally Posted by GWarner27:
some lean explanations:
Florida over-- I liked it at 143.5, still like it now at 145, just not gonna play it because it's above my numbers. Kenpom shows 142, my 2010-11 numbers say 137-138 and my 2011-12 numbers show 139. Adjusted tempo numbers for this year have it at 142, just like Ken, and I normally won't go above my projection for an over play. Should be a fast-paced game, but the big spread suggests a Florida blowout and that usually means no fouls at the end. I would think the Josiah Turner suspension doesn't make a huge difference considering UA's backcourt depth at the position, but UF has so many talented guards that he may be missed.
Dayton +4.5-- The Flyers are still working to replace Brian Gregory, but Archie Miller should do well there considering how well his brother has done. Alabama has unbelievable athleticism and they play great defense, but Georgetown gave us the blueprint on how to defend the Tide and that means using a zone. I remember Sean Miller as a strictly zone coach, where Archie was last year, and I'm not sure Sendek played zone much when he had Archie as an assistant. If they don't play zone they're in big trouble, not sure they can stop JaMychal Greene either
Mizz State -6-- Clearly late on this line as I wanted below a possession and that never came. Not worth spending time looking into it because the number has passed, but I like them
Vandy -1--somehow I've bet 3 Davidson games this year, aka 6.9% of my bets so far this year have been on them, and I am just as confused as you are.
Vandy is really struggling without Ezeli in the middle, but Davidson doesn't have a post presence. They love to shoot 3s and love to drive to the basket, the latter probably where Ezeli will be missed the most, but they won't get taken off the dribble very easily considering how athletic their big guys are. While that sounds ridiculous for Davidson to rely on the dribble drive with almost all unathletic white players on the court, that's a lot of their offense and when you start to respect the drive they bang the 3s.
To me, the line seems really short even with how bad Vandy has been compared to their expectations so far this year. The arena should be packed, but how big of a difference will that make? McKillop definitely a better game-planner than Stallings, but I'm not sure they have the athletes to guard both Taylor and Jenkins
Note on Bama/Dayton...They were beyond bad against the Georgetown zone but the zone of GTown is much longer than what most teams can employ. Bama only managed 16 first half points but after some halftime adjustments they came out and scored 39 in the second half.
The local papers have had several articles where Grant has insisted that attacking the zone is not about making outside shots but penetrating the zone. GTown is pretty good and Bama couldn't have been much worse for stretches of that game and it still took a 24 footer with a second left for them to lose. Green, Releford, and a couple of the freshman probably played their worst game of the year.
I expect a very pissed off Alabama team that will be much more prepared to attack any zone that Dayton employs. I am laying off for the reason that this is their first true road game and Dayton is coming off a couple of losses but I think Bama covers tonight.
0
Note on Bama/Dayton...They were beyond bad against the Georgetown zone but the zone of GTown is much longer than what most teams can employ. Bama only managed 16 first half points but after some halftime adjustments they came out and scored 39 in the second half.
The local papers have had several articles where Grant has insisted that attacking the zone is not about making outside shots but penetrating the zone. GTown is pretty good and Bama couldn't have been much worse for stretches of that game and it still took a 24 footer with a second left for them to lose. Green, Releford, and a couple of the freshman probably played their worst game of the year.
I expect a very pissed off Alabama team that will be much more prepared to attack any zone that Dayton employs. I am laying off for the reason that this is their first true road game and Dayton is coming off a couple of losses but I think Bama covers tonight.
Note on Bama/Dayton...They were beyond bad against the Georgetown zone but the zone of GTown is much longer than what most teams can employ. Bama only managed 16 first half points but after some halftime adjustments they came out and scored 39 in the second half.
The local papers have had several articles where Grant has insisted that attacking the zone is not about making outside shots but penetrating the zone. GTown is pretty good and Bama couldn't have been much worse for stretches of that game and it still took a 24 footer with a second left for them to lose. Green, Releford, and a couple of the freshman probably played their worst game of the year.
I expect a very pissed off Alabama team that will be much more prepared to attack any zone that Dayton employs. I am laying off for the reason that this is their first true road game and Dayton is coming off a couple of losses but I think Bama covers tonight.
ditto, it just doesn't help that you're a 'bama fan. BAMA -5
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Quote Originally Posted by YACKER:
Note on Bama/Dayton...They were beyond bad against the Georgetown zone but the zone of GTown is much longer than what most teams can employ. Bama only managed 16 first half points but after some halftime adjustments they came out and scored 39 in the second half.
The local papers have had several articles where Grant has insisted that attacking the zone is not about making outside shots but penetrating the zone. GTown is pretty good and Bama couldn't have been much worse for stretches of that game and it still took a 24 footer with a second left for them to lose. Green, Releford, and a couple of the freshman probably played their worst game of the year.
I expect a very pissed off Alabama team that will be much more prepared to attack any zone that Dayton employs. I am laying off for the reason that this is their first true road game and Dayton is coming off a couple of losses but I think Bama covers tonight.
ditto, it just doesn't help that you're a 'bama fan. BAMA -5
ditto, it just doesn't help that you're a 'bama fan. BAMA -5
I know! I actually had a play on Georgetown in the game against Bama. Like I said I am laying off tonight due to a couple of the factors I mentioned but I think they get it done tonight.
0
Quote Originally Posted by MrFrank:
ditto, it just doesn't help that you're a 'bama fan. BAMA -5
I know! I actually had a play on Georgetown in the game against Bama. Like I said I am laying off tonight due to a couple of the factors I mentioned but I think they get it done tonight.
Note on Bama/Dayton...They were beyond bad against the Georgetown zone but the zone of GTown is much longer than what most teams can employ. Bama only managed 16 first half points but after some halftime adjustments they came out and scored 39 in the second half.
The local papers have had several articles where Grant has insisted that attacking the zone is not about making outside shots but penetrating the zone. GTown is pretty good and Bama couldn't have been much worse for stretches of that game and it still took a 24 footer with a second left for them to lose. Green, Releford, and a couple of the freshman probably played their worst game of the year.
I expect a very pissed off Alabama team that will be much more prepared to attack any zone that Dayton employs. I am laying off for the reason that this is their first true road game and Dayton is coming off a couple of losses but I think Bama covers tonight.
i see what you're saying, but it's not a good sign because the zone killed Bama last year and it has done similar damage this year which tells me they're incapable because if I'm Anthony Grant it would be my first concern once I hit the offseason. Also, being within 23 seconds of winning at home is a huge difference from covering two possessions on the road
0
Quote Originally Posted by YACKER:
Note on Bama/Dayton...They were beyond bad against the Georgetown zone but the zone of GTown is much longer than what most teams can employ. Bama only managed 16 first half points but after some halftime adjustments they came out and scored 39 in the second half.
The local papers have had several articles where Grant has insisted that attacking the zone is not about making outside shots but penetrating the zone. GTown is pretty good and Bama couldn't have been much worse for stretches of that game and it still took a 24 footer with a second left for them to lose. Green, Releford, and a couple of the freshman probably played their worst game of the year.
I expect a very pissed off Alabama team that will be much more prepared to attack any zone that Dayton employs. I am laying off for the reason that this is their first true road game and Dayton is coming off a couple of losses but I think Bama covers tonight.
i see what you're saying, but it's not a good sign because the zone killed Bama last year and it has done similar damage this year which tells me they're incapable because if I'm Anthony Grant it would be my first concern once I hit the offseason. Also, being within 23 seconds of winning at home is a huge difference from covering two possessions on the road
There will definitely be a lot of points in the UF game tonight. Two up tempo teams and I think the Gators will shoot the lights out in their first big home game on TV.. Gators get Erik Murphy back as well into the rotation, some serious matchup problems for Arizona here.
0
There will definitely be a lot of points in the UF game tonight. Two up tempo teams and I think the Gators will shoot the lights out in their first big home game on TV.. Gators get Erik Murphy back as well into the rotation, some serious matchup problems for Arizona here.
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