54-33
+15.6 units
Harvard / Princeton - UNDER 131.5 (-110) 1.1 units
Harvard’s Adj Tempo of 62.4 (360/365) vs Princeton 63.2 (349/365). Princeton offensive possession ranks 364/365 and Harvard 323/365. Princeton 6-3 to the Under at home and Harvard 10-4 to the Under on the road. With these tempos aligning, neither team will have the need or pressure to push pace here. Princeton has not had many similar analytical home matchups , though did have one vs Merrimack that totaled 115. Harvard has been nice for the Under on the road, going 10-4, and 9-3 as the favorite.
Canisius / Merrimack - UNDER 131.5 (-110) 1.1 units
Merrimack Adj Tempo of 63.2 (348/365) vs Canisius 64.2 (332/365). These teams are a combined 38-20 to the Under. Canisius offense efficiency is ranked 358/365 against a Merrimack D that boasts a defensive time of possession of 19 seconds (364/365) and very strong defensive effective FG metrics.
*Disclaimer - both of these will likely be bet up a point or maybe 2. It’s a short slate and the public loves throwing money on the over after work on a Friday. It has no impact on these plays. I have both of these 3-4 points too high already, so I see no value in trying to wait for a better number. locking in what I see as great values.
Hot Forum Topics
