This is priced like Michigan State is the steadier team. They're not - at least not in this building. Wisconsin is 12-2 at the Kohl Center and has quietly gone 8-2 SU in its last 10, with both losses coming in one-possession games. That tells you the floor is high. MSU's top-15 defense travels, but the backcourt depth doesn't, and that's an issue against a Badgers offense averaging 83.3 PPG and knocking down 11 threes per game. In a 145 1/2 total environment, late-game free throws (77.9%) matter. In a true toss-up, I'll take the home efficiency and the plus price. The number's shading reputation, not reality.
Good Luck!
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Record: 21-22
Wisconsin Badgers +120
This is priced like Michigan State is the steadier team. They're not - at least not in this building. Wisconsin is 12-2 at the Kohl Center and has quietly gone 8-2 SU in its last 10, with both losses coming in one-possession games. That tells you the floor is high. MSU's top-15 defense travels, but the backcourt depth doesn't, and that's an issue against a Badgers offense averaging 83.3 PPG and knocking down 11 threes per game. In a 145 1/2 total environment, late-game free throws (77.9%) matter. In a true toss-up, I'll take the home efficiency and the plus price. The number's shading reputation, not reality.