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Back to basics Saturday

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Posted: #26
Bandos, bol today bro!
 
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Posted: #27
Thanks for sharing that trim.  Might be the last game USF wins in a while.  I added that to a bit more on matty Ice - wanna talk me out of that one?  Anyway I slice it, I come up with Atlanta over Seattle tomorrow.

Burk, I will take a little bit of luck right now.  Thanks
 
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Posted: #28
Damn, I knew I should have faded Stanford.  "They are revolting.  yes, they stink on ice."
 
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Posted: #29
Good Stuff buddy! GL today!
 
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Posted: #30
I don't like ATL/SEA at all...ATL may go to sleep...bad spot here...oh, I think they'll win, but SEA can get deep and come in through the back door...6.5 is perfect trap lay to get the money on ATL...take a look at BAL ML v. NO...Ravens need the game...NO comfy in current wild card slot knowing they'll have first rounder v. Rams, Seahawks, Niners...they don't want to move.
 
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Posted: #31
Trim, certainly not a great spot for Atl - which is why I have them ml and teased to pick, mostly.  And they are getting the money on ATL. I guess I would want the first round bye more than playing NFC least.  Wish me luck

Gonz - thanks for stopping in.
 
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Posted: #32
Man did Long Beach make me sweat that last few minutes out or what!

Long Beach State +9 1u
Detroit +1 1u
Detroit +6/Matty Ice pk 1u
Wichita State -4 1u
Mississippi State +6 1u
Denver OVER 126  1u
 
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Posted: #33
I tried to lay off due to the line movement but I can't see a single angle that favors GT in this game in the Bahamas.  What do they do better than Richmond besides ORB's?  Intrigued to see this one play out.

Richmond -5 (-120) 1u
 
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Posted: #34
There is a UNLV line to consider.  -29.  UNLV off the two bad losses, kansas state on tap for Tuesday.  Would have to think that they will let the guys play, maybe to get them back in rythym or some such shit.  S. Utah stinks but have played 12 pt game with Ut State, 16 to Oakland.  They rebound and get to the line.  They can't really shoot, or , umm , defend, But I still considering taking the 29.  Thoughts?
 
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Posted: #35
I've never played a game with such a line. My local won't take them. Thanks for the Fresno. St heads up. Probably not playing it but was just wondering why the line wasn't out. Thanks.
 
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Posted: #36
Never? - I like to look for spots to take huge amounts of points.  I always glance at anything over 24 pts, and then I look for tempo - if the game is to be played at a slow pace, it is really hard to cover a huge number.  This one doesn't fit but 67 is relatively slow pace.  At 67 possessions, to cover 29 - lets just use KP projections...(can you tell I am procrastinating...) 83-55, UNLV will have to score 1.24 pts/poss, while holding S. Utah to .82 pts.poss.

To do the above, you gotta shoot really well.  UNLV is NOT shotting well right now.  A good dose of S. Utah might be just what they need. 

Anyway...it all comes down to motivation and tempo for large lines - very little in the way of stats (only 2 relevant and they are contradictory - S Utah is a turnover machine, but they will pull down their fair share of boards)

Thanks for making me go through that particular exercise...
 
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Posted: #37
I would love to be able to play some of these huge lines, but my local just won't accept them. He's always calling me back saying, " C'mon, +35? You've got to be kidding me." Or, "Washington -29? Who the fuck do you think I am?" 
Whatever, he just won't take them.
S. Utah looks so-so with what you just came up with. Possible look ahead to Kansas St factor with UNLV?
 
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Posted: #38
Hard to think they look ahead after two losses.  They did destroy similarly ranked teams to start the year.

Added:

Northern Colorado pk 1u

Seems like this line is a bit off as KP has it at -4 but can't find any reason why.  Tailing my brotha cgonz on this one.
 
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Posted: #39
Bad Bando - stop adding...Richmond game shocks me - totally dominated by GT.  CC called it and I ignored him.  I still don't know how he knew.  Hey, maybe I ask.

BTW: adding, and I gotta be done with the green...

S. Utah +29 .5u
 
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Posted: #40
Long Beach State +9 1u
Detroit +1 1u
Detroit +6/Matty Ice pk 1u
Wichita State -4 1u
Denver OVER 126  1u

Richmond -5 (-120) 1u
S. Utah +29 .5u

Mississippi State +6 1u
Northern Colorado pk 1u
 
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Posted: #41
Long Beach State +9 1u
Detroit +1 1u
Detroit +6/Matty Ice pk 1u
Wichita State -4 1u
Denver OVER 126  1u

Richmond -5 (-120) 1u
S. Utah +29 .5u

Mississippi State +6 1u
Northern Colorado pk 1u

My timidity cost me today.  I alnoist played UCLA and SDS - as they say almost is only good in horeshoes and hand grenades.  -1.4 with SUtah looking BAD.

craptastic
 
 
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Posted: #42
good luck, bandos!!!!
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