I had Tennessee very big but not because of you. I took them last night before I saw your post because I was crazy enough to think they would give Kentucky a battle. The Ken Pom people had Illinois and I liked them too so I stayed away from Mich. State. I took Vandy and lost but I won on them for the first half and in-game line +8 1/2. I saw you had some questions on the Ken Pom thread, if you go the the links some of the posters provide they do a lot of the legwork and give a lot of info on the prior threads from other weeks and the separate blog someone set up. There are links some of the posters provided to these and they have links to spreadsheets to show how they came to the picks. If you have any questions I may be able to help you out as well. It is basically a play against the Ken Pom stats and with the Vegas line. As an example, tonight the stats all pointed to Michigan State and said they should have been favored by more than they were but the play was Illinois because the Vegas line was lower than it should have been according to the stats. They are saying Vegas is going to win/be right more often than the stats and that Vegas "knows" more than the stats. This is my basic understanding of the system, I hope it is helpful.
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I had Tennessee very big but not because of you. I took them last night before I saw your post because I was crazy enough to think they would give Kentucky a battle. The Ken Pom people had Illinois and I liked them too so I stayed away from Mich. State. I took Vandy and lost but I won on them for the first half and in-game line +8 1/2. I saw you had some questions on the Ken Pom thread, if you go the the links some of the posters provide they do a lot of the legwork and give a lot of info on the prior threads from other weeks and the separate blog someone set up. There are links some of the posters provided to these and they have links to spreadsheets to show how they came to the picks. If you have any questions I may be able to help you out as well. It is basically a play against the Ken Pom stats and with the Vegas line. As an example, tonight the stats all pointed to Michigan State and said they should have been favored by more than they were but the play was Illinois because the Vegas line was lower than it should have been according to the stats. They are saying Vegas is going to win/be right more often than the stats and that Vegas "knows" more than the stats. This is my basic understanding of the system, I hope it is helpful.
thanks man. any info is good info the way i look at it. I will message you any stats you want for any game just to show you what this system predicts, just let me know. im gonna run this maybe another week and if things dont start looking up i believe i will scrap it and look for something new. i was doing better studying the stats myself so far than what this system has done
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thanks man. any info is good info the way i look at it. I will message you any stats you want for any game just to show you what this system predicts, just let me know. im gonna run this maybe another week and if things dont start looking up i believe i will scrap it and look for something new. i was doing better studying the stats myself so far than what this system has done
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