Posted:
#1
i got $1,000 on miami to win it all at 60 to 1. any hedge advice for my now scared arse?
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any hedge advice
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Posts: 15
Posted:
#4
I don't see any way this can get resolved without devilplayer and whether or not this is a double down or a triple down spot
Also, nothing to hedge here since Miami is not in the final yet...if they get to the championship game then we can talk numbers 
COVERS allows u to tell someone they are sexually frustrated so long as ur hands are clean
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Posted:
#5
depends on how much disposable betting money u have at your fingers. bet as much as u can on uconn for championship odds at -125, as they will not lose to fau or sdst and will prob be a 4-6pt fav with similar moneyline odds to what its at now. Id drop around enough to win 20 grand or so. or u can eat the juice and go with uconn ml -240 for this game and put like 24k to win 10k. not sure who would take that action except an in person casino though.
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Posted:
#7
Ahhh, the old, "I thought I was throwing away 1k on a longshot bet with 60-1 odds and was content with it, but now that it's a couple games from cashing I want to put a lot more money into extra bets turning my 60-1 into an even money bet just to make sure I walk away with a little profit." 
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Posted:
#12
@NYYKNICKS
Your way is the way to go. Bet 2400/1000 on UCONN ML, UCONN wins you break even. It's over!
If Miami wins you're stuck $3400.
Right now, if Miami plays FAU It's Miami -2.5 bet FAU +ML for whatever, $10,000?
Right now if Miami Plays SDSU it's a pick. Bet SDSU ML for whatever, $10,000?
I think he's in a good spot, maybe I'm wrong. That's all I have to say about that.
G
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Posted:
#14
@tennistudly
Congrats on making it this far. I have a future on Miami as well but for +2000 so my strategy is a little different but if I were in your position I would take Uconn ML for 5k if you have the ability to do so. I would also look for another live betting opportunity on Uconn at + money if Miami gets the lead. Limits are a little tougher for live in game bets but you can get creative with 2H lines if you see Uconn as a short 2H favorite and the game is close at half. The dream scenario would be Connecticut as say a -150-160 favorite with a 2H line of -4 and they are down by 1-3 points so that they win the 2H but not the game.
If the UCONN ML juice against Miami doesn't appeal to you, I would also think about taking UCONN to win it all at -120 right now. If they do beat Miami, they'll be a substantial favorite over FAU or SDSU. Nothing is ever a lock but Uconn losing to either of those teams is very unlikely.
For what it's worth, I like Miami in this spot. My plan is try to 'hedge' with Uconn by taking the over on their team total. I think even if Miami wins both teams score in the low to mid 80's. Obviously some risk there which I wouldn't do with 60K on the line but that's how I've handicapped the game for my ticket.
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