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2016-2017 NCAA Hoops

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pederson16

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 7359

Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 1:10 PM ET #2101

take a gander...........we have a game......

kenpom 14 vs kenpom 39.....

# 14 is 23rd Off eff and 13th def eff....

#39 is 33rd off eff and 65th def eff respectively....

#14 has played a 17th rated SoS

#39 has played a 244 rated SoS

i make # 14 a -7.5 favorite on neutral....but they are on the road....so a -2.5ish

they opened as a +1.5 or so.....

now, the line has crossed 0 and they are a -1.5

that's just what i needed to see.....

(@betonline)

Florida VS Arkansas

Florida -125 Risk 1000.00 To Win 800.00

lvmike32

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2010

Posts: 107

Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 1:14 PM ET #2102

5D has it 175.5 -120.

Brahmabull

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2014

Posts: 267

Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 1:14 PM ET #2103

5dimes 175.5

pederson16

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 7359

Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 1:16 PM ET #2104

take the over ALL DAY long....i don't use 5 dimes...i'll keep looking elsewhere....just checked and BO, DSI, BM dont have it, nor my locals

trainwreck66

Legend

Joined: Feb, 2013

Posts: 32543

Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 1:19 PM ET #2105

choppedwood

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2012

Posts: 4669

Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 1:28 PM ET #2106

Quote Originally Posted by pederson16:

man, if you can get a savannah st and ETSU line somewhere...take the OVER...even if it is 200 points....lol....i dont have a line any where and i won;t be able to get the game but would love to watch....average possession will probably be under 7 seconds....

have side notes for first half on ETSU.............not only are they seasoned......they can do a lil bit of ething.......my notes are for first half plays and not totals tho........

BOL today

(did not think the Ducks had 'that' in them)

pederson16

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 7359

Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 3:54 PM ET #2107

LBSU ...... thats why you dont reluctantly place wagers that your research did not point to

...... smh..... i broke rule #1 ....never bet on a whim

Shua12collegeFB

Prospect

Joined: May, 2016

Posts: 393

Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 6:54 PM ET #2108

Savannah state vs ETSU

Should be 110-90 type game.

I'm in at over on the following #s

173.5

175

175.5

177.5

179

181

181.5

182.5

183.5

$120 each (5D limit on CBB extra)

Chips are down.

Jag0417

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2013

Posts: 87

Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 9:42 PM ET #2109

Quote Originally Posted by Shua12collegeFB:

Savannah state vs ETSU

Should be 110-90 type game.

I'm in at over on the following #s

173.5

175

175.5

177.5

179

181

181.5

182.5

183.5

$120 each (5D limit on CBB extra)

Chips are down.

wow, that's a quick dime lost. ouch.

Shua12collegeFB

Prospect

Joined: May, 2016

Posts: 393

Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 9:45 PM ET #2110

Quote Originally Posted by Jag0417:

wow, that's a quick dime lost. ouch.

I certainly lost big and got my poop pushed in.

I've isolate ssu and citadel and pounded their "overs" all ssn.

I have one over $9100 simply betting the over in every citadel game except week one versus college of Charleston, and every lined Savannah State game

This loss of stings, but the system works. It seems as if the books are quickly adjusting to the style of play that Savannah State and citadel have implemented

I'm not sweating it. I have more chips in the stack then I started with, substantially

Shua12collegeFB

Prospect

Joined: May, 2016

Posts: 393

Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 9:50 PM ET #2111

But I will see the game never have a chance. East Tennessee State shirt from the get go that they had absolutely no interest in running with SSU. Which is strange because east Tennessee state gets to the foul line very frequently, they run a fast pace tempo, they are very efficient on offense. And they totally went away from that against Savannah. Savanna could not make any shots to close the gap, and the game was a 17 point game with five minutes to go and needed to be a points or with him at that point to start the foul fest.

Also I will say that the referees let a lot go tonight. We've seen Ticketek fouls all year and it seems as though when teams are interested in getting to the rim, 50 fouls are called. Tonight, not the case.

Interestingly enough Savannah State only scored on 23 of 83 possessions. Too many empty trips

Shua12collegeFB

Prospect

Joined: May, 2016

Posts: 393

Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 9:55 PM ET #2112

Quote Originally Posted by Shua12collegeFB:

I certainly lost big and got my poop pushed in.

I've isolate ssu and citadel and pounded their "overs" all ssn.

I have one over $9100 simply betting the over in every citadel game except week one versus college of Charleston, and every lined Savannah State game

This loss of stings, but the system works. It seems as if the books are quickly adjusting to the style of play that Savannah State and citadel have implemented

I'm not sweating it. I have more chips in the stack then I started with, substantially

^i have won over.

Doja45

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 2304

Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 11:27 PM ET #2113

Quote Originally Posted by Shua12collegeFB:

Savannah state vs ETSU

Should be 110-90 type game.

I'm in at over on the following #s

173.5

175

175.5

177.5

179

181

181.5

182.5

183.5

$120 each (5D limit on CBB extra)

Chips are down.

Awww the ol' bet a $120 on the over every time the total rises. You must've majored in statistics

Jag0417

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2013

Posts: 87

Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 11:46 PM ET #2114

Quote Originally Posted by Shua12collegeFB:

I certainly lost big and got my poop pushed in.

I've isolate ssu and citadel and pounded their "overs" all ssn.

I have one over $9100 simply betting the over in every citadel game except week one versus college of Charleston, and every lined Savannah State game

This loss of stings, but the system works. It seems as if the books are quickly adjusting to the style of play that Savannah State and citadel have implemented

I'm not sweating it. I have more chips in the stack then I started with, substantially

good to hear it, get the next one!!! good luck, for the record, I loved the play too, but my book didn't offer a line.

pederson16

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 7359

Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 11:53 PM ET #2115

i guess i am glad i didnt have a total available at any of my books......i mean, the over was the right play....they still got to 163 with SSt shooting 35% and having 21 turnovers...pace was there ...pts per poss were not

pederson16

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 7359

Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 11:58 PM ET #2116

1-1 +360 today, another winning +$ day, all that matters

Jag0417

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2013

Posts: 87

Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 11:59 PM ET #2117

Quote Originally Posted by pederson16:

1-1 +360 today, another winning +$ day, all that matters

plus numbers is a good day, congrats!!

pederson16

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 7359

Posted: Dec. 30, 2016 - 2:57 AM ET #2118

wednesday 5-4 +$160

thursday 1-1 +$360

friday:

West Virginia VS Oklahoma State

West Virginia pk -115

Risk 1150.00 To Win 1000.00

seen both play several times...both are deep, physical, press, agressive, etc....but W Va is for real... and has more size....i like Ok St but they are a paper tiger

UCLA VS Oregon State

UCLA -19½ -110

Risk 1100.00 To Win 1000.00

ugly quick...ucla, off the oregon loss, has had time to stew on that in hotel rooms....this is going to be a 30+ pt win...

Northwestern VS Michigan State

Northwestern +1½ -110

Risk 400.00 To Win 363.64

gotta back the alma mater against MSU who may be happy escaping in minny a few days ago...probably came home and partied and without bridges NU has a punchers' chance

all overnight lines from betonline

more to come

pederson16

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 7359

Posted: Dec. 30, 2016 - 3:04 AM ET #2119

lean baylor

capskip

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2009

Posts: 33526

Posted: Dec. 30, 2016 - 10:47 AM ET #2120

Best of luck today ped

JCSeerup

Prospect

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 33

Posted: Dec. 30, 2016 - 11:02 AM ET #2121

What do you think about over 169 in WVU/OK

Jag0417

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2013

Posts: 87

Posted: Dec. 30, 2016 - 11:06 AM ET #2122

Quote Originally Posted by JCSeerup:

What do you think about over 169 in WVU/OK

I know your not asking me, but WV is a good defensive team, so it could limit OK possessions, just me 2 cents.

pederson16

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 7359

Posted: Dec. 30, 2016 - 11:57 AM ET #2123

Quote Originally Posted by JCSeerup:

What do you think about over 169 in WVU/OK

i actually really like it but didnt have an overnight #....probably will make a play....both teams are super aggressive, press, cause turnovers and get fast break points, however both have good guards...i think the pressure D will create a lot of fast layups and kick out 3s from penetration...also a ton of fouls in this game... i'll see....i like WV as a side better though