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2016-2017 NCAA Hoops

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Captain
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Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 7359
Posted: #376
Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian21:


You'll manage.

Good luck today, pederson. The demands are comical, ha.
  

all good, everyone has opinions 
 
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Posts: 2422
Posted: #377
Dammit Montana don't got no d 
 
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Posts: 11417
Posted: #378
Quote Originally Posted by pederson16:

   

sorry, no, I know it's a pain for you but I am honest and straightforward and would rather it be a pain for you than me.... 


Not a problem at all, I respect that.  It was just a question.  I wasn't demanding you to do it.  Good luck to you and lets beat them books 
 
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Posted: #379
Quote Originally Posted by pederson16:

CBB [747] MONTANA -2-120 (B+½) 720.00 USD / 600.00 USD  

montana is 0-3 and a -2.5 fav over 2-1 wash st..... no home court advantage here as it's in the BV islands.....montana has played way stiffer competition and shown relatively well while wash st has played 2 garbage squads and got their doors blown off by creighton.....they beat montana state by 4 who happens to be worse off. and def. than montana....I see a wire to wire montana win but will buy the hook because i am an idiot and like paying more juice... good luck... this is still a medium play but i've sen both teams play so i am a little more confident....

do your own due diligence 


11 minutes left but this is a loser.... sometimes the team you bet shoots 5.9% from 3 and 28% overall..........and the other team shoots 60% from the field...

IT IS WHAT IT IS.....  

1-4 today -12 or 1300 , i'll tally it later, ran into a buzzsaw today

me 

chilling for the rest of the night....gonna watch Oklahoma / West VA as I have a VERY LARGE preseason future on OU to win the Big 12...hopefully they can get this game and lock it up finally

good luck to everyone on any other plays tonight... if something changes, I'll post
 
Captain
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Posted: #380
Quote Originally Posted by jimmynmail:

Dammit Montana don't got no d 
 

screw the D, they aint got no O !!! can't win if you shoot 5% from 3 !!! 
 
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Posted: #381
i actually have no idea how montana is down by 22....... they have 60 shots compared to 43 for wazzu....montana is crushing the glass and has several second chance opportunities and the fouls are about even but wazzu has more FTs.... not a recipe for a win by any means but a 22 pt blasting?? crazy... it's all shooting .... 4/23 from 3 pt land .... they must have spent all morning on the beach 
 
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Joined: Feb, 2013
Posts: 145
Posted: #382
When you started out as hot as you did this year you knew this kind of day was on the way soon! Still way up on the year. Keep doing what you're doing man, appreciate the picks 
 
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Posts: 64
Posted: #383
New day.. new money. Let's get back on it today Pederson 
 
Captain
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Posted: #384
Quote Originally Posted by 1347dillpill:

When you started out as hot as you did this year you knew this kind of day was on the way soon! Still way up on the year. Keep doing what you're doing man, appreciate the picks 
  that's exactly why i repeatedly said that my plays were small and that the only way from there was DOWN.... people don't understand that anything over 60ish% is NOT sustainable long term.... caught a lightning bolt and hope'd i could ride it as long as possible....just think if i was playing my normal 600-1200/play instead of these measly 200-400 bets 
 
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Posts: 7359
Posted: #385
a good amount of plays..... still SMALL plays for me.....this is it for today....family day....i won't be back until late if at all.... hope to right the ship after yesterday.... don't blindly tail any one of covers....maybe use others as a confidence booster but not a blind tail....good luck everyone  

CBB [516] VIRGINIA -18-110 330.00 USD / 300.00 USD
yale beat washington, so what, virginia is the opposite of wash and will likely blow yale out

CBB [527] TOTAL o169½-110 (LONG BEACH STATE vrs UCLA) 330.00 USD / 300.00 USD
a lot of fouls and a very fast up-n-down game

CBB [531] DAVIDSON -2½-115 (B+½) 345.00 USD / 300.00 USD
gut feel

CBB [533] CLEMSON -130 390.00 USD / 300.00 USD
gut feel

CBB [539] NORTHERN KENTUCKY +3-130 (B+1) 390.00 USD / 300.00 USD
back to the well, they played well for us yesterday, it should continue

CBB [552] TOTAL u139½-110 (VILLANOVA vrs CENTRAL FLORIDA) 330.00 USD / 300.00 USD
i should stay away from unders in particular as I mentioned yesterday, however both teams are in the bottom 1/3 for tempo and Nova obv plays lock down D

CBB [557] ST. JOSEPHS +3-115 345.00 USD / 300.00 USD
gut feel

CBB [560] CREIGHTON -5-120 (B+½) 360.00 USD / 300.00 USD
they look really solid this year

CBB [570] FLORIDA INTL +4-125 (B+1) 375.00 USD / 300.00 USD
gut feel that in this clash of styles (tempo) that the SLOW wins out and frustrates youngstown state as they cannot run a half court

CBB [570] TOTAL u149-110 (YOUNGSTOWN STATE vrs FLORIDA INTL) 330.00 USD / 300.00 USD
see above, playing with fire here as youngstown just plain runs

CBB [578] NEVADA -12-115 (B+½) 345.00 USD / 300.00 USD
better team and best player on the court and in mw conference maybe...they are playing well


 
Captain
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Posts: 7359
Posted: #386
updated after the 1-4 -$1,243 saturday

OVERALL RECORD
Sides:29-10, 74.4%
Sides +/-: +$6,742
Totals:4-7, 36.4%
Totals +/-: -$40
Futures: 0-0
Futures +/-: $0
Overall Record: 33-17, 66%
Overall +/-: +$6,702
ROI: 34.4%  ($6,702 won on $19,477 risked) 
parlays 0-2, -$425
 
Captain
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Posts: 7359
Posted: #387
PARLAY (6 TEAMS)
[467] TOTAL o38½-115 
(MIA DOLPHINS vrs LA RAMS)
[473] GB PACKERS +3-120
[527] TOTAL o170-110 
(LONG BEACH STATE vrs UCLA)
[549] WAKE FOREST -180
[560] CREIGHTON -240
OPEN PLAY

250 / 5381

for a little fun 


ok, now leaving for the day
 
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Posts: 2657
Posted: #388
Great job brother..when do u start firing bigger as the season progresses. Great work love folloeing this thread.
 
Captain
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Posted: #389
Quote Originally Posted by darkmandave:

Great job brother..when do u start firing bigger as the season progresses. Great work love folloeing this thread.
 certain spots...but yes, once the season progresses...the first 2-3 weeks are really just a crapshoot...   once kenpom gets a month of data it begins to be reliable and that's the main thing i rely on, besides of course the 'eye test'

thank you
 
Captain
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Posts: 7359
Posted: #390
Quote Originally Posted by pederson16:

CBB [516] VIRGINIA -18-110 330.00 USD / 300.00 USD 

CBB [527] TOTAL o169½-110 (LONG BEACH STATE vrs UCLA) 330.00 USD / 300.00 USD 

CBB [531] DAVIDSON -2½-115 (B+½) 345.00 USD / 300.00 USD  

CBB [533] CLEMSON -130 390.00 USD / 300.00 USD 

CBB [539] NORTHERN KENTUCKY +3-130 (B+1) 390.00 USD / 300.00 USD 

CBB [552] TOTAL u139½-110 (VILLANOVA vrs CENTRAL FLORIDA) 330.00 USD / 300.00 USD 

CBB [557] ST. JOSEPHS +3-115 345.00 USD / 300.00 USD 

CBB [560] CREIGHTON -5-120 (B+½) 360.00 USD / 300.00 USD 

CBB [570] FLORIDA INTL +4-125 (B+1) 375.00 USD / 300.00 USD 

CBB [570] TOTAL u149-110 (YOUNGSTOWN STATE vrs FLORIDA INTL) 330.00 USD / 300.00 USD 

CBB [578] NEVADA -12-115 (B+½) 345.00 USD / 300.00 USD


 
Captain
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Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 7359
Posted: #391
OVERALL RECORD
Sides:34-13, 72.34%
Sides +/-: +$7,132
Totals:6-8, 42.86%
Totals +/-: +$230
Futures: 0-0
Futures +/-: $0
Overall Record: 40-21, 65.57%
Overall +/-: +$7,362
ROI: 31.53%  ($7,362 won on $23,347 risked) 
parlays 0-3, -$675
 
Captain
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Posts: 7359
Posted: #392
slow work week with the holidays coming up...so plenty of time to cap and that's great because we have a ton of days games! cheers to that  
really looking forward to these maui games tomorrow and creighton/miss! 

 
Prospect
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Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 327
Posted: #393
Thank you for sharing your plays.
 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 64
Posted: #394
Thanks again pederson
 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 86
Posted: #395
Legend
 
Rookie
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Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 582
Posted: #396
Pederson thanks man!.
 
Prospect
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Joined: Sep, 2016
Posts: 233
Posted: #397
Pederson you da man.

I go to Creighton and obviously I'm a huge Creighton fan.

They cover and go OVER at a winning rate every single season. Last season it was around 75% for each, lowest I've seen was around 60-65% during the Doug McDermott seasons.

I like them to cover and go over again tonight!
 
Captain
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Posts: 7359
Posted: #398
CBB [759] NORTHWESTERN +3-120 (B+½) 720.00 USD / 600.00 USD
 
Captain
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Posts: 7359
Posted: #399
CBB [730] MONTANA -4½-110   660.00 USD / 600.00 USD
 
 
Prospect
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Joined: Jan, 2016
Posts: 43
Posted: #400
Quote Originally Posted by pederson16:

.  Great day Pederson!  Thanks for putting the picks out there. Much appreciated!

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