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🤢🥴_ Fubah's 2023 Hoops Thread _😲🥵

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Posted: #2226

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: REGRESSION DAY part deux. OMG...  DUKE was +6 games better than NCState, but Duke goes down!.......Creetin was +4 games better than Prov, but they go down!.....Ramblers were +6 games better than St.Boner, but they go down!!......MEMPHIS was +6 games better than Washeeta, but down they go to the weaker team!!! Spiders (who I hesitated to bet and then backed off) were +6 games better than mediocre St.Joes, but LOSE!!  Did I forget anyone? All that followed TOLEDO with a +6 game edge over much weaker Kent, but losing to start the "Day of Upsets!" So glad I backed off betting my circled picks....(other than Toledo loser of course)...So are my Dayton Flyers (+4 games better) going to choke too?! It's shaping up that way late in 2h...
And down they go to a weaker team as well!  an_burningbag

 
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Posted: #2227

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: REGRESSION DAY part deux. OMG...  DUKE was +6 games better than NCState, but Duke goes down!.......Creetin was +4 games better than Prov, but they go down!.....Ramblers were +6 games better than St.Boner, but they go down!!......MEMPHIS was +6 games better than Washeeta, but down they go to the weaker team!!! Spiders (who I hesitated to bet and then backed off) were +6 games better than mediocre St.Joes, but LOSE!!  Did I forget anyone? All that followed TOLEDO with a +6 game edge over much weaker Kent, but losing to start the "Day of Upsets!" So glad I backed off betting my circled picks....(other than Toledo loser of course)...So are my Dayton Flyers (+4 games better) going to choke too?! It's shaping up that way late in 2h...And down they go to a weaker team as well!

GATORS are only +5 games better than Georgia....so of course this means they are LOSING to Bulldogs in first half........of course!

 
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Posted: #2228

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: REGRESSION DAY part deuxNo doubt this is another bonafide regression day (following a fortunate 18 - 1 hot streak)  Sucks.....but we could see it coming.....it ALWAYS happens to any hot streak. I had 7 circled teams for later this afternoon to bet, and I may still do that, albeit at significantly reduced bet sizes in anticipation of continued regression throughout the day..... For that reason I won't be posting those.  I may find some value worth a shot in LIVE GAME action but that's it... So, 0 - 2  -3.30u   to begin regression day part deuxLate 2h LIVE BET: Marist -450UNLV looking real close!!!BlueJays looking awful....sigh....Dayton down in 1H....better team though!...LIVE BET: Flyers -140 *BBVirginia is +5 games better than BC Eagles...will they choke too?...they are down 10 pts early ....LIVE BET: Cavaliers +1.5 -115Whatta fargin day, huh?!daaaaaBEARS losing early to WKRP....of course....they are only +4 games better....First Q of the game and BAYLOR has scored only 3 pts....all FTsMight as well make my losing complete.....HOOSIERS leading coming out of HT but PSU making a run....
Then Hoosiers make a run....oy.....back and forth this one....but PSU could be in foul trouble late...LIVE BET: Hoosiers -320 *BB 2u

 
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Posted: #2229

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: REGRESSION DAY part deux. OMG...  DUKE was +6 games better than NCState, but Duke goes down!.......Creetin was +4 games better than Prov, but they go down!.....Ramblers were +6 games better than St.Boner, but they go down!!......MEMPHIS was +6 games better than Washeeta, but down they go to the weaker team!!! Spiders (who I hesitated to bet and then backed off) were +6 games better than mediocre St.Joes, but LOSE!!  Did I forget anyone? All that followed TOLEDO with a +6 game edge over much weaker Kent, but losing to start the "Day of Upsets!" So glad I backed off betting my circled picks....(other than Toledo loser of course)...So are my Dayton Flyers (+4 games better) going to choke too?! It's shaping up that way late in 2h...And down they go to a weaker team as well! GATORS are only +5 games better than Georgia....so of course this means they are LOSING to Bulldogs in first half........of course!
Marquette scrambles back for a small lead...

 
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Posted: #2230

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: REGRESSION DAY part deuxNo doubt this is another bonafide regression day (following a fortunate 18 - 1 hot streak)  Sucks.....but we could see it coming.....it ALWAYS happens to any hot streak. I had 7 circled teams for later this afternoon to bet, and I may still do that, albeit at significantly reduced bet sizes in anticipation of continued regression throughout the day..... For that reason I won't be posting those.  I may find some value worth a shot in LIVE GAME action but that's it... So, 0 - 2  -3.30u   to begin regression day part deuxLate 2h LIVE BET: Marist -450UNLV looking real close!!!BlueJays looking awful....sigh....Dayton down in 1H....better team though!...LIVE BET: Flyers -140 *BBVirginia is +5 games better than BC Eagles...will they choke too?...they are down 10 pts early ....LIVE BET: Cavaliers +1.5 -115Whatta fargin day, huh?!daaaaaBEARS losing early to WKRP....of course....they are only +4 games better....First Q of the game and BAYLOR has scored only 3 pts....all FTsMight as well make my losing complete.....HOOSIERS leading coming out of HT but PSU making a run....Then Hoosiers make a run....oy.....back and forth this one....but PSU could be in foul trouble late...LIVE BET: Hoosiers -320 *BB 2u
Hoosiers cling to tiny lead but PSU lost a KEY PLAYER to fouls and 2 more on the bubble!

 
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Posted: #2231

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: REGRESSION DAY part deuxNo doubt this is another bonafide regression day (following a fortunate 18 - 1 hot streak)  Sucks.....but we could see it coming.....it ALWAYS happens to any hot streak. I had 7 circled teams for later this afternoon to bet, and I may still do that, albeit at significantly reduced bet sizes in anticipation of continued regression throughout the day..... For that reason I won't be posting those.  I may find some value worth a shot in LIVE GAME action but that's it... So, 0 - 2  -3.30u   to begin regression day part deuxLate 2h LIVE BET: Marist -450UNLV looking real close!!!BlueJays looking awful....sigh....Dayton down in 1H....better team though!...LIVE BET: Flyers -140 *BBVirginia is +5 games better than BC Eagles...will they choke too?...they are down 10 pts early ....LIVE BET: Cavaliers +1.5 -115Whatta fargin day, huh?!daaaaaBEARS losing early to WKRP....of course....they are only +4 games better....First Q of the game and BAYLOR has scored only 3 pts....all FTsMight as well make my losing complete.....HOOSIERS leading coming out of HT but PSU making a run....Then Hoosiers make a run....oy.....back and forth this one....but PSU could be in foul trouble late...LIVE BET: Hoosiers -320 *BB 2uHoosiers cling to tiny lead but PSU lost a KEY PLAYER to fouls and 2 more on the bubble!
Oh maaaaan!  Now a 2 pt game and Hoosiers have TWO with 4 fouls as well and 3 with 3 each  an_getaway

 
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Posted: #2232

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: REGRESSION DAY part deuxNo doubt this is another bonafide regression day (following a fortunate 18 - 1 hot streak)  Sucks.....but we could see it coming.....it ALWAYS happens to any hot streak. I had 7 circled teams for later this afternoon to bet, and I may still do that, albeit at significantly reduced bet sizes in anticipation of continued regression throughout the day..... For that reason I won't be posting those.  I may find some value worth a shot in LIVE GAME action but that's it... So, 0 - 2  -3.30u   to begin regression day part deuxLate 2h LIVE BET: Marist -450UNLV looking real close!!!BlueJays looking awful....sigh....Dayton down in 1H....better team though!...LIVE BET: Flyers -140 *BBVirginia is +5 games better than BC Eagles...will they choke too?...they are down 10 pts early ....LIVE BET: Cavaliers +1.5 -115Whatta fargin day, huh?!daaaaaBEARS losing early to WKRP....of course....they are only +4 games better....First Q of the game and BAYLOR has scored only 3 pts....all FTsMight as well make my losing complete.....HOOSIERS leading coming out of HT but PSU making a run....Then Hoosiers make a run....oy.....back and forth this one....but PSU could be in foul trouble late...LIVE BET: Hoosiers -320 *BB 2u

THAT was fortunate but I'll take it after that stupid Dayton loser....

 
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Posted: #2233

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: REGRESSION DAY part deuxNo doubt this is another bonafide regression day (following a fortunate 18 - 1 hot streak)  Sucks.....but we could see it coming.....it ALWAYS happens to any hot streak. I had 7 circled teams for later this afternoon to bet, and I may still do that, albeit at significantly reduced bet sizes in anticipation of continued regression throughout the day..... For that reason I won't be posting those.  I may find some value worth a shot in LIVE GAME action but that's it... So, 0 - 2  -3.30u   to begin regression day part deuxLate 2h LIVE BET: Marist -450UNLV looking real close!!!BlueJays looking awful....sigh....Dayton down in 1H....better team though!...LIVE BET: Flyers -140 *BBVirginia is +5 games better than BC Eagles...will they choke too?...they are down 10 pts early ....LIVE BET: Cavaliers +1.5 -115Whatta fargin day, huh?!daaaaaBEARS losing early to WKRP....of course....they are only +4 games better....First Q of the game and BAYLOR has scored only 3 pts....all FTsMight as well make my losing complete.....HOOSIERS leading coming out of HT but PSU making a run....Then Hoosiers make a run....oy.....back and forth this one....but PSU could be in foul trouble late...LIVE BET: Hoosiers -320 *BB 2u THAT was fortunate but I'll take it after that stupid Dayton loser....
OT..... of course....

 
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Posted: #2234

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: REGRESSION DAY part deuxNo doubt this is another bonafide regression day (following a fortunate 18 - 1 hot streak)  Sucks.....but we could see it coming.....it ALWAYS happens to any hot streak. I had 7 circled teams for later this afternoon to bet, and I may still do that, albeit at significantly reduced bet sizes in anticipation of continued regression throughout the day..... For that reason I won't be posting those.  I may find some value worth a shot in LIVE GAME action but that's it... So, 0 - 2  -3.30u   to begin regression day part deuxLate 2h LIVE BET: Marist -450UNLV looking real close!!!BlueJays looking awful....sigh....Dayton down in 1H....better team though!...LIVE BET: Flyers -140 *BBVirginia is +5 games better than BC Eagles...will they choke too?...they are down 10 pts early ....LIVE BET: Cavaliers +1.5 -115Whatta fargin day, huh?!daaaaaBEARS losing early to WKRP....of course....they are only +4 games better....First Q of the game and BAYLOR has scored only 3 pts....all FTsMight as well make my losing complete.....HOOSIERS leading coming out of HT but PSU making a run....Then Hoosiers make a run....oy.....back and forth this one....but PSU could be in foul trouble late...LIVE BET: Hoosiers -320 *BB 2u THAT was fortunate but I'll take it after that stupid Dayton loser....OT..... of course....
Cavaliers lead tentatively in OT, and BC lost a player to fouls with another on the bubble....LIVE BET: -375

 

 
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Posted: #2235

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: REGRESSION DAY part deuxNo doubt this is another bonafide regression day (following a fortunate 18 - 1 hot streak)  Sucks.....but we could see it coming.....it ALWAYS happens to any hot streak. I had 7 circled teams for later this afternoon to bet, and I may still do that, albeit at significantly reduced bet sizes in anticipation of continued regression throughout the day..... For that reason I won't be posting those.  I may find some value worth a shot in LIVE GAME action but that's it... So, 0 - 2  -3.30u   to begin regression day part deuxLate 2h LIVE BET: Marist -450UNLV looking real close!!!BlueJays looking awful....sigh....Dayton down in 1H....better team though!...LIVE BET: Flyers -140 *BBVirginia is +5 games better than BC Eagles...will they choke too?...they are down 10 pts early ....LIVE BET: Cavaliers +1.5 -115Whatta fargin day, huh?!daaaaaBEARS losing early to WKRP....of course....they are only +4 games better....First Q of the game and BAYLOR has scored only 3 pts....all FTsMight as well make my losing complete.....HOOSIERS leading coming out of HT but PSU making a run....Then Hoosiers make a run....oy.....back and forth this one....but PSU could be in foul trouble late...LIVE BET: Hoosiers -320 *BB 2u THAT was fortunate but I'll take it after that stupid Dayton loser....OT..... of course....Cavaliers lead tentatively in OT, and BC lost a player to fouls with another on the bubble....LIVE BET: -375
MArquette in trouble....

 
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Posted: #2236

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: REGRESSION DAY part deuxNo doubt this is another bonafide regression day (following a fortunate 18 - 1 hot streak)  Sucks.....but we could see it coming.....it ALWAYS happens to any hot streak. I had 7 circled teams for later this afternoon to bet, and I may still do that, albeit at significantly reduced bet sizes in anticipation of continued regression throughout the day..... For that reason I won't be posting those.  I may find some value worth a shot in LIVE GAME action but that's it... So, 0 - 2  -3.30u   to begin regression day part deuxLate 2h LIVE BET: Marist -450UNLV looking real close!!!BlueJays looking awful....sigh....Dayton down in 1H....better team though!...LIVE BET: Flyers -140 *BBVirginia is +5 games better than BC Eagles...will they choke too?...they are down 10 pts early ....LIVE BET: Cavaliers +1.5 -115Whatta fargin day, huh?!daaaaaBEARS losing early to WKRP....of course....they are only +4 games better....First Q of the game and BAYLOR has scored only 3 pts....all FTsMight as well make my losing complete.....HOOSIERS leading coming out of HT but PSU making a run....Then Hoosiers make a run....oy.....back and forth this one....but PSU could be in foul trouble late...LIVE BET: Hoosiers -320 *BB 2u THAT was fortunate but I'll take it after that stupid Dayton loser....OT..... of course....Cavaliers lead tentatively in OT, and BC lost a player to fouls with another on the bubble....LIVE BET: -375MArquette in trouble....

SMU which is +6 games better than weakass Temple is going to choke too....unbelievable upset day!  an_eek2

 
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Posted: #2237

I got lucky today...

 
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Posted: #2238

REGRESSION Thursday, March 14:

 L   Rockets -4.5 -120
 L   Rockets -210      *BB
W  LIVE BET: Marist -450
 L   Dayton down in 1H...LIVE BET: Flyers -140 *BB
W  Down 10 pts early ....LIVE BET: Cavaliers +1.5 -115
W  Down early to Villan...LIVE BET: Marquette -135
W  Bears down big to WKRP...LIVE BET: Baylor -135 *BB 2u
W  LIVE BET: Hoosiers -320      *BB 2u
W  Cavaliers lead tentatively in OT, and BC lost a player to fouls.LIVE BET: -375

= 6 - 3  +3.30u an_timeout   (2 - 2 *Best Bets)

 

 

 
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Posted: #2239

@Hoyasaxa   peace_5

@fadethetouts  peace_5

 

@crunch101  peace_5

@River_fish  peace_5

@Lotto_Izm   peace_5

 

Fellas!...Thanks for your comments today!  You made some good points and now duly noted as I proceed in the final weeks of the season.  THANK YOU, and I hope you enjoy success with your bets too! an_cheers

 

Now as soon as my heart stop racing I will look at Friday games...

 

 
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Posted: #2240

@fubah2

 Good work to scramble back like that an_clap

 
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Posted: #2241

After 6 - 3 on Thursday . . .


Entering Friday, March 15:

        67 - 27  hot streak since March 05 (MENS)
        16 -  6  capping WOMENS NCAA as well

an_light 83 - 33  all NCAA bets past 10 days!


an_2drinks 45 - 17  with Conference Tournament bets!

 

REGRESSION Friday, March 15:
NWU +3.5 -120;Gamecocks +7.5;UCONN -480;Norfolk -125;Blazers -192;Bearkats -167;Bulls -290;Illinois -183;TarHeels -320

 
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Posted: #2242

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

After 6 - 3 on Thursday . . . Entering Friday, March 15:         67 - 27  hot streak since March 05 (MENS)        16 -  6  capping WOMENS NCAA as well 83 - 33  all NCAA bets past 10 days! 45 - 17  with Conference Tournament bets!   REGRESSION Friday, March 15:NWU +3.5 -120;Gamecocks +7.5;UCONN -480;Norfolk -125;Blazers -192;Bearkats -167;Bulls -290;Illinois -183;TarHeels -320
Adding: Mean Green +6 -107 pinnacle

 
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Posted: #2243

@fubah2

 Good luck todaypeace_5

Got to ask you thou, are you calculating the moneyline plays into your record?  Cause if a person loses a minus 400 moneyline play, thats not 1 loss

 
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Posted: #2244

@fubah2

 Yes, good thing you didn’t sit it out not flipping the coin yesterday brother! When you do, you decide when the streak ends! Like the live bets too as there is value but not late in second halves

 
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Posted: #2245

GL today peaceclover

Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
 
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Posted: #2246

Quote Originally Posted by Hoyasaxa:

@fubah2  Yes, good thing you didn’t sit it out not flipping the coin yesterday brother! When you do, you decide when the streak ends! Like the live bets too as there is value but not late in second halves
LOL....yeah, I got fortunate indeed! peace_5 

But that fortune is about to run out I am afraid.  

an_lightOne simply cannot continue at such a high win rate! Not gonna happen!  Losses are looming "bigly" an_speechless  I just have no idea which... so I reduce my bet sizes in anticipation and keep playing the games according to what my new capping method dictates and let the cookies crumble where they may.

BoL to you with your bets today! cloveran_cheers

 
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Posted: #2247

Quote Originally Posted by cd329:

@fubah2  Good luck today Got to ask you thou, are you calculating the moneyline plays into your record?  Cause if a person loses a minus 400 moneyline play, thats not 1 loss

@cd329OH yes! Absolutely! Good point!! peace_5


For example,
on REGRESSION SUNDAY my 8 posted losers were:
-110
-110
-130
-130
-210
-210
-215
-360
       ... against just 6 winners

Then, from Monday through Thursday, only 4 losers:
Merrimack +3.5 -115
Toledo -4.5 -120
Toledo -210
Dayton -140
        ... against 24 winners

So then it comes down to how one wishes to evaluate results.
In this particular small sample size, 12 losers totalling -2060 vs 30 winners.

an_light If we evaluate using the common
"Internet Fair Scoring Standard for Comparing Records"
(ie, as if every pick is scored as if to win one unit only - regardless the unit attachment "claimed")


then that 5-day result would be scored as +9.4 units.


Or +45.2 units if every pick is to win 5 units!
Or +90.4 units if every pick is to win 10 units!!!

cool Pick your fancy! LOL

That's just on a 5 day stretch, which includes my worst day of March.

I do lose the occasional bet of -290 to -500, sure. Occasionally. But I win significantly more than lose in that range and show a profit.

My bets are all posted in this one thread if anyone wishes to check. peace_5

 

 
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Posted: #2248

Adding: "the Mighty Quinn" -2  ...and Marquette -195

 
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Posted: #2249

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Adding: "the Mighty Quinn" -2  ...and Marquette -195
Adding: Grumbling -150

 
 
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Posted: #2250

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Adding: "the Mighty Quinn" -2  ...and Marquette -195Adding: Grumbling -150
adding Utah State Aggies +4.5  ....although I am playing a long hunch here that #4 team scorer Faltsev will play ...without him, they struggled to edge weakass Fresno IN OT last night paint_help

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