Posted:
#1251
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
That win raises my Women's *Best Bets to: 30 - 13
That win raises my Women's *Best Bets to: 30 - 13
Wow dude, you sure have a way with the Ladies!
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🤢🥴_ Fubah's 2023 Hoops Thread _😲🥵
I should be asking YOU that. You're the one with a 13 - 4 record 
Posted:
#1255
Meanwhile, with my MEN'S NCAA,
*BEST BETS: 69 - 24 +128.45 units* 
*...if bettors had placed a mean avg of 5-units-to-win on all my *Best Bets (like several others on this forum do with their picks!) and at an avg of $1k per unit, then those bettors would be up over $128,000 after just 8 weeks of betting these.....I am not recommending anyone actually do that, but hypothetically those would be the results....Or, if you choose to grade all forum member records as if betting to win one-unit each, then mine is a net +25.69 units
1
Posted:
#1258
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
NIT PICKIN TUESDAY
NIT PICKIN TUESDAY
One thought is this, the absence of coach Madsen from Utah Valley tonight won't affect the score either way, imo.
Coming next NT/Wisc is this consideration: both teams recently escaped with narrow road wins against opps that are roughly the same quality except that Wisconsin had the fortune of playing a team missing 2 starters
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Posted:
#1259
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: NIT PICKIN TUESDAY One thought is this, the absence of coach Madsen from Utah Valley tonight won't affect the score either way, imo. Coming next NT/Wisc is this consideration: both teams recently escaped with narrow road wins against opps that are roughly the same quality except that Wisconsin had the fortune of playing a team missing 2 starters
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: NIT PICKIN TUESDAY One thought is this, the absence of coach Madsen from Utah Valley tonight won't affect the score either way, imo. Coming next NT/Wisc is this consideration: both teams recently escaped with narrow road wins against opps that are roughly the same quality except that Wisconsin had the fortune of playing a team missing 2 starters
...so this is a coin-flipper imo, with UNT having a razor thin edge, but not worth a pregame risk on them
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Posted:
#1260
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: NIT PICKIN TUESDAY One thought is this, the absence of coach Madsen from Utah Valley tonight won't affect the score either way, imo. Coming next NT/Wisc is this consideration: both teams recently escaped with narrow road wins against opps that are roughly the same quality except that Wisconsin had the fortune of playing a team missing 2 starters ...so this is a coin-flipper imo, with UNT having a razor thin edge, but not worth a pregame risk on them
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: NIT PICKIN TUESDAY One thought is this, the absence of coach Madsen from Utah Valley tonight won't affect the score either way, imo. Coming next NT/Wisc is this consideration: both teams recently escaped with narrow road wins against opps that are roughly the same quality except that Wisconsin had the fortune of playing a team missing 2 starters ...so this is a coin-flipper imo, with UNT having a razor thin edge, but not worth a pregame risk on them
...but if you fancy a bet on either game tonight I do advise waiting to check the pregame/;WARMUP lineups first, to be absolutely certain there are no last minute surprises that may ultimately cost you money.
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Posted:
#1262
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
NIT PICKIN TUESDAY
NIT PICKIN TUESDAY
One thought is this, the absence of coach Madsen from Utah Valley tonight won't affect the score either way, imo. Coming next NT/Wisc is this consideration: both teams recently escaped with narrow road wins against opps that are roughly the same quality except that Wisconsin had the fortune of playing a team missing 2 starters ...so this is a coin-flipper imo, with UNT having a razor thin edge, but not worth a pregame risk on them
Also, in that game Wisconsin needed the short-handed Oregon team to phuckup badly on the charity stripe, hitting only 4 of 12.....Had they hit their normal avg, Badgers would have lost to a team minus 2 good starters........
Food for thought....
1
Posted:
#1263
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: NIT PICKIN TUESDAY
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: NIT PICKIN TUESDAY
Also, in that game Wisconsin needed the short-handed Oregon team to phuckup badly on the charity stripe, hitting only 4 of 12.....Had they hit their normal avg, Badgers would have lost to a team minus 2 good starters........ Food for thought....
Think I might tail you on that and bet against Wisconsin 
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Posted:
#1264
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: NIT PICKIN TUESDAY One thought is this, the absence of coach Madsen from Utah Valley tonight won't affect the score either way, imo. Coming next NT/Wisc is this consideration: both teams recently escaped with narrow road wins against opps that are roughly the same quality except that Wisconsin had the fortune of playing a team missing 2 starters ...so this is a coin-flipper imo, with UNT having a razor thin edge, but not worth a pregame risk on them Also, in that game Wisconsin needed the short-handed Oregon team to phuckup badly on the charity stripe, hitting only 4 of 12.....Had they hit their normal avg, Badgers would have lost to a team minus 2 good starters........ Food for thought....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: NIT PICKIN TUESDAY One thought is this, the absence of coach Madsen from Utah Valley tonight won't affect the score either way, imo. Coming next NT/Wisc is this consideration: both teams recently escaped with narrow road wins against opps that are roughly the same quality except that Wisconsin had the fortune of playing a team missing 2 starters ...so this is a coin-flipper imo, with UNT having a razor thin edge, but not worth a pregame risk on them Also, in that game Wisconsin needed the short-handed Oregon team to phuckup badly on the charity stripe, hitting only 4 of 12.....Had they hit their normal avg, Badgers would have lost to a team minus 2 good starters........ Food for thought....
sounds like u r leaning north texas right ?
"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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Posted:
#1265
Quote Originally Posted by Zeus4par:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: NIT PICKIN TUESDAY Also, in that game Wisconsin needed the short-handed Oregon team to phuckup badly on the charity stripe, hitting only 4 of 12.....Had they hit their normal avg, Badgers would have lost to a team minus 2 good starters........ Food for thought.... Think I might tail you on that and bet against Wisconsin
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: NIT PICKIN TUESDAY Also, in that game Wisconsin needed the short-handed Oregon team to phuckup badly on the charity stripe, hitting only 4 of 12.....Had they hit their normal avg, Badgers would have lost to a team minus 2 good starters........ Food for thought.... Think I might tail you on that and bet against Wisconsin
Whow, whoa, WHOA! I am NOT recommending either team, pre-game!
You are on your own.
But I can see possible value in-game on UNT *IF* the boxscore metrics lineup in their favor only
0
Posted:
#1266
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by Zeus4par: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: NIT PICKIN TUESDAY Also, in that game Wisconsin needed the short-handed Oregon team to phuckup badly on the charity stripe, hitting only 4 of 12.....Had they hit their normal avg, Badgers would have lost to a team minus 2 good starters........ Food for thought.... Think I might tail you on that and bet against Wisconsin Whow, whoa, WHOA! I am NOT recommending either team, pre-game! You are on your own. But I can see possible value in-game on UNT *IF* the boxscore metrics lineup in their favor only
Quote Originally Posted by Zeus4par: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: NIT PICKIN TUESDAY Also, in that game Wisconsin needed the short-handed Oregon team to phuckup badly on the charity stripe, hitting only 4 of 12.....Had they hit their normal avg, Badgers would have lost to a team minus 2 good starters........ Food for thought.... Think I might tail you on that and bet against Wisconsin Whow, whoa, WHOA! I am NOT recommending either team, pre-game! You are on your own. But I can see possible value in-game on UNT *IF* the boxscore metrics lineup in their favor only
I took North Texas anyway 
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Posted:
#1270
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Timeout at the 12 min mark, with Mean Green down 11 -18 They can get a line of +5 now.....but I'm hesitant...
What jumps out at me though is the Badgers shooting percentages early on are very high.....waaaaaaaaaaay above normal.....and that high just is not sustainable......it will come down considerable over the game.....
Timeout at the 12 min mark, with Mean Green down 11 -18 They can get a line of +5 now.....but I'm hesitant...
1
Posted:
#1271
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Timeout at the 12 min mark, with Mean Green down 11 -18 They can get a line of +5 now.....but I'm hesitant...What jumps out at me though is the Badgers shooting percentages early on are very high.....waaaaaaaaaaay above normal.....and that high just is not sustainable......it will come down considerable over the game.....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Timeout at the 12 min mark, with Mean Green down 11 -18 They can get a line of +5 now.....but I'm hesitant...What jumps out at me though is the Badgers shooting percentages early on are very high.....waaaaaaaaaaay above normal.....and that high just is not sustainable......it will come down considerable over the game.....
Down 10 pt....the line on UNT now up to +7.5
0
Posted:
#1272
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Timeout at the 12 min mark, with Mean Green down 11 -18 They can get a line of +5 now.....but I'm hesitant...What jumps out at me though is the Badgers shooting percentages early on are very high.....waaaaaaaaaaay above normal.....and that high just is not sustainable......it will come down considerable over the game..... Down 10 pt....the line on UNT now up to +7.5
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Timeout at the 12 min mark, with Mean Green down 11 -18 They can get a line of +5 now.....but I'm hesitant...What jumps out at me though is the Badgers shooting percentages early on are very high.....waaaaaaaaaaay above normal.....and that high just is not sustainable......it will come down considerable over the game..... Down 10 pt....the line on UNT now up to +7.5
Now down 24 - 38 so the line is up to +9.5
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Posted:
#1273
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Timeout at the 12 min mark, with Mean Green down 11 -18 They can get a line of +5 now.....but I'm hesitant...What jumps out at me though is the Badgers shooting percentages early on are very high.....waaaaaaaaaaay above normal.....and that high just is not sustainable......it will come down considerable over the game..... Down 10 pt....the line on UNT now up to +7.5 Now down 24 - 38 so the line is up to +9.5
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Timeout at the 12 min mark, with Mean Green down 11 -18 They can get a line of +5 now.....but I'm hesitant...What jumps out at me though is the Badgers shooting percentages early on are very high.....waaaaaaaaaaay above normal.....and that high just is not sustainable......it will come down considerable over the game..... Down 10 pt....the line on UNT now up to +7.5 Now down 24 - 38 so the line is up to +9.5
Badgers currently shooting 61% from the floor and 54.5% from the arc........NOT SUSTAINABLE!
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Posted:
#1275
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Badgers currently shooting 61% from the floor and 54.5% from the arc........NOT SUSTAINABLE! Timeout with 3mins left....Badgers 38 - 29 but line down to 5.5 Badgers shooting 58% and 50% from arc is still too high and will keep dropping.......
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Badgers currently shooting 61% from the floor and 54.5% from the arc........NOT SUSTAINABLE! Timeout with 3mins left....Badgers 38 - 29 but line down to 5.5 Badgers shooting 58% and 50% from arc is still too high and will keep dropping.......
Halftime...... Badgers up 41 - 29 .......12 pts, with the new line now 9.5 (or ML -750/+425)......Their % has dropped as anticipated but, good for them, they are taking many more shots and can maintain a scoring edge just in volume of shots at a lower percentage.....
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