1-28 Marketwatch

James Madison @ UNC Wilmington

Recent matchup January 9th:  James Madison at home won by 78-50 as the Seahawks committed 21 turnovers.  Vegas closing line was -8 for this game.  It's intriguing that Vegas opened this one up as a 1.5 favorite on the road.  It looks like an easy winner..but lets see what we know..James Madison 3-2 since the win and UNC Wilmington 3-1 since then. 

James Madison on the road 1-7

UNC Wilmington 7-1 at home

Line opened at 1.5 and has been pushed to 2.5 and may reach 3 in some spots. 

If the Seahawks handle the pressure any better then the last game TO rate will decrease the opponents points off turnovers (29). 

My feel of this game is that the revenge factor, the home and away factor and the opening of a short line attracts me to the UNC Wilmington Seahawks. 

All models that I'm utilizing are seeing anywhere from a 4 to 6 point victory from the Dukes yet they open this line this short..It's starting to come to fair value, but my gut is to take the Pete Carroll Seahawks with the points and a sprinkle on the ML..

Added Play:  UNC Wilmington +2.5 and ML

Thanks Crippler,

Have some time today as I've capped some of the games and have leans:  Not posted plays but if you action junkies are looking for wager action, I like the following:

Until Louisville rights the ship, Pittsburgh looks like the Play, Panthers +6/6.5

Agree with a great capper who likes the over in Marquette game..too bad we are on the different spectrums of the Louisville game..

Drexel minus the points...I have them in a couple of exotics..ML specifically..

Just some food for thought

ET,

NBA-I'm on Brooklyn -9.5 and Indiana +5.5...as well as a sprinkle on Philadelphia ML

Action,

Not directed directly at you...just for the Action junkie..wow, this was a weird sentence put together..

All set...Can't wait for the 1st half of MLB..Have had so much success for 1st half for past 3 years..

Quote Originally Posted by Jose_Reyes:

Good luck Gordo    

Good luck Jose..

I hear ya, my MLB models/systems are specific from last week of April til end of August.  Always great to know when/where you do your best work, gotta know when/where to exploit the market.  If you could accept my friend request, would love a chance to chat about u with some MLB and actually some CBB stuff bro.  On Wilmington with you tonight, looking for that SU upset as well