Our online database is history as of this week, so we'll get the research out of the way early.
Indigo lines early sportsbook lines
1) Ottawa +5' 37 Ottawa +3 44' Alouettes
2) Saskatchewan -4 40 Riders -2' 42' Bombers
3) Hamilton pik 43 Tiger Cats -3 42' Argos
4) Calgary -6 43 Stamps -3 40' Elks
Ottawa is absolutely unbackable at this stage, and the bookies will have to make their line look very attractive for anyone to be interested in them....I highly doubt they'll only be +3 by game time. Stamps look like they are a "play on" for the foreseeable future. Their qb is gonna be great...this will be the beginning of the end for both Masoli and Bo Levi Mitchell's careers.
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Our online database is history as of this week, so we'll get the research out of the way early.
Indigo lines early sportsbook lines
1) Ottawa +5' 37 Ottawa +3 44' Alouettes
2) Saskatchewan -4 40 Riders -2' 42' Bombers
3) Hamilton pik 43 Tiger Cats -3 42' Argos
4) Calgary -6 43 Stamps -3 40' Elks
Ottawa is absolutely unbackable at this stage, and the bookies will have to make their line look very attractive for anyone to be interested in them....I highly doubt they'll only be +3 by game time. Stamps look like they are a "play on" for the foreseeable future. Their qb is gonna be great...this will be the beginning of the end for both Masoli and Bo Levi Mitchell's careers.
A week 5 or 6 away divisional dog that played in at least two playoff games the season prior....2-8 ATS...VERSUS Elks
An away divisional dog with the better record, whose past season they had a worse record, in weeks 5-11......................... 4-12 ATS....VERSUS Argos (if away dog)
12>week>4 and AD, AF and tA(W)>oA(W) and PRSW<o:PRSW and DIV
A week 5 or 6 away divisional dog that played in at least two playoff games the season prior....2-8 ATS...VERSUS Elks
An away divisional dog with the better record, whose past season they had a worse record, in weeks 5-11......................... 4-12 ATS....VERSUS Argos (if away dog)
12>week>4 and AD, AF and tA(W)>oA(W) and PRSW<o:PRSW and DIV
Teams that missed the playoffs last season (Redblacks, Argos, Lions) as away divisional dogs have been 15-5 ATS in weeks 1-4...after that in weeks 5-8, they have been 5-11 ATS, so there is some reversion to the mean.
Away dogs past week 3 playing an unbeaten foe have been 14-5 ATS, 7-13 o/u, if this is a divisional game this moves to 6-1 ATS, 4-3 straight up.....Bombers
week>3 and AD and o:losses=0
Early leans.....Stamps, Tiger Cats. UNDER Redblacks
Teams that missed the playoffs last season (Redblacks, Argos, Lions) as away divisional dogs have been 15-5 ATS in weeks 1-4...after that in weeks 5-8, they have been 5-11 ATS, so there is some reversion to the mean.
Away dogs past week 3 playing an unbeaten foe have been 14-5 ATS, 7-13 o/u, if this is a divisional game this moves to 6-1 ATS, 4-3 straight up.....Bombers
week>3 and AD and o:losses=0
Early leans.....Stamps, Tiger Cats. UNDER Redblacks
Teams that missed the playoffs last season (Redblacks, Argos, Lions) as away divisional dogs have been 15-5 ATS in weeks 1-4...after that in weeks 5-8, they have been 5-11 ATS, so there is some reversion to the mean.
Away dogs past week 3 playing an unbeaten foe have been 14-5 ATS, 7-13 o/u, if this is a divisional game this moves to 6-1 ATS, 4-3 straight up.....Bombers
week>3 and AD and o:losses=0
Teams averaging less than 17 points/game in weeks 2-8 in divisional games have been 12-11 ATS, 19-5 OVER .....Tiger Cats, Redblacks, Elks....12-2 OVER if the total is less than 50.
tA(points)<17 and HF, HD, AF, AD and week<10 and DIV
Games will start going OVER, some time soon
Teams that missed the playoffs last season (Redblacks, Argos, Lions) as away divisional dogs have been 15-5 ATS in weeks 1-4...after that in weeks 5-8, they have been 5-11 ATS, so there is some reversion to the mean.
Away dogs past week 3 playing an unbeaten foe have been 14-5 ATS, 7-13 o/u, if this is a divisional game this moves to 6-1 ATS, 4-3 straight up.....Bombers
week>3 and AD and o:losses=0
Teams averaging less than 17 points/game in weeks 2-8 in divisional games have been 12-11 ATS, 19-5 OVER .....Tiger Cats, Redblacks, Elks....12-2 OVER if the total is less than 50.
tA(points)<17 and HF, HD, AF, AD and week<10 and DIV
The Bombers fit into a 114-50 ATS angle as an away dog who will be favored their next two games. If that away dog has the lesser winning percentage compared to their present opponent, this moves to 47-15 ATS, 75.8%.
The Betregal future line has the Bombers home dogs their next game versus the Riders, which is incorrect as there is a difference of 6 points in the line between playing a team on the road and playing the same team at home.
Calgary fits a 38-91 ATS (29.5%) angle where a home favorite will be a underdog their next two games...the Stamps will be dogs at Edmonton and then at Hamilton after their game versus Edmonton at home as home favorites this week.
HF and n:D and nn:D and nn:playoffs=0
The Bombers fit into a 114-50 ATS angle as an away dog who will be favored their next two games. If that away dog has the lesser winning percentage compared to their present opponent, this moves to 47-15 ATS, 75.8%.
The Betregal future line has the Bombers home dogs their next game versus the Riders, which is incorrect as there is a difference of 6 points in the line between playing a team on the road and playing the same team at home.
Calgary fits a 38-91 ATS (29.5%) angle where a home favorite will be a underdog their next two games...the Stamps will be dogs at Edmonton and then at Hamilton after their game versus Edmonton at home as home favorites this week.
Here is a similar angle favoring the Cardinals week 1 in the NFL.....
an away dog that will be favored their next two games versus a team that will be a dog in one of their next two games. We stipulate that our play ON team won less than 9 games the prior season and also won less games than their present opponent the prior season.
The Cards will be favored week 2 at home over the Vikings and week 3 on the road versus the Jags, while the Titans will be road dogs versus the Seahawks week 2 and then home favorites week three over the Colts.
95-26 ATS
AD and nn:F and n:F and week<10 and PRSW<o:PRSW and opS(playoffs)>0 and PRSW<9 and (on:D or onn:D)
Here is a similar angle favoring the Cardinals week 1 in the NFL.....
an away dog that will be favored their next two games versus a team that will be a dog in one of their next two games. We stipulate that our play ON team won less than 9 games the prior season and also won less games than their present opponent the prior season.
The Cards will be favored week 2 at home over the Vikings and week 3 on the road versus the Jags, while the Titans will be road dogs versus the Seahawks week 2 and then home favorites week three over the Colts.
95-26 ATS
AD and nn:F and n:F and week<10 and PRSW<o:PRSW and opS(playoffs)>0 and PRSW<9 and (on:D or onn:D)
Here is a 96-34 ATS NFL angle whose criteria is met in the Eagles/Falcons game.
An away dog, whose line will be the stronger line in their following game compared to their present opponent's line and who present opponent will be underdogs the next two games.
The Eagles' lookahead line week 2 is +4 and the Falcons' is +8. In week 3 the Falcons will be road dogs to the Giants and the Eagles also will be dogs.....we exclude Sunday night games.
ON Eagles
AD and n:line<on:line and onn:D and nn:D and week<5 and snf!=1
This angle moves to 47-10 ATS (+9.37) if we stipulate the next game our play ON team's line is at least 3 points stronger and our game is a non-divisional matchup.
AD and n:line-on:line<-3 and onn:D and nn:D and week<5 and snf!=1 and not DIV
Here is a 96-34 ATS NFL angle whose criteria is met in the Eagles/Falcons game.
An away dog, whose line will be the stronger line in their following game compared to their present opponent's line and who present opponent will be underdogs the next two games.
The Eagles' lookahead line week 2 is +4 and the Falcons' is +8. In week 3 the Falcons will be road dogs to the Giants and the Eagles also will be dogs.....we exclude Sunday night games.
ON Eagles
AD and n:line<on:line and onn:D and nn:D and week<5 and snf!=1
This angle moves to 47-10 ATS (+9.37) if we stipulate the next game our play ON team's line is at least 3 points stronger and our game is a non-divisional matchup.
AD and n:line-on:line<-3 and onn:D and nn:D and week<5 and snf!=1 and not DIV
Our Alouettes play is based on a angle I alluded to earlier.....
a) We take a team off of two losses in a row and put them on the road 111-100 ATS.
b) We make it a divisional game which brings this to 64-48 ATS.
c) We make it before week 10....28-11 ATS.
d) We make it that our team has underperformed offensively, scoring at least 7 points less than expected their past two games......21-3 ATS (+9.98).....away favorites have been 8-0 ATS in this situation winning by an average of 19 points/game. If we take away the parameter that this game is before week 10, this has been 12-1-1 as away favorites, covering by over 10 points/game and winning by an average of 14 points.
p:L and pp:L and A and DIV and week<10 and tS(dps, N=2)<-7 and AF, AD
Our Alouettes play is based on a angle I alluded to earlier.....
a) We take a team off of two losses in a row and put them on the road 111-100 ATS.
b) We make it a divisional game which brings this to 64-48 ATS.
c) We make it before week 10....28-11 ATS.
d) We make it that our team has underperformed offensively, scoring at least 7 points less than expected their past two games......21-3 ATS (+9.98).....away favorites have been 8-0 ATS in this situation winning by an average of 19 points/game. If we take away the parameter that this game is before week 10, this has been 12-1-1 as away favorites, covering by over 10 points/game and winning by an average of 14 points.
p:L and pp:L and A and DIV and week<10 and tS(dps, N=2)<-7 and AF, AD
Six games out of seven that there was a noted difference between the Indigo line/total and Mister Bookmaker's line, the public has moved the line towards our line away from the original bookmaker line.
That tells me that my lines are better and/or more accurate than whoever is making the original CFL lines.
Six games out of seven that there was a noted difference between the Indigo line/total and Mister Bookmaker's line, the public has moved the line towards our line away from the original bookmaker line.
That tells me that my lines are better and/or more accurate than whoever is making the original CFL lines.
If any game total goes under, my guess is probably Montreal Ottawa game. Both teams rank in bottom four in offensive yards per game.
In labor weekend, 3 of 4 games involve same teams meeting again next week. Home teams tend to win straight up roughly 75% of the time. Unsure about point spread though.
If any game total goes under, my guess is probably Montreal Ottawa game. Both teams rank in bottom four in offensive yards per game.
In labor weekend, 3 of 4 games involve same teams meeting again next week. Home teams tend to win straight up roughly 75% of the time. Unsure about point spread though.
6) Stamps/Elks OVER 42 ....yes I am a masochist, I know
7) Tiger Cats/Argonauts OVER 44...expect these two teams to let 'er rip.
Teams averaging less than 17 points per game at home with a record below .500 before week 10 in divisional games have been 9-2 OVER.............Tiger Cats....(and Redblacks who I don't know if they can score more than 14 points)
Teams averaging less than 17 points per game before week 10 on the road with a record <500 in divisional games have been 8-3 OVER, 7-0 OVER if the total is <50....Eskimos OVER
4) Alouettes -3'
3) Bombers +4
2) Stamps -3'
1) Argos +3'
Adding:
5) Redblacks/Alouettes UNDER 43
6) Stamps/Elks OVER 42 ....yes I am a masochist, I know
7) Tiger Cats/Argonauts OVER 44...expect these two teams to let 'er rip.
Teams averaging less than 17 points per game at home with a record below .500 before week 10 in divisional games have been 9-2 OVER.............Tiger Cats....(and Redblacks who I don't know if they can score more than 14 points)
Teams averaging less than 17 points per game before week 10 on the road with a record <500 in divisional games have been 8-3 OVER, 7-0 OVER if the total is <50....Eskimos OVER
One tidbit....in September teams that have more rushing attempts than their opponents that are dogs of <10 cover 72.6% of the time.
In a team's first game this is how it breaks down....
As:
Home dogs <10 19-3 ATS (+7.55)
Away dogs <10 33-13 ATS (5.64)
Home dogs >=10 10-7 ATS (-0.18)
Away dogs >=10 140-82 ATS (4.67)
The most likely teams to out rush attempt their opponent?....of course it is the military schools.
Let's see how each of the present coaches have performed as dogs excluding the games they played other military schools.
Navy's Niumatalolo
Home dog 7-9 ATS
Away dog 22-12 ATS......17-6 ATS in October/November/December
Army's Monken
Home dog 3-4 ATS
Away dogs 8-9 ATS.....8-4 ATS in September/October
Air Force's
Calhoun
Home dogs 9-8 ATS
Away dogs 18-15 ATS.....16-6 ATS in September/October
Obviously, or maybe not to some, service academies don't do well as home dogs.
Army and Air Force have done very well early season as away dogs, and Navy has done very well as later in the season away dogs.
If you or anyone else can know in advance who will attempt more rushes in a game, you are a genius, and you will win in college football betting,.....it is the Golden Goose that produces Golden Eggs.
College football, it's happening.
One tidbit....in September teams that have more rushing attempts than their opponents that are dogs of <10 cover 72.6% of the time.
In a team's first game this is how it breaks down....
As:
Home dogs <10 19-3 ATS (+7.55)
Away dogs <10 33-13 ATS (5.64)
Home dogs >=10 10-7 ATS (-0.18)
Away dogs >=10 140-82 ATS (4.67)
The most likely teams to out rush attempt their opponent?....of course it is the military schools.
Let's see how each of the present coaches have performed as dogs excluding the games they played other military schools.
Navy's Niumatalolo
Home dog 7-9 ATS
Away dog 22-12 ATS......17-6 ATS in October/November/December
Army's Monken
Home dog 3-4 ATS
Away dogs 8-9 ATS.....8-4 ATS in September/October
Air Force's
Calhoun
Home dogs 9-8 ATS
Away dogs 18-15 ATS.....16-6 ATS in September/October
Obviously, or maybe not to some, service academies don't do well as home dogs.
Army and Air Force have done very well early season as away dogs, and Navy has done very well as later in the season away dogs.
If you or anyone else can know in advance who will attempt more rushes in a game, you are a genius, and you will win in college football betting,.....it is the Golden Goose that produces Golden Eggs.
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