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    All Forums | CFL

    CFL WEEK 5: 7-9 ATS // 11-5 ML

    slushie007
    thirdperson
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 284
    Posts: 3
     
    slushie007
    slushie007
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2012
    Posts: 459
    Posted: Jul. 4, 2024 - 11:25 AM ET #1

    TOR @ SK +4.5
    The Argos were pretty mediocre last week against the Als, but they were playing the Als who are the best team in the league. Now they have to travel out West to SK on a short week with the Riders coming off a bye week going up against their former defensive coordinator now head coach of the Riders Corey Mace. This is a bad spot for Toronto. The Argos own the #2 run defence and Riders #1. Carey leads the league in rushing (230 yards) so it will be an interesting matchup here with Ouellette also going up against his former team.

    The Riders are coming off the bye and will be without Trevor Harris and Shawn Bane in this one. Shea Patterson is making his first start but he has great potential and he can run with the ball. The Riders have really impressed me so far this year, albeit they've beaten Edmonton and Hamilton twice who are a combined 0-8. They'll have to work much harder in this one missing Harris which is what I was scared of at the start of the year but Patterson, Ouellette and their plethora of WRs will make enough plays on offense to win them this game. And if the defense shows up like they did last game, then watch out Dukes. Weather/wind shouldn't be a factor. I am 3-0 ATS and ML on the Riders this year, rolling with them again to a 4-0 start in a low scoring game.
    22-18 Riders


    OTT @ WPG -2
    What a wild ending in the HAM OTT game last week. Hamilton could smell their first win up until the last play of the game but Ottawa prevailed. Now Ottawa will travel to Winnipeg facing a dangerous 0-4 Bombers team likely playing without Collaros who is listed as questionable. Ottawa is a much improved team from last year and Dru Brown appears to be on the right track and will be playing his old team here.

    Winnipeg is getting closer and improving, losing the last 3 games by a combined 9 points (losing by 3,2 and 4 points). They are more then due, they are overdue for a win at home against one of the weaker teams in the league. I am 0-4 ATS and ML on the Bombers this year so proceed with caution. Winnipeg knows Dru Brown better then Dru Brown knows Winnipeg in my opinion. Riding them again this week to get their first win and cover.
    24-15 Bombers


    CAL +10 @ MTL
    Calgary came up with a big win in OT against the Bombers this week. Their offense continues to be inconsistent but defense is playing well. If Maier is cold and Mills isn't running well then it won't be too pleasant of a day for the Stamps. Houston also has missed 2 days of practise in a row which isn't a great sign for him playing especially with Philpot lining up on the other side who is averaging over 100 receiving yards per game.

    Montreal just keeps rolling along. They've allowed the fewest PPG and YPG and lead the league in takeaways and sacks. Fajardo is also leading TD drives over 25% of their possessions and leads the league in passer rating (115.9). The Als also lead the league in offensive PPG (31.8), offensive TDs (14), and a bunch of other categories. Montreal wins but Calgary covers. This is a lot of points and I also am not ready to jump to bet this game. Montreal could also completely roll over an annihilate the Stamps too.
    27-19 Alouettes

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    TOR @ SK +4.5
    The Argos were pretty mediocre last week against the Als, but they were playing the Als who are the best team in the league. Now they have to travel out West to SK on a short week with the Riders coming off a bye week going up against their former defensive coordinator now head coach of the Riders Corey Mace. This is a bad spot for Toronto. The Argos own the #2 run defence and Riders #1. Carey leads the league in rushing (230 yards) so it will be an interesting matchup here with Ouellette also going up against his former team.

    The Riders are coming off the bye and will be without Trevor Harris and Shawn Bane in this one. Shea Patterson is making his first start but he has great potential and he can run with the ball. The Riders have really impressed me so far this year, albeit they've beaten Edmonton and Hamilton twice who are a combined 0-8. They'll have to work much harder in this one missing Harris which is what I was scared of at the start of the year but Patterson, Ouellette and their plethora of WRs will make enough plays on offense to win them this game. And if the defense shows up like they did last game, then watch out Dukes. Weather/wind shouldn't be a factor. I am 3-0 ATS and ML on the Riders this year, rolling with them again to a 4-0 start in a low scoring game.
    22-18 Riders


    OTT @ WPG -2
    What a wild ending in the HAM OTT game last week. Hamilton could smell their first win up until the last play of the game but Ottawa prevailed. Now Ottawa will travel to Winnipeg facing a dangerous 0-4 Bombers team likely playing without Collaros who is listed as questionable. Ottawa is a much improved team from last year and Dru Brown appears to be on the right track and will be playing his old team here.

    Winnipeg is getting closer and improving, losing the last 3 games by a combined 9 points (losing by 3,2 and 4 points). They are more then due, they are overdue for a win at home against one of the weaker teams in the league. I am 0-4 ATS and ML on the Bombers this year so proceed with caution. Winnipeg knows Dru Brown better then Dru Brown knows Winnipeg in my opinion. Riding them again this week to get their first win and cover.
    24-15 Bombers


    CAL +10 @ MTL
    Calgary came up with a big win in OT against the Bombers this week. Their offense continues to be inconsistent but defense is playing well. If Maier is cold and Mills isn't running well then it won't be too pleasant of a day for the Stamps. Houston also has missed 2 days of practise in a row which isn't a great sign for him playing especially with Philpot lining up on the other side who is averaging over 100 receiving yards per game.

    Montreal just keeps rolling along. They've allowed the fewest PPG and YPG and lead the league in takeaways and sacks. Fajardo is also leading TD drives over 25% of their possessions and leads the league in passer rating (115.9). The Als also lead the league in offensive PPG (31.8), offensive TDs (14), and a bunch of other categories. Montreal wins but Calgary covers. This is a lot of points and I also am not ready to jump to bet this game. Montreal could also completely roll over an annihilate the Stamps too.
    27-19 Alouettes

     
    slushie007
    slushie007
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2012
    Posts: 459
    Posted: Jul. 4, 2024 - 11:30 AM ET #2

    BC @ HAM +5
    The Lions haven't really impressed me this year like I thought they would, barely beating the Elks by 3 and Bombers by 2 points the last 2 weeks but it's still early into the season. They aren't afraid to air the ball out. Adams has attempted more deep passes than any other QB and leads the league in yards passing and a TD:INT ratio of 7:1.

    This feels like a weird game to me and one the TiCats will possibly win. I just have that gut feeling. Another game I am not rushing to bet with BC having to fly across country to Hamilton. Bo Levi and Tim White had huge games last week. Bo threw for 322 yards and 2 TDs, White had 118 yards and 1 TD. Hamilton has given up the most PA this year at 125, but they keep this game close or even squeak out their 1st win of the season. I am going to say Lions win but TiCats cover.
    27-24 Lions


    TEASERS: 5-2
    TEASER: 6 pts

    SK +10.5
    I love SK in this spot with them coming off the bye and the Argos traveling West on the short week, and you give me a 10 point cushion? Yes please.

    Don't like anything else teased this week, but if I had to pick a 2nd game I'd go with WPG +4


    TOP OFFENSIVE GRADE: Montreal Alouettes - the highest scoring team of the week that looks almost next to impossible to stop and get them to punt. Once they create a bit more balance in the running game watch out.

    TOP DEFENSIVE GRADE: Montreal Alouettes - holding the Argos to only 20 points, Dukes under 200 yards and holding Carey to 61 yards rushing is a pretty good day at the office and turning into the normal for the Alouettes.


    MY POWER RANKINGS:
    1)Montreal (1)
    2)Toronto (2)
    3)Saskatchewan (3)
    4)BC (4)
    5)Calgary (5)
    6)Ottawa (7)
    7)Edmonton (6)
    8)Winnipeg (8)
    9)Hamilton (9)

    Only change this week is Ottawa jumping Edmonton 1 spot.

    Good luck!

    Reply

    BC @ HAM +5
    The Lions haven't really impressed me this year like I thought they would, barely beating the Elks by 3 and Bombers by 2 points the last 2 weeks but it's still early into the season. They aren't afraid to air the ball out. Adams has attempted more deep passes than any other QB and leads the league in yards passing and a TD:INT ratio of 7:1.

    This feels like a weird game to me and one the TiCats will possibly win. I just have that gut feeling. Another game I am not rushing to bet with BC having to fly across country to Hamilton. Bo Levi and Tim White had huge games last week. Bo threw for 322 yards and 2 TDs, White had 118 yards and 1 TD. Hamilton has given up the most PA this year at 125, but they keep this game close or even squeak out their 1st win of the season. I am going to say Lions win but TiCats cover.
    27-24 Lions


    TEASERS: 5-2
    TEASER: 6 pts

    SK +10.5
    I love SK in this spot with them coming off the bye and the Argos traveling West on the short week, and you give me a 10 point cushion? Yes please.

    Don't like anything else teased this week, but if I had to pick a 2nd game I'd go with WPG +4


    TOP OFFENSIVE GRADE: Montreal Alouettes - the highest scoring team of the week that looks almost next to impossible to stop and get them to punt. Once they create a bit more balance in the running game watch out.

    TOP DEFENSIVE GRADE: Montreal Alouettes - holding the Argos to only 20 points, Dukes under 200 yards and holding Carey to 61 yards rushing is a pretty good day at the office and turning into the normal for the Alouettes.


    MY POWER RANKINGS:
    1)Montreal (1)
    2)Toronto (2)
    3)Saskatchewan (3)
    4)BC (4)
    5)Calgary (5)
    6)Ottawa (7)
    7)Edmonton (6)
    8)Winnipeg (8)
    9)Hamilton (9)

    Only change this week is Ottawa jumping Edmonton 1 spot.

    Good luck!

     
     
    thirdperson
    thirdperson
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2005
    Posts: 9431
    Posted: Jul. 4, 2024 - 2:21 PM ET #3

    After 4 weeks, 4-0 ATS for 4 team teasers with 13 points total over.  This week, Toronto-Saskatchewan over 35, Ottawa-Winnipeg over 33, Calgary-Montreal over 37 and BC-Hamilton over 39.

    Reply

    After 4 weeks, 4-0 ATS for 4 team teasers with 13 points total over.  This week, Toronto-Saskatchewan over 35, Ottawa-Winnipeg over 33, Calgary-Montreal over 37 and BC-Hamilton over 39.

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