F1 United States Grand Prix Prediction, Picks & Odds – Circuit of the Americas 2025

Max Verstappen is seen as a strong contender to notch a fourth career United States GP win. Our F1 expert breaks down the field and delivers his best bets following qualifying.

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst
Oct 15, 2025 • 13:25 ET • 4 min read
Max Verstappen F1
Photo By - Imagn Images. Max Verstappen celebrates a win.

Formula One heads to Austin, TX and Circuit of the Americas for the United States Grand Prix on Sunday, October 19.

Max Verstappen is a three-time winner and is seen as the one to beat in the F1 odds, although Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri are in close pursuit.

Don't miss our United States GP predictions and free betting picks following qualifying.

2025 F1 United States Grand Prix odds

Driver bet365
Red Bull Max Verstappen +200
McLaren Lando Norris +210
McLaren Oscar Piastri +240
Mercedes George Russell +1100
Ferrari Charles Leclerc +1400
Ferrari Lewis Hamilton +2000
Mercedes Kimi Antonelli +6600
Williams Carlos Sainz +30000
Williams Alex Albon +30000
Aston Martin Fernando Alonso +30000
Red Bull Yuki Tsunoda +30000
VCARB Liam Lawson +30000
VCARB Isack Hadjar +30000
Alpine Pierre Gasly +50000
Alpine Franco Colapinto +50000
Haas Esteban Ocon +50000
Haas Oliver Bearman +50000
Kick Sauber Nico Hulkenberg +50000
Kick Sauber Gabriel Bortoleto +50000
Aston Martin Lance Stroll +50000

Odds as of 10-15.

F1 United States Grand Prix 2025 pre-qualifying favorites

You can throw a blanket over Max Verstappen, Lando Norris, and Oscar Piastri in the United States Grand Prix odds, with Verstappen at +200, Norris at +210, and Piastri at +240.

Although McLaren has had a stranglehold on proceedings for most of 2025, Verstappen has been the hottest of the Top 3 in the United States GP betting and is a three-time winner of this race.

Charles Leclerc, who won this event in 2024, is the fifth-choice, just behind Singapore GP winner George Russell.

Previous F1 United States Grand Prix winners

Year Driver Team
2024 Charles Leclerc Ferrari
2023 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2022 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2021 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2020 Race Not Held — COVID-19 N/A
2019 Valtteri Bottas Mercedes

Understanding F1 betting odds

The most popular way to bet on Formula 1 odds is by simply picking the winner of a particular race. Other popular F1 betting options include which car/constructor will win and whether or not a particular race car driver will end up on the podium with a Top-3 finish.

F1 race odds usually look like this:

  • Charles Leclerc +400

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to profit $400 if Leclerc wins that particular race. If one driver is especially dominant, you might see a minus sign (-) ahead of that driver's odds like this:

  • Max Verstappen -120

This means that you would need to bet $120 to win $100 on Verstappen winning the race.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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