F1 Mexican Grand Prix Prediction, Picks & Odds – Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez 2025

Max Verstappen's march toward a fifth straight championship continues in Mexico this Sunday. Our F1 expert provides free picks and odds analysis following qualifying.

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst
Oct 22, 2025 • 14:00 ET • 4 min read
Max Verstappen F1
Photo By - Imagn Images. Oracle Red Bull Racing driver Max Verstappen (1) of Team Netherlands raises his trophy after winning the 2025 US Grand Prix at Circuit of The Americas.

The Max Verstappen train is rolling full steam ahead into Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez and the Mexican Grand Prix on Sunday, October 26.

The four-time defending champion is the betting favorite in the F1 odds as he seeks his fourth win in five years in this race. Can the suddenly ice-cold McLaren teammates in Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri stop him?

Check out our free betting picks and Mexican GP predictions once qualifying is complete.

2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix odds

Driver bet365
Red Bull Max Verstappen +125
McLaren Lando Norris +225
McLaren Oscar Piastri +333
Mercedes George Russell +1200
Ferrari Charles Leclerc +1600
Ferrari Lewis Hamilton +2500
Mercedes Kimi Antonelli +5000
Williams Carlos Sainz +10000
Williams Alex Albon +10000
Aston Martin Fernando Alonso +20000
VCARB Isack Hadjar +30000
VCARB Liam Lawson +40000
Red Bull Yuki Tsunoda +50000
Alpine Pierre Gasly +50000
Alpine Franco Colapinto +50000
Haas Esteban Ocon +50000
Haas Oliver Bearman +50000
Kick Sauber Nico Hulkenberg +50000
Kick Sauber Gabriel Bortoleto +50000
Aston Martin Lance Stroll +50000

Odds as of 10-22.

F1 Mexican Grand Prix 2025 pre-qualifying favorites

Max Verstappen opened at +125 to win the Mexican GP as he looks for his fourth win in five races. Lando Norris is +225 while looking to snap a five-race losing streak, while Oscar Piastri is +333. 

Further down the betting board is George Russell at +1200, just ahead of Charles Leclerc at +1600. 

Previous F1 Mexican Grand Prix winners

Year Driver Team
2024 Carlos Sainz Jr. Ferrari
2023 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2022 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2021 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2020 Canceled due to the COVID-19 pandemic N/A
2019 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes

Understanding F1 betting odds

The most popular way to bet on Formula 1 odds is by simply picking the winner of a particular race. Other popular F1 betting options include which car/constructor will win and whether or not a particular race car driver will end up on the podium with a Top-3 finish.

F1 race odds usually look like this:

  • Charles Leclerc +400

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to profit $400 if Leclerc wins that particular race. If one driver is especially dominant, you might see a minus sign (-) ahead of that driver's odds like this:

  • Max Verstappen -120

This means that you would need to bet $120 to win $100 on Verstappen winning the race.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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