F1 Mexican Grand Prix Prediction, Picks & Odds – Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez 2025

Max Verstappen's march toward a fifth straight championship continues in Mexico on Sunday. Our F1 expert provides free picks and odds analysis following qualifying.

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Oct 25, 2025 • 19:56 ET • 4 min read
Max Verstappen F1
Photo By - Imagn Images. Red Bull Racing driver Max Verstappen (1) raises the trophy after winning the 2025 US Grand Prix.

The Max Verstappen train is rolling full steam ahead into Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez and the Mexican Grand Prix.

Despite Lando Norris claiming pole position on Saturday, Max Verstappen remains the betting favorite in the F1 odds as he chases his fourth win in five years at this event.

With qualifying in the books, here are our free betting picks and Mexican GP predictions for Sunday, October 26.

2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix odds

Driver bet365
Red Bull Max Verstappen +120
McLaren Lando Norris +225
McLaren Oscar Piastri +350
Mercedes George Russell +1200
Ferrari Charles Leclerc +1600
Ferrari Lewis Hamilton +2500
Mercedes Kimi Antonelli +5000
Aston Martin Fernando Alonso +20000
VCARB Isack Hadjar +30000
VCARB Liam Lawson +40000
Williams Carlos Sainz +50000
Williams Alex Albon +50000
Red Bull Yuki Tsunoda +50000
Alpine Pierre Gasly +50000
Alpine Franco Colapinto +50000
Haas Esteban Ocon +50000
Haas Oliver Bearman +50000
Kick Sauber Nico Hulkenberg +50000
Kick Sauber Gabriel Bortoleto +50000
Aston Martin Lance Stroll +50000

Odds as of 10-25.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

F1 Mexican Grand Prix post-qualifying picks

F1 Mexican Grand Prix Prediction: Lando Norris to win
(+225 at bet365)

Lando Norris hasn’t won since going back-to-back in the British Grand Prix and Hungarian Grand Prix, but that doesn’t mean he hasn’t been racing well. Norris finished second at last week’s United States Grand Prix, the third time in four races he’s found the podium.

He’s hard to overcome when sitting in the pole position: he’s grabbed it four times this season and gone on to victory three times.

Norris has also been fast on the Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez track, finishing second last year. With plenty at stake, he should guide his McLaren to a checkered flag.

F1 Mexican Grand Prix prop pick: Max Verstappen to record a podium finish
(-188 at bet365)

Max Verstappen is just driving so well, and his Red Bull ride might even be the best car on the circuit currently — even over the McLaren.

You could make the case that Piastri’s desperation is worth a +450 wager, but he’s got a ton of ground to make up. Stick with Verstappen to make a move in Mexico City.

This is also a fade of Ferrari, who haven’t exactly been lighting it up this season.

Charles Leclerc has been the better of the pair, with six podium finishes. However, his third-place finish last week in Austin marked his first podium in the last five races.

Lewis Hamilton, meanwhile, hasn’t even touched the podium this season, matching his season-best fourth at the US Grand Prix.

F1 Mexican Grand Prix 2025 starting grid

Position Driver Position Driver
1 Norris  2 Leclerc 
3 Hamilton  4 Russell 
5  Verstappen 6 Antonelli 
7  Sainz 8  Piastri
9  Hadjar 10 Bearman 
11 Tsunoda 12 Ocon
13 Hulkenberg 14 Alonso
15 Lawson 16 Bortoleto
17 Albon 18 Gasly
19 Stroll 20 Colapinto

F1 Mexican Grand Prix 2025 pre-qualifying favorites

Max Verstappen opened at +125 to win the Mexican GP as he looks for his fourth win in five races. Lando Norris is +225 while looking to snap a five-race losing streak, while Oscar Piastri is +333. 

Further down the betting board is George Russell at +1200, just ahead of Charles Leclerc at +1600. 

Previous F1 Mexican Grand Prix winners

Year Driver Team
2024 Carlos Sainz Jr. Ferrari
2023 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2022 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2021 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2020 Canceled due to the COVID-19 pandemic N/A
2019 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes

Understanding F1 betting odds

The most popular way to bet on Formula 1 odds is by simply picking the winner of a particular race. Other popular F1 betting options include which car/constructor will win and whether or not a particular race car driver will end up on the podium with a Top-3 finish.

F1 race odds usually look like this:

  • Charles Leclerc +400

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to profit $400 if Leclerc wins that particular race. If one driver is especially dominant, you might see a minus sign (-) ahead of that driver's odds like this:

  • Max Verstappen -120

This means that you would need to bet $120 to win $100 on Verstappen winning the race.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo