We don’t have long to wait until we find out who will be next to leave Dancing with the Stars, and prediction market traders are now making their selections on this week’s elimination market.
There’s now over $6.1 million on the episode seven DWTS elimination market on Kalshi. Traders continue to put money on Tyler Cameron as the most likely celeb to go, but his ‘Yes’ price isn’t nearly as high as it was this time last week, when traders of course got it wrong.
Dancing with the Stars Episode Seven Elimination Odds
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Key Takeaways:
- Tyler Cameron Still Leads Exit Odds: Tyler Cameron remains the frontrunner on this week’s elimination market at 20¢. However, traders are less definitive than they were for episode six, recognising the fact that this weekly market hasn’t been right yet.
- Jackson Olson is Right Behind: Savannah Bananas star Jackson Olson is hot on Cameron’s heels. Olson’s current exit price is 18¢.
- Danger Zone: Tatyana Ali has moved up into third place at 11¢, with Connor Wood not far off her price at 10¢.
- Market History: This market has proven remarkably unpredictable week after week, with recent favorites managing to survive live eliminations.
As the stars put the finishing touches on their routines for tomorrow night’s live show (Tuesday, Oct 20), we’re looking for value on a prediction market that’s proven almost impossible to predict so far! Here’s the latest.
Dancing with the Stars Elimination Odds: Episode Seven
Traders are focusing their attention on a few key stars in the week seven elimination market, but if past experience is anything to go by this doesn’t actually translate to real danger for the stars in question.
The star with the highest exit probability for week seven is former Bachelorette favorite Tyler Cameron (20%). But he was also the favorite last week, and he survived to dance another day. Can he do it again?
If there’s one thing traders are agreed on, it’s that favorites on this season’s winners market are safe from the threat of elimination. Contestants like Amber Glenn, Ezra Frech, Harry Shum Jr., and Maura Higgins are safe, trading at or below 1¢.
| Celebrity |  |
Buy 'yes' | Buy 'no' |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Cameron | 20% | 20¢ | 81¢ |
| Jackson Olson | 17% | 18¢ | 83¢ |
| Tatyana Ali | 11% | 11¢ | 90¢ |
| Connor Wood | 10% | 10¢ | 91¢ |
| Jenna Dewan | 3% | 3¢ | 98¢ |
Top Picks from the Dancing with the Stars Week Seven Elimination Prediction Market
Tyler Cameron | 'Yes' 20¢
Tyler Cameron has once again emerged as this market’s top pick for elimination heading into episode seven.
Bachelor Nation historically brings massive voting power to Dancing with the Stars, but traders are still skeptical about Cameron's staying power.
Lower relative judges' scores combined with tougher competition make him a prime target for elimination on October 20.
Jackson Olson | 'No' 83¢
There are solid 'No' options on this board. Considering how hard this market has been to predict in recent weeks, backing fan favorites to stay is a good move.
Jackson Olson has an 83% probability of making it through episode seven. Partnered with Emma Slater, the Savannah Bananas star brings a massive fan base and entertainment factor that could keep him safe even if his actual dance scores continue to lag behind the competition.
Tatyana Ali | 'Yes' 11¢
Another contender finding themselves in trouble this week is Tatyana Ali, who is currently trading at 11¢ for elimination during tomorrow night’s show.
Ali has made fantastic progress so far, but the competition is getting tougher and at this point we always see a few start to fall behind. Tatyana’s 11% probability makes her a decent mid-tier value play if Tyler Cameron or Jackson Olson manage to dodge the bottom two this week.
Looking Beyond Episode Seven? The Season 35 Winner Market
Surviving elimination in week seven is the priority for many of our contestants, but for others there’s a far bigger prize in mind.
Traders have been backing their picks for the eventual champion since before opening night, and it’s resulted in one of the fastest-moving markets on Kalshi right now.
Odds have been shifting fast as traders react to performances as well as immediate fan reactions, but the top contenders have remained consistent for several weeks now.
For an in-depth look at overall Dancing with the Stars winner odds, value longshots and reality show trading tips, visit our dedicated Dancing with the Stars Season 35 winner market page.
How to Trade Dancing with the Stars on Kalshi
Kalshi prediction markets are different from traditional sports betting.
Instead of placing basic bets on outcomes, Kalshi lets traders put money on 'Yes' or 'No' answers to real-world events.
There are markets for almost every outcome, from sports and politics to reality shows and music charts.
Here’s how to sign up and start trading Dancing with the Stars on Kalshi:
- Account Setup: Sign up on Kalshi, complete the quick verification process, and deposit funds via ACH or bank transfer.
- Navigate: Search for "Dancing with the Stars" or browse under the Pop Culture tab to locate the Episode 7 Elimination market.
- Analyze: Review real-time pricing and probability charts.
- Execute: Select your chosen contestant, choose 'yes' or 'no', enter your contract quantity, and confirm your order.
- Monitor: Track price shifts in real time and choose to either hold until official resolution or sell early to lock in profits.
Dancing with the Stars Episode Seven Elimination FAQs
Tyler Cameron is currently the market favorite for elimination with a 20% implied probability on Kalshi. Jackson Olson (18%) and Tatyana Ali (11%) follow behind as the next most likely contenders for exit. Prices fluctuate continuously based on fan voting and rehearsal updates.
Prices on Kalshi directly mirror the market's implied probability for an event outcome. For instance, a 'Yes' contract trading at 20¢ represents a 20% chance of exit. A 'No' contract at 83¢ implies an 83% chance the contestant stays safe.
The market resolves to 'Yes' for whichever contestant is officially declared eliminated during the broadcast or press release. Multiple simultaneous eliminations both count toward payouts. If no elimination occurs during the episode, contracts resolve according to official show rules.
Yes, traders can buy or sell their positions at any point before the market closes. This allows investors to profit off price swings driven by social media hype or live performances. You do not need to hold contracts until the final resolution.
