The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series odds still go through Denny Hamlin, but Kyle Larson has crept into the conversation after snapping his long losing streak at WWT Raceway.
Christopher Bell and Ryan Blaney are also proving to be popular options with only eight races remaining.
Let's look at the latest NASCAR Cup Series odds.
NASCAR Cup Series odds
| Driver Name |  Probability |
|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 33% |
| Kyle Larson | 21% |
| Christopher Bell | 18% |
| Ryan Blaney | 11% |
| Joey Logano | 6% |
| Tyler Reddick | 5% |
| Chase Briscoe | 4% |
| Ty Gibbs | 4% |
| Chase Elliott | 1% |
| Bubba Wallace | 1% |
Odds as of 9-15. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
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NASCAR Cup Series odds movement
- Kyle Larson ended a 51-race losing streak at WWT Raceway, sending his championship odds skyrocketing from 7% to 21%.
- Denny Hamlin (39% to 33%) has lost eight percentage points since last month but continues to lead.
- Christopher Bell (10% to 18%) picked a good time to win his first race of 2026, taking the checkered flag at Darlington to kick off the postseason.
NASCAR Cup Series favorites
Denny Hamlin (33% probability)
Denny Hamlin enjoys a nine-point cushion over Kyle Larson with eight races remaining.
Hamlin has Larson beat in most of the major stat categories, from wins (4-1) to Top 5s (14-11) to average finish (8.6 to 16.2) to poles (4-0) to laps led (948-838).
Kyle Larson (21% probability)
Kyle Larson had several Top 10 streaks this season, but could not turn that momentum into a win.
He had two Top 5s in three races heading into WWT Raceway last Sunday, but Joey Logano looked inevitable... until Larson collared him with 20 laps to go.
THE DROUGHT IS OVER FOR KYLE LARSON!! pic.twitter.com/o723af5eVo
— NASCAR (@NASCAR) September 13, 2026
Larson will try to keep it rolling at Bristol on Saturday, Sept. 19.
NASCAR Cup Series recent winners
Here's a look at the last 10 Cup Series Champions and their preseason odds via Sports Odds History.
| Season | Driver | Preseason Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kyle Larson (2) | +550 |
| 2024 | Joey Logano (3) | +1100 |
| 2023 | Ryan Blaney | +1000 |
| 2022 | Joey Logano (2) | +1400 |
| 2021 | Kyle Larson | +1100 |
| 2020 | Chase Elliott | +1200 |
| 2019 | Kyle Busch (2) | +600 |
| 2018 | Joey Logano | +800 |
| 2017 | Martin Truex Jr. | +800 |
| 2016 | Jimmie Johnson (7) | +700 |
NASCAR Cup Series betting trends
- Team Penske has taken three of the last four championships.
- Hendrick Motorsports has the most overall titles (15).
- The last driver to go back-to-back was Jimmie Johnson in 2010, when he completed an unprecedented five-peat.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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NASCAR Cup Series Odds FAQs
Denny Hamlin is the current favorite to win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Championship.
Kyle Larson won his second NASCAR Cup Series title in 2025.
