2026 NASCAR Cup Series Odds: Hamlin the Early Favorite for First Title

Denny Hamlin was denied his first NASCAR Cup Series championship in heartbreaking fashion by Kyle Larson last season. The No. 11 pilot is the early frontrunner with the 2026 campaign underway.

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst
Feb 17, 2026 • 10:27 ET • 4 min read
NASCAR Cup Series odds Denny Hamlin
Photo By - Reuters Connect. NASCAR Cup Series driver Denny Hamlin.

The NASCAR Cup Series odds are on the move following the Daytona 500, and it's Denny Hamlin who leads Kyle Larson narrowly. The former seeks his first-ever championship, while the latter is trying to go back-to-back.

This year's playoff format is different from recent seasons with the return of the "Chase for the Cup," so gone are knockout rounds and winner-take-all championship races, and back is a 16-car, 10-race shootout, where the driver with the most points prevails. 

Let's look at the latest NASCAR Cup Series odds.

NASCAR Cup Series odds

Driver Name DraftKings
Denny Hamlin +370
Kyle Larson +400
William Byron +550
Christopher Bell +600
Ryan Blaney +600
Chase Briscoe +900
Chase Elliott +1000
Tyler Reddick +1400
Joey Logano +1800
Connor Zilisch +2000

Odds as of 2-17.

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NASCAR Cup Series recent winners

Season Driver Race wins
2025 Kyle Larson (2) 3
2024 Joey Logano (3) 4
2023 Ryan Blaney 3
2022 Joey Logano (2) 4
2021 Kyle Larson 10
2020 Chase Elliott 5
2019 Kyle Busch (2) 5
2018 Joey Logano 3
2017 Martin Truex Jr.  8
2016 Jimmie Johnson (7) 5

NASCAR Cup Series betting trends

  • Team Penske has taken three of the last four championships.
  • Hendrick Motorsports has the most overall titles (15).
  • The last driver to go back-to-back was Jimmie Johnson in 2010, when he completed an unprecedented five-peat.

NASCAR Cup Series Odds FAQs

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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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