Roughriders vs Stampeders Week 9 Picks and Predictions: Calgary's D Continues To Struggle

One of the West's best (Saskatchewan) takes on one of the division's worst (Calgary) to wrap up Week 9 of CFL betting. The Stamps defense is bad, while the Riders offense is humming — it's hard not to back the chalk, even on the road.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Oct 1, 2021 • 13:37 ET • 3 min read

The final game on the CFL betting board for Week 9 is a West Division battle between the Saskatchewan Roughriders and Calgary Stampeders on Saturday night.

The Riders are coming off a last-minute win and head to McMahon Stadium as 2.5-point road favorites against the Stamps, who sit at the bottom of the division with a 2-5 record.

Here are our best free Roughriders vs. Stampeders picks and predictions for Saturday, October 2, with kickoff at 7 p.m. ET. 

Roughriders vs Stampeders odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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Roughriders vs Stampeders picks

Picks made on 10/01/2021 at 10 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Roughriders vs Stampeders game info

Location: McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB
Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021
Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: TSN

Roughriders at Stampeders betting preview

Weather

Key injuries

Roughriders: Nick Marshall DB (Probable), Micah Johnson DT (Probable), Mike Edem S (Questionable), Terran Vaughn OT (Questionable), Garrett Marino DT (Questionable), Jordan Williams-Lambert WR (Out), Shaq Evans WR (Out), Larry Dean LB (Out), Freddie Bishop III DE (Out).
Stampeders: Jamar Wall DB (Probable), Ryan Sceviour G (Probable), Hergy Mayala WR (Probable), Josh Huff WR (Out), Kamar Jordan WR (Out), Jon Moxey DB (Probable), Cory Greenwood LB (Questionable).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Roughriders are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Find more CFL betting trends for Roughriders vs. Stampeders.

Roughriders vs Stampeders picks

The Riders are coming off a tight 31-24 win on the road against the Lions and are now firmly in second place in the West with a 5-2 mark. The only team they have lost to are the Grey Cup favorite Blue Bombers and despite dealing with injuries to key players, Saskatchewan has looked strong on both sides of the ball. 

After years of being a title contender, the Stamps will need to go on a heater if they want to even make the playoffs this year. They are coming off a bye week and before that lost 23-17 on the road in Hamilton. 

Calgary's defense is allowing the second-most passing yards per game (281.1) in the CFL while tying for the fewest interceptions (2) and sacks (12) in the league. 

On offense, things haven't been much better with quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell struggling. Whether that has to do with a pair of injuries he's recovering from (offseason shoulder surgery and a fractured fibula in Week 1), or a new and banged-up wide receiver corps, one thing is certain: He doesn't look anything like the passer that twice won the CFL Most Outstanding Player Award. 

The Roughriders have a balanced offense featuring QB Cody Fajardo and running back William Powell. And their dominant front seven leads the league with 22 sacks while holding foes to a league-low 66.7 rushing yards on 4.3 yards per carry. With the Riders going 5-1 ATS in their last six games on the road, look for them to win and cover in Calgary. 

Unders cashed at an unsustainable rate during the first few weeks of the CFL season, with offenses looking out of sync following a canceled 2020 and no preseason. However, with offenses beginning to shake off the rust, teams have been scoring at a higher clip lately.

The Riders have hit the Over in back-to-back weeks and are averaging 29.4 points per game against teams not named Winnipeg. Meanwhile, the Stamps have gone 3-2 O/U in their last five games and are surrendering 378.6 yards per game, the second-highest number in the league.

With the Over going 4-1 in the last five games between these clubs, back it again on Saturday night. 

CFL parlays

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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez. You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports. Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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