Blue Bombers vs Roughriders Week 5 Picks and Predictions: Winnipeg Looks to Blow up Perfection

The Roughriders are the only remaining undefeated team in the CFL but will welcome the rival Blue Bombers in Week 5. Check out our picks and predictions to see if we like Winnipeg to play spoiler and keep up their outstanding recent form in Saskatchewan.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Sep 2, 2021 • 13:05 ET • 4 min read

We're still one week away from Sunday NFL action but there's football to check out this Sunday, with one game on the CFL betting board as the Winnipeg Blue Bombers face the Saskatchewan Roughriders.

This should be a terrific tilt as the defending Grey Cup champions Winnipeg face the current Grey Cup favorites in the Banjo Bowl at Mosaic Stadium in Regina.

The undefeated Roughriders are installed as 4.5-point home favorites for this contest with the Over/Under at 43. Here are our best free Blue Bombers vs. Roughriders picks and predictions for Sunday, September 5, with kickoff at 6 p.m. ET. 

Blue Bombers vs Roughriders game info

Location: Mosaic Stadium, Regina, SK
Date: Sunday, September 5, 2021
Time: 6:00 p.m. ET
TV: TSN

Blue Bombers vs Roughriders odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Compare CFL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Blue Bombers at Roughriders betting preview

Weather

Key injuries

Blue Bombers: Andrew Harris RB (Probable), Darvin Adams WR (Probable), Nic Demski WR (Questionable), Willie Jefferson DE (Questionable), Jackson Jeffcoat DE (Questionable), Brandon Alexander DB (Questionable), Kyrie Wilson LB (Questionable), Steven Richardson DT (Questionable).
Roughriders: Micah Johnson DT (Questionable), Justin McInnis WR (Probable), Terran Vaughn OT (Out), Shaq Evans WR (Out), Freddie Bishop III (Out), Larry Dean LB (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 6-0 in the last six meetings between these Western Conference rivals. Find more CFL betting trends for Blue Bombers vs. Roughriders.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

The Blue Bombers haven't clicked on offense this season but they're still 3-1 SU and got a big boost with the return of running back Andrew Harris last week. The 2019 Grey Cup MVP led the league in rushing yards for three straight years, from 2017 to 2019, and is a factor in the passing game as well.

The Bombers have been much tougher on the defensive side of the ball, where they are holding foes to a league-low 14.8 points per game despite an ugly Week 3 performance in Toronto, in which they allowed 30 points to the Argos. 

The Roughriders have gotten off to a strong start, with a CFL-best 3-0 record, and are fresh off a bye week. With the exception of a second-half backdoor cover by BC in Week 1, Saskatchewan has looked outstanding this season, leading the league in scoring (28.7 ppg) while ranking second in scoring defense (15.7 ppg allowed).

That said, they could be due for a bit of a letdown against a Bombers club that they have gone just 1-5 ATS against in the last six meetings, including back-to-back losses by 20+ points at Mosaic Stadium. 

The Riders are rolling up plenty of yardage on offense but have really struggled in the red zone and that could prove costly against an experienced Winnipeg squad that limits turnovers. Grab the Bombers with the points. 

PREDICTION: Winnipeg +4.5 (-105)

Over/Under pick

On paper, these teams should be explosive on offense. But, football isn't played on paper, and on the field, these squads have been mediocre with the ball. Saskatchewan ranks fifth in the league with 4.7 yards per play while Winnipeg ranks seventh with 4.4. 

Both of these squads have been carried by their strong defenses, with the Bombers holding opponents to the second-fewest yards per pass attempt in the league (6.8) and the Riders allowing a league-low 47 yards per game on the ground. 

As a matter of fact, the defenses on both teams have actually played a big role in how many points they put on the board since they do a great job at forcing turnovers and giving their offenses a short field to work with.

They might not have that advantage on Sunday, since both squads do a good job of taking care of the ball. With the Under cashing in six straight games in the head-to-head, back it again on Sunday.  

PREDICTION: Under 43 (-110)

Blue Bombers vs Roughriders betting card

  • Winnipeg +4.5 (-105)
  • Under 43 (-110)

Picks made on 9/02/2021 at 12:30 p.m. ET

CFL parlays

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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